Reuters Morning Bid

SK Hynix hits the Nasdaq today, but can it close the valuation gap with Micron? Also, Japan's Finance Ministry tells its $1.81 trillion pension fund to stop sending money abroad, rattling the yen and Japanese bonds. And Wall Street braces for a brutal Tuesday, with five of the six biggest U.S. banks reporting on the same day. Today’s recommended read: From curiosity to cornerstone - how batte...

Oil prices jump after President Trump says the U.S. memorandum of understanding with Iran is "over," while chip stocks see a brief Asia-session rally that quickly fades. And the June Fed minutes signal a divided central bank that's in no rush to act on inflation. Today’s recommended read: Forget TACO. Trump's best Mexican food acronym is TAMALES, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Mornin...

Oil jumps after President Donald Trump says the U.S. ceasefire with Iran is over after the two sides traded attacks overnight. Chip stocks slide as China reportedly considers limiting foreign access to its top AI models and DeepSeek pursues its own chip. And FOMC minutes due later in the day arrive against a backdrop of higher bond yields. Today’s recommended read: Oil refiners' Hormuz windfall ma...

Samsung posted a 19-fold jump in quarterly revenue overnight, but shares fell 10% as investors weigh whether the AI trade is shifting from scarcity to abundance. U.S. services activity cooled slightly but remained in expansion territory. And U.S. President Donald Trump travels to Ankara for a NATO summit, where European defense spending pledges and the U.S. troop presence in Europe are expected to...

OPEC+ approves another production quota increase of 188,000 barrels per day, adding to market bets on a supply glut. Chip stocks are also in focus, with Samsung set to report blockbuster earnings and SK Hynix launching its Nasdaq listing. And the NATO summit puts Ukraine back in the spotlight. Today’s recommended read: OPEC+ to boost crude output, but can it deliver and who will buy?, Clyde Russel...

The U.S. economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, well below the 110,000 forecast in a Reuters poll, taking pressure off the Fed and pushing the dollar lower. Meanwhile, chip stocks sell off as investors rotate out of AI, and Asian factory activity expands, giving global stocks their best week since May. Today’s recommended read: LME metals whipsawed by war and peace in first half of 2026, Andy Hom...

Meta surges 10% after reports the company is building out a cloud business and looking to monetize excess AI computing capacity. June payrolls land a day early, with the Fed's next move riding on the numbers. And the Financial Times reports OpenAI is proposing to hand the U.S. government a 5% stake ahead of a planned IPO. Today’s recommended read: Wall Street's aging bull meets an 'everlasting' US...

Fed chair Kevin Warsh speaks at the ECB's Sintra conference as markets hunt for fresh policy signals and Treasury yields climb. A surprise jump in U.S. job openings for a second straight month pushes the odds of a July Fed hike to one in three, with payrolls due Thursday. And the yen hits a 40-year low against the dollar, with Japanese authorities still holding back on intervention. Today’s recomm...

In a special midyear edition of Morning Bid, Mike Dolan is joined by Jamie McGeever to look back on a wild first half of 2026, with record highs for the S&P 500 and Dow, the best quarter ever for U.S. chip stocks, and the worst month on record for the Magnificent Seven. Plus, a look ahead to midterm elections, a deeply divided Fed outlook, and what a Supreme Court ruling on Lisa Cook means for the...

Markets reach the halfway point of 2026 with a packed and shortened week, with the June payrolls report moved to Thursday ahead of the July 4 holiday. Chip stocks are sitting on their best quarter on record, but profit-taking, a possible OpenAI IPO delay, and a fresh warning from the Bank for International Settlements about the durability of the AI boom are giving investors pause. Oil markets shru...

Apple announces price hikes on iPads and MacBooks, blaming surging memory chip costs, sending its stock down six percent. Reports that OpenAI may delay its IPO to 2027 add to nerves around the AI trade. A vessel strike in the Strait of Hormuz briefly rattles oil markets before prices resume their slide. And JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon is reported to be staying on for another three years. Today’s recomm...

Micron, one of the world's leading memory stocks, reports earnings roughly $5 billion above expectations and outlines $22 billion in customer commitments, reigniting the chip stock rally worldwide. Meanwhile, crude oil completes a dramatic round trip to pre-Iran-war levels, but two-year Treasury yields remain about 75 basis points higher than before the conflict began, suggesting the Fed's inflati...

A dramatic selloff in chip stocks has Wall Street asking whether the AI boom is hitting a wall. With rising bets on Fed rate hikes despite Chair Kevin Warsh ditching forward guidance, investors are bracing for more volatility. Today’s recommended read: Fed's bubble blind spot is cause for anxiety, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Ope...

On the 10th anniversary of the Brexit vote, UK gilt markets are calm in the face of Keir Starmer's resignation, a signal investors are taking the UK's seventh prime minister in a decade largely in stride - for now. Meanwhile, the threat of a US rate hike hit the biggest tech stocks on Wall Street, including new IPO darling SpaceX. The sell-off was far reaching - Japan's yen hovers near a 40-year l...

A 60-day ceasefire framework between the U.S. and Iran gives oil markets some relief, though traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at roughly a quarter of pre-war levels. As investors continue to measure the heat in the Middle East, over in the UK the resignation of Keir Starmer has been met with a cool reception. Many are waiting to see the details of transition. Meanwhile, the severity of...

Doubts emerge over the U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework after a last-minute cancellation of talks leaves oil traders on edge ahead of a long weekend. With U.S. and much of Asian markets closed for holidays, thin liquidity is amplifying price swings. The yen and SpaceX shares are also in focus. Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for my newsletter here. Subscribe t...

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh makes his debut with a hawkish hold and a notably short statement, wrong-footing markets that had hoped for a softer tone. Meanwhile, details of the U.S.-Iran deal suggest Iran may have come away with more leverage than expected, even as crude prices fall on Hormuz optimism. And a Manchester by-election could determine who becomes Britain's next prime minister. Today’s re...

It's Fed day, and Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair, with markets watching for signals on the path ahead. Oil slides below $80 a barrel as details of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding emerge, while SpaceX briefly overtakes Microsoft in market value following its recent IPO. Today’s recommended read: Is the Iran war just an energy shock - or a turning point?, Clyde Russell Subscribe to M...

The Bank of Japan delivers a widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike, its highest level since 1995, yet the yen fails to rally and traders keep piling on bearish bets. Plus, Nvidia taps the bond market for the first time in five years, and SpaceX shares keep surging after last week's blockbuster IPO. Today’s recommended read: Oil markets bet Trump would chicken out on Iran. They won, Ron Bousso S...

A U.S.-Iran peace framework sends oil down around 4% and lifts equity futures, but analysts caution that physical supply disruptions, insurance costs, and unresolved leverage questions mean relief for energy markets could be slow to materialize. The deal lands just as central banks in Washington, Tokyo, and London prepare for a busy week of rate decisions. Today’s recommended read: Fragile Iran de...

SpaceX makes its stock market debut after raising $75 billion in the world’s biggest IPO. Friday’s trading will be a key test for the rocket maker and Wall Street. With Anthropic, OpenAI, Alphabet and Meta all eyeing fresh capital raises, the question is whether there is enough demand to cover the supply. Today’s recommended read: Red-hot SpaceX IPO may burn retail buyers, Jamie McGeever Subscribe...

The ECB is widely expected to raise rates on Thursday with two more are already priced in for the year. Meanwhile, a fragile calm returns after U.S.-Iran military exchanges shook markets overnight, and Oracle falls 10% after results highlight a heavy debt load. Today’s recommended read: 'Global euro' needs more joint debt to pass muster, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter,...

Oil rebounds as U.S. and Iran trade fresh strikes. Wall Street braces for a inflation report expected to push the headline rate above 4%. And the SpaceX IPO, a 10-year Treasury auction, and a likely ECB rate hike round out a packed week. Today’s recommended read: Stock-pay boom amplifies US economic drumbeat, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on...

Dip buyers pile back into chip stocks. China's May exports beat forecasts, fueled by a jump in memory chip prices - raising fresh inflation concerns for the Fed. Plus, OpenAI files confidentially for an IPO targeting a $1 trillion valuation, the third of the mega IPOs expected this summer. Today’s recommended read: Will AI become a public utility?, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid ...

The SpaceX IPO - reported to be more than twice oversubscribed - arrives against a turbulent backdrop, with the chip sector posting its worst single-day drop of the year on Friday. A blowout May payrolls report has markets pricing in nearly two Fed rate hikes within 12 months, defying President Trump's calls for lower rates. And oil surges more than 4% after Israel and Iran trade missile strikes,...