Stock Talk

Markets have gone up since Covid, but the ride has been anything but smooth. In this video, I break down why market pullbacks are not rare events, how often investors should expect volatility, and why even strong bull markets can feel uncomfortable along the way. If you have ever wondered why markets seem to fall more often than headlines suggest, this will give you important perspective. You will...

Market volatility isn’t a Black Friday sale, and in this video, I walk through why investors may experience drawdowns even during strong long-term markets like the S&P 500. I share historical context around common pullbacks, how different market “factors” such as growth, value, and momentum rotate over time, and why style shifts can make it difficult to “change horses mid-race.” I also review...

Over the past decade, the “Magnificent 7” stocks grew rapidly by operating relatively asset-light businesses. But today, these same companies are allocating unprecedented amounts of capital to chips, servers, data centers, electricity, real estate, and AI infrastructure. My goal in this video is to give you clear context around these spending trends, how they compare to past investment cycles, and...

What if I told you the shape of today’s economy might explain why some Americans feel prosperous while others feel like they are falling behind? In this episode of Stock Talk, I break down why economists are calling this a K shaped recovery and what that really means for consumers, workers, and long term investors.   Over the years, commentators have tried simplifying economic cycles with shapes l...

Today I’m blending a little classic rock with market insight to cut through the noise of bearish headlines and bubble talk. You’ll hear why I don’t agree with comparisons to the late ’90s, what the data actually says about this V-bottom rally, and why history shows strength, not weakness, when markets stay over key moving averages. By the end, you’ll walk away with a clearer, fact-based perspectiv...

Paul Tudor Jones recently said we’re in the “9th inning” of the AI tech stock bubble, the late stages of a market mania similar to 1999’s Dot-com peak. I don’t see it that way. In this week’s video, I break down why the data tells a different story, and why I believe we’re still early in the game, maybe the 3rd or 4th inning, not the 9th. We’ll compare today’s AI-driven market cycle to the Dot-com...

Are we seeing the top of the AI boom or just another milestone in a long-term growth story? In this week’s Market Update, I examines whether September 2025 will be remembered as the “top” of the AI trade, or if comparisons to the late-1990s Dot-com bubble miss the mark. I'll also give you perspective on market leadership, sector rotation, and what investors might expect as we enter the seasonally...

Maybe five or ten years from now, we’ll look back and wonder if September 2025 was the top of the AI boom. Personally, I doubt it. For now, those who tuned out the “AI bubble” and “overvalued S&P 500” chatter are likely smiling after a strong third quarter.   Today I'm going to review the data and context behind what may go down as one of the strongest third quarters in recent history, and dis...

In this week’s market update, I walk through the lessons from the sharp April selloff, why our team viewed it as a classic “V-bottom” recovery, and how history may guide what comes next. I compare today’s AI-driven market cycle with the Dotcom buildout of the late 1990s, highlighting which sectors have led year-to-date and what that might mean for investors as we head into year-end repositioning s...

Are we in the middle of a historic V-bottom recovery that mirrors the Dotcom boom, but this time fueled by AI? In this week’s update, I break down why I believe the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut, the strength of the S&P 500 since April, and the powerful role of semiconductors all point to a bull market that still has room to run. I compare today’s market action to the late 1990s tech build...

Will the stock market keep soaring toward 7,300–7,400, even with higher rates, global tensions, and Fed uncertainty? I'm going to break down what Jerome Powell’s dovish comments really mean, why the S&P 500 is hitting record highs, and what decades of market history reveal about Fed pauses and rate cuts. Drawing on almost 35 years of managing money, I show how today’s cycle mirrors the dot-com...

Is history repeating itself? The S&P 500 near 6,450 is tracking the late ’90s Dot-com rally almost to the week, and it could signal more upside ahead. Find out why August 1st may mark the low for 2H 2025, why fears about interest rates and foreign bond selling are likely overblown, and how falling volatility points to stronger markets into 2026. Get the context you need to understand where we...

Fears of a major pullback may be overblown - Watch today's video to hear which past cycles I believe today’s market is echoing. I also go over what we're seeing in earnings, volatility, and institutional positioning, why we remain bullish heading into late 2025 and 2026, and what sectors may lead the next leg higher. If you're curious about how we're adjusting our long/short hedged equity strategy...

Today I'm walking you through the incredible 3.75-month V-bottom rally we’ve seen since mid-April, why it happened without Fed intervention, and what history suggests could be next. I’ll share why we believe the bull market remains intact, even as we head toward a likely late-summer pause or mild pullback before a potential 4th quarter rally and continued strength into 1H26. Along the way, I’ll hi...

We've been seeing a powerful market rally since April—a classic V-bottom recovery that unfolded without Fed intervention and defied the doom-and-gloom predictions of many so-called experts. I explain why our team at Oak Harvest Financial Group saw this coming, why we're still bullish long term, and why now might be the perfect time to take a breath and reassess your investment plan—not chase retur...

In this week’s video, I walk you through why we believed the April lows marked the bottom for stocks this year—and how the market’s powerful V-bottom rally played out almost exactly as we anticipated. I’ll share what history tells us about July’s bullish tendencies, why the current market resembles late 1998 more than peak Dot-com, and what you can expect in the weeks ahead. But before you get swe...

After a volatile first half of the year, what's really happening in the markets? Post-election rallies, sharp corrections, and a historic V-bottom recovery... What does history tell us about new all-time highs, investor sentiment, and why being “overbought” or “overvalued” isn’t the red flag many think it is? Watch today's Stock Talk to learn what to expect for the rest of 2025, which sectors migh...

I said April lows were likely the bottom for stocks in 2025, and that call has played out as markets have surged to new all-time highs in record time, without the help of Fed rate cuts. I'm going to talk about what made this rally different from past rebounds, why history pointed to a V-bottom recovery, and what comes next as we head into the back half of the year. Learn key technical signals, bon...

Link to livestream: Oak Harvest's 2nd Half 2025 Market Outlook Summit https://youtube.com/live/9aERiXHbFQA?... About Chris Perras, CFA®, CLU®, ChFC®, Chief Investment Officer: As CIO, Chris is the lead investment strategist and director of research at Oak Harvest Financial Group. Chris develops the firm's core market outlook, putting his decades of experience and expertise to work for our clients....

In this quick, data‑packed update, I walk you through why our team called the April 7 market bottom in real time, how the ensuing “V‑bottom” has already delivered a 1,000‑point surge, and most importantly, what history says usually follows moves like these. You’ll see the hard numbers behind my “Victory formation” thesis, learn why a slow grind to new highs (and a summer pullback worth buying) is...

What does the brewing battle over interest rates between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell mean for investors like you? Using real-time market data and historical context, I break down whether the Fed is keeping rates too high, how past decisions played out, and why the President may actually have the better read on today’s economy. If you're wondering where interest rates ar...

Buckle up for our team's latest analysis on why we believe the market likely hit its low back in early April and is now following a classic V-bottom recovery pattern without the help of Fed rate cuts. Find out why many investors and media voices got it wrong, how breadth and momentum are broadening beyond just big tech, and what historical patterns suggest about the next few months for the S&P...

The April 7th low marked a major turning point for the stock market and today we talk about how history, technical signals, and market breadth indicators support a bullish outlook going forward. I explain the significance of recent breadth thrusts, including a rare combination that has historically led to strong market gains, and why most investors missed this “V-bottom” rebound. We also discuss t...

There was a sharp market rally that followed the early April lows—what many are calling a “V-bottom”—and most investors missed the rebound. Today let's talk about how real-time market data, not media narratives, pointed to improving conditions well before the news of tariff reductions between the U.S. and China hit. I also compare today’s market setup to the mid-1998 Dot-Com period, not the bubble...

Despite all the noise from the media and bearish forecasters, the data suggests we may have already seen the lows for this cycle. I cover the recent stock market volatility, highlight key technical patterns, and break down important economic indicators like job growth, wage data, and bond market trends. You’ll get my perspective on why I believe we’re not heading into a deep recession and why now...