Star Spangled Gamblers

— Jason Pipkin and Pratik Chougule discuss which longshots for the Republican nomination for president are worth buying — Zubby Badger assesses when Congress and the Biden administration are likely to reach a debt ceiling deal — Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender predicts that political gambling deregulation might not happen until the 2028 elections — Zoltar "retires" from political gambling

— Jason Pipkin on how to bet on the fallout from Trump's New York indictment — Zubby Badger on the future of Kalshi, why Julie Su's nomination for Secretary of Labor is in trouble, and how to make money from confirmation markets. — Gaeten Dugas and Zoltar wrap up Golden Modelos coverage with an award for 2022 Trader of the Year 

Eli Braden and Pratik do a deep dive on Republican candidate for president Vivek Ramaswamy. They discuss how to weigh his odds as a prospective nominee and his future in conservative politics. 

Elections in countries outside the United States provide some of the most lucrative opportunities in political gambling.  The fact that traders know little about these countries and information is hard to track down creates market distortions that saavy traders know how to exploit. In this episode, Pratik interviews three traders—Naman Mehndiratta, Jay Yu, and Paul Krishnamurty—who have made money...

Since August 2022, when the CFTC revoked PredictIt's no-action letter, the agency has refused to outline the precise reasons why it suddenly seeks to shut down the site.  Facing tough questions from the judges on the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals, the CFTC finally laid out its case in a filing to the court. Casino.com reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik analyze the filing, as well as PredictIt's...

McClatchy reporter Dave Catanese returns to the show. Dave has been following closely Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman's health issues and the seeming cover-up by Fetterman and his staff. Dave and Pratik discuss the likelihood that he'll resign from the Senate this year.  In part 2, Zoltar and Gaeten award the Golden Modelos Worst Pump of the Year award to Trafalgar polls.

Both the betting markets and the conventional wisdom believe Ron DeSantis is running for president and that an announcement may be imminent. Trader and political gambling researcher MagaVacuum disagrees, arguing that DeSantis will ultimately sit this cycle out. Maga challenged Title Belt holder TheWinner2875 to a $250 bet that DeSantis won't announce by October 31. He doubled down with a $100 side...

In this 4-part episode, we cover a variety of markets for traders across the different betting exchanges. In part 1, Paul Krishnamurthy explains why President Erdogan of Turkey is a safe bet and why he's more confident of this than the markets. In part 2, Michael H. tells us where to find utterly insane pricing on Smarkets in the Republican Vice President nomination market. In part 3, we continue...

Sean McElwee, former Data for Progress founding executive director, and former Bernie Sanders aide Ari Rabin-Havt discuss progressive opposition to political prediction markets and when Biden will likely announce his re-election campaign. Pratik, Gaeten, and Zoltar announce Golden Modelo awards for Rookie of the Year and Best Shitposter.

Kalshi is the focus of this episode. In the introduction, Pratik provides a theory on what role Kalshi might have played in the demise of PredictIt and Polymarket.  In part 1, Will Arnesen, head of the markets team at Kalshi, explains the rules in Kalshi's market on the Harvard affirmative action case before the Supreme Court. In part 2, Pratik, Gaeten, and Zoltar continue coverage of the Golden M...

Michael H., an Ireland-based political gambler, joins the show to discuss Biden's political future and how to trade on it over the next few months. Michael and Pratik agree that Biden is currently underpriced in the markets but differ a bit on the seriousness of the investigation into Biden's handling of classified documents. Zoltar, Gaeten, and Pratik discuss the best and worst trades of 2022.

The lawsuit by plaintiffs associated with PredictIt reached a critical phase on February 8 when the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals heard the case on its merits.  As Pratik explains on the podcast, the hearing was a big win for PredictIt.  In part 2, iSavage does a deep dive on the upcoming Chicago mayor election and makes the case for Lori Lightfoot lottos.

With Biden and McCarthy scheduled to meet to discuss the debt ceiling Zubby Badger returns to the pod to discuss how to trade on the negotiations on Kalshi. William Arnesen of Kalshi's markets team also joins to help explain market deadlines.   In part II, Gaeten and Zoltar discuss why George Santos might be in Congress longer than you'd think.

Good news for PredictIt. The Fifth Circuit has granted PredictIt an injunction which allows the site to continue operating while the appeals process proceeds. The court will consider the merits of PredictIt's appeal on February 8. Pratik discusses what this means for PredictIt traders. In part 2, Brian Golden returns to the show to discuss his perfect midterm picks. Brian explains in detail how he...

The political gambling industry is in a state of regulatory limbo. PredictIt is fighting for its life in the Fifth Circuit. Kalshi awaits CFTC approval for its election markets. And Polymarket and Insight Prediction remain in offshore exile. The good news is that prediction market veteran Flip Pidot has found a new way to keep the degeneracy going.  In this episode, Pratik and Flip do a deep dive...

Nominations for the Golden Modelos, political gambling's most prestigious awards show. Plus Keendawg breaks some big news related to what he's up to (and why he's leaving). And Eli Braden drops the greatest political gambling song ever, "Selling at 99"

On this episode of SSG, Anthony Dabbundo from The Action Network joins to talk about the U.S. hopes as well as as some fundamentals for predicting and betting soccer matches. The Boys also cover the latest from Washington -- though it is far less exciting than the treachery & foreign intrigue at the World Cup.

Trump, McConnell, McCarthy and Musk. They are absolutely dominant on the Right and dominating the news. Where are they taking the party as it regroups from the election?

The Boys wrap-up the election by making stops in NV & AZ and make some closing predictions on what this election means for the future. At the end, they drop their third hit single.    SUPPORT US: Patreon: www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers Venmo: @Keen-dawg

Zubby, iSavage, Pratik, Zoltar, join Keen make their finaly projections for the 2022 midterm elections. It's ride or die time. 

ON THIS EP: The Boys trade 5 signals they're waiting to see to predict all the major senate races. Is Trump for real announcing his presidential campaign this time? And how to bet on Elon Musk's Twitter takeover.

Less than a week out from the election and a new batch of polls portends good things for Democrats. Should you believe it? Affirmative action in the mix in the courts & also on Kalshi. And new updates to the regulatory saga that is dogging political gambling.

A spirited argument over whether or not Democratic governors like Kathy Hochul & Gretchen Whitmer are safe from the rising Republican wave. Finally, a behind the scenes look at the legal & regulatory process that has unfolded in recent months to protect political gambling -- from those who played a role.

The Boys discuss 5 indicators they're watching to predict the closest elections of the year. Trader Ben Freeman joins to explain why Georgia looks to be headed for a run-off. And COVID is on the rise again -- what does that mean for political predictions?

Domer joins to talk about how to spot free money wins while betting on election season (& how to avoid getting sucked into a trap). Brian Darling makes the case for a massive Red Wave. And at some point, the Boys tackle the situation in the UK, where Prime Minister Liz Truss is already on her way out.