Robert Young - YFS Private Client Market & Economy Audio-Email

Friends, This week is a trifecta of Economic fun! We have the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday and Thursday is the start of the Corporate Beauty Pageant - Earning Season. The Inflation Reports will be the focus of the Federal Reserve, who meet at the end of the month, and money managers will be focused on Corporate Earnings. The next four weeks co...

Friends, Today, we turn our "Spotlight" onto our Smith & Wesson investment. By the end of the update, you'll see the Big Beautiful Opportunity that we have in our sights. Robert

Friends, What A Month! We don't believe this is over. As I've said previously, it will take one of these events to occur: 1. FACTUAL Data Supporting Peak Inflation/Hawkish Federal Reserve, 2. FULL China Reopening, or 3. RELATIVE Geopolitical calm. Then, The Market will find a bottom - until then, the potential for another sell-off exists. However, this week marks the end of the Month and the end o...

Friends, In this "Spotlight", we use The Process to review our holdings in Marathon Petroleum and Exxon Mobil. These two positions have been extraordinary performers breaking through every previous "SELL" level achieving returns ranging from 50% to 250% / 300%. Just unbelievable! Frankly, until last week, I thought we would hold these for several more months but National & World Players have consp...

Friends, I focus the "Spotlight" on our position in APPLE by taking you through The Process so you can see it in action. We have invested in APPLE multiple times during our history and this may be the end of our current relationship with APPLE. Let's see if it will be the close of the latest chapter in our Book of Investments. I will discuss this with you individually. Robert

Friends, In the final email on The Process (#3), I cover the critical area of a Business's Free Cash Flow - the Life Blood of a Business. If the prospective investment makes it through this section of the gauntlet, the final steps are covered bringing us to: Price Analysis - What the Target "BUY" Price will be. I hope you find these explanations of The Process valuable. Robert

Friends, In this section (#2), I continue the review of the business's financial statements and the markers I'm looking for. It's just math :) Robert

Friends, This is The Process email I've been promising. In times of extreme volatility, doubt & fear can creep out of the shadows - hopefully, knowing there is a process for mitigating risk will calm angst during uncertain periods. In these, I outline the process for identifying & vetting a prospective Company or Market Sector to invest our hard earned money in. To hopefully hold your interest, I'...

Friends, The Federal Reserve has lost all credibility and is in reactionary mode based on their realization that they did not do their primary job they have - manage inflation. Now, we are left to suffer an issue which could have been easily managed in May 2021 Today's rate increase announcement is critical I will keep you posted Robert

Friends, Friday’s CPI report & the potential inflationary level of tomorrow’s PPI report has made some Traders and Investors lose faith in Jerome Powell & The Federal Reserve’s ability to manage and reduce inflation. This loss of confidence manifests in sell-offs. I believe it is short sighted and outline when this will stop, turn and rally. Robert

Friends Just a quick rambling overview of the trifecta of triggers which caused yesterday’s Market sell-off and the potential continuation into the weekend Robert

Friends, Often, Life is about Perspective - which is why the phrase, "Glass Half Full" exists. Is Data giving us Good News or Bad? Sometimes it depends on your perspective. Since 12% of the Economy's GDP (think of GDP as money flowing through the Economy) is generated in the Housing Sector from the purchase / sale of a New or Existing Home and all of the ancillary purchases (i.e. – spending) creat...

Friends, Like the proverbial Canary In the Coal Mine, Retailers are our Canary when it comes to warning us about the Consumer. Since 75% of our Economy is driven by Consumer spending, we listen and what they are saying doesn't paint a positive picture of the Economy and ultimately...The Market. Robert

Friends, There is no economic data to support this rebound. It's driven by traders looking for bargains among the recent carnage. So what? Enjoy the selling reprieve while it lasts... Robert

Friends, On 10 May, I explained that The Market would continue its downward spiral. Today I’m going to address the 3%+ drop in The Market, what will need to happen to turn this around, just how much further The Market may fall & why you should believe in Santa. (Hint - Because Christmas is coming early this year!) Robert 🎄

Friends, On Wednesday, April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be issued and I believe it will be slightly lower than last month. This slightly lower number will be taken as a sign that inflation has reached the summit and is now starting down the mountain. Lower numbers will also be promoted as support for Powel & Co's (Federal Reserve) narrative that inflation in transitory, now waning an...

Friends, On Wednesday, after the FOMC Meeting, the Market headed North. On Thursday, It headed South and is currently approaching the Earth's Molten Core on its way to China. In this audio, I'm answering 4 Questions: Why Have Stocks Dropped to the March Lows, What's Holding Up Best, What Makes This Stop, and How Bad Can It Get? Plus a Bonus Answer - How Are We Protecting Ourselves and/or Taking Ad...

Friends, On Wednesday, after 18 frustrating months, I set our position in JETS (the Airline Index) free. In this brief audio, I explain why but that we still have exposure to the airline sector in our broad Transport Index. Robert

Friends, This will only take a few minutes but, given the current environment, well worth the time to review the effects of interest rates on Technology Stock valuations and the direct influence Technology Stocks have on the Rise & Fall of the S&P 500. Robert

Last week the Market took a trip South. Let’s look at the cause, the effect it had on our investments and what a 3% 10 year Treasury Yield could trigger.

Financial headlines today are making a big deal of the 5 year/10 year Treasury Yield inversion and the Bone Throwing ability it has for predicting a looming Recession Seems like a good opportunity to have a class on Treasury Yield Curve Inversions as Recession Indicators

Friends, I apologize. After 8 takes trying to cram 20+ mins of information on the Federal Reserve, Rate Hikes, Inflation and (I swear to God, you can’t make this stuff up!!!) Biden's Tik Tok Top 20 Influencer Program (gotta love handing the responsibility of explaining geo-political economics to a 15yr old to the American Public - https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10613795/Joe-Biden-deploys...

Friends, Don’t be fooled… yesterday’s “Rip Your Face Off Rally” was not initiated by any change in recent headline narratives – Think Ukraine/Russia & Inflation The rally was all about algorithm generated rotations from Energy to Technology. Taking profits and buying “value” stocks. Today’s higher than expected CPI Inflation numbers brings uncertainty which is reflected in the Market’s dip today....

In the best of times, the Market is a high stakes poker game and right now, there are only three people left at the table – Team You & I and our nemesis - Uncertainty. At this moment, Uncertainty is sitting across from us, a face jacked full of Botox, stone faced and unreadable, eyes veiled by mirrored sunglasses - holding a Royal Flush while currently we’re holding a pair of 2s. But, the cards ar...

On Monday, Russia entered Eastern Ukraine territories to support separatist groups who want to leave Ukraine and become a Russian territory again. At 3am this morning. Futures Markets were down -2%. They've bounced back since then but the day is early. We will see how this all plays out over the next few days. In the meantime, we are staying the course with the true threat to The Market being infl...