Reuters Morning Bid

A blackout kept officials quiet as the oil shock hit. Now Fed Chair Jerome Powell returns with new projections — aiming to signal caution without moving rates. The physical oil market is screaming tighter supply while the paper market barely reacts. Plus, Micron’s AI surge keeps equities buoyant. Today’s recommended read:Inflation expectations flash a warning - but not a long-lasting one, by Mike...

Policymakers gather this week under renewed inflation pressure as crude returns to $100 and tensions in the Gulf rise. Meanwhile, chip producers warn that wafer shortages may persist to 2030, challenging tech supply and capital‑spending plans. Today’s recommended read: Oil shock sparks rate repricing in historic 'G4' central bank week, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newslette...

Oil trades back above $100 as the Iran war enters a third week. Markets watch a packed central bank calendar while U.S.–China trade talks begin in Paris, with a possible Trump–Xi summit now uncertain. Today’s recommended read: US is quickly exhausting tools to absorb Iran war oil shock by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interes...

As tensions rise in the Middle East and oil prices jump, central banks from the Fed to the ECB are reworking their inflation math once again. The fresh oil shock is reshaping rate expectations—while hidden risks in private credit and software debt bubble up in the background.  Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Da...

A historic oil reserve release fails to cool prices, core inflation refuses to ease, and markets push rate‑cut hopes way back as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions reshape economic expectations in real time. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineeri...

Washington eases sanctions to free up more Russian oil as Brent crude tops $101 a barrel. We break down the market fallout, the inflation squeeze and the impact on the Fed. Today’s recommended read: Iran war is one 'TACO' too far, by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and...

Oil surges to $100 again as Gulf attacks mount. Tehran says it’s ready to squeeze global oil until crude hits $200 a barrel. We explain why markets are taking that threat seriously and how it’s reshaping everything from shipping costs to inflation bets. Today’s recommended read: Iran oil shock prompts ECB hawks to seek 2021/22 rematch, by Mike Dolan Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, an...

Tension in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping traders on edge and reshaping how markets think about energy. Plus, Oracle shares deliver a surprise lift, even as the world powering AI looks stretched. And JP Morgan spots some unsettling signals inside private credit.  Today’s recommended read: The dangerous politics of US oil-driven redistribution, Mike Dolan Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotk...

Oil prices whipsaw as Trump signals the Iran conflict may end soon, sending volatility surging across global markets. Stocks, bonds, and rate expectations swing wildly, while China delivers a surprise trade boom that adds another twist to an already unpredictable day. Today’s recommended read: How oil shock and financial stress can feed each other by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bi...

Oil prices surge past $100 as the Middle East conflict enters a second week, raising fears of a prolonged supply shock. Combined with weak U.S. jobs data, stagflation concerns intensify while global markets fall, bond yields jump, and investors shift toward dollar liquidity. Today’s recommended read: Compounding errors and narrow self-interest threaten global fuel crisis by Clyde Russell Subscribe...

Markets brace for a prolonged Middle East conflict as energy prices drive uncertainty. Inflation data lands this week with fresh clues on how the surge in oil and gas could spill over. And with Kevin Warsh waiting in the wings, Fed rate‑cut hopes keep sliding. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan P...

Energy prices jump, bonds sell off and central banks confront new inflation risks as the Middle East conflict expands. And the U.S. economy unexpectedly loses jobs in February, adding fresh uncertainty to the macro outlook. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engi...

President Trump is brushing off a jump in gas prices, even as international markets brace for the steepest spike since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. We unpack why the administration is betting the shock will be brief. Plus, why today’s jobs numbers could tell a very different story about the US economy. Today’s recommended read: Iran war exposes fragility of Western aluminium market, by Andy Home...

Global stocks steadied on Wednesday despite crude jumping to its highest since June. Plus, Europe watches for an energy shock. And China sets its lowest GDP target since 1991, signaling deeper economic strain. Today’s recommended read: Jet fuel's huge price surge points to coming pain from Iran war, by Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reu...

Gold isn’t rallying, oil isn’t spiking as much as expected, and Asia’s top-performing markets are suddenly collapsing as the conflict in the Middle East continues. Plus, Anna Szymanski and Mike Dolan explain why so many investors are turning to the dollar as a safe haven.  Today’s recommended read: Gold flubs its lines amid Middle East mayhem by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid new...

The widening Middle East war pushes oil and European gas prices sharply higher, rattling global markets for a second day. Treasury yields climb as inflation worries outweigh haven demand. Currency tensions escalate as Japan and Switzerland both threaten intervention. Today’s recommended read: Dollar gets its mojo back - but only by default, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newslett...

Energy markets enter crisis mode as conflict in Iran halts key shipping lanes and raises the threat of lasting supply disruption. Analysts warn crude could break into triple digits if the standoff continues. Risk assets retreat, and inflation worries creep back into bond markets. Today’s recommended read: Iran war throws oil market into biggest crisis in decades, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan...

Global oil and gas supplies are at risk from a widening conflict after Iran vows to avenge the killing of their supreme leader in U.S. and Israeli airstrikes. Energy prices are expected to jump when markets re-open and a prolonged crisis could send shockwaves through the global economy. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid ⁠newsletter,⁠ and check out his columns on ⁠Reuters Open Interest⁠ Produce...

An imagined dystopia of mass unemployment fuelled by artificial intelligence unnerves investors. Nvidia’s record‑breaking numbers fails to lift the mood. Plus, how global chip demand is reshaping markets from Seoul to Silicon Valley. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi...

Paramount‑Skydance secures Warner Bros. as Netflix bows out. Plus, Jack Dorsey's Block cuts nearly half its staff, calling it an AI reset. And, Anthropic won’t drop its AI safeguards, putting a $200M Pentagon deal on the line. Today’s recommended read: Europe policymakers set for make or break decisions on industrial heat, Gavin Maguire Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check o...

Nvidia crushes expectations again but investors want more. Concerns about the AI economy overheating and Nvidia’s reliance on a small number of customers overhang the chipmaker. Plus, Iran talks in Geneva and Japanese politics and the yen. Today’s recommended read: To win Europe's embrace, China needs to uncap the yuan, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his...

Anthropic’s new plug‑ins sent software stocks rallying - just weeks after the same AI fears wiped billions off the sector. Nvidia reports earnings today and a 5% swing could mean $230 billion in market value. Plus, U.S. President Donald Trump used the State of the Union to call out Big Tech’s power use, hinting that hyperscalers may have to build their own energy supply. Today’s recommended read: ...

Trump’s uneven tariff guidance provides little clarity before his State of the Union speech, and a sharp tech-led decline hits Wall Street as investors digest a viral worst‑case AI report. Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk drops 16% after its latest obesity drug disappoints in trials. Today’s recommended read: **Next Fed move a hike? Bostic's parting shot raises alarm, Mike Dolan** Subscribe to Mike Dolan's...

A dramatic weekend of tariff reversals leaves markets searching for direction, with questions mounting over U.S. fiscal planning. Meanwhile, oil prices retreat before the next round of U.S.-Iran discussions. Today’s recommended read: **US LNG export surge and soft China demand meet record European imports, Clyde Russell** Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns...

The world’s most valuable company reports earnings this week, and investors are nervous. With AI spending ballooning and just four customers driving most of Nvidia’s revenue, the market wants answers. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by S...