Recharge: Overtake Mode's Podcast

After nailing our predictions in Austria, our model had a much rougher time at Silverstone — and so did the bookmakers. But there's a receipt worth reading: once you strip out the three DNFs and Antonelli's broken-car heartbreak, our post-qualifying model actually called the finishing order more accurately than the market did. The chaos hurt everyone; the underlying read held up. We get into the o...

We discuss the model's performance this past weekend against the bookmakers' odds — and we start entertaining ways to improve it further. We also get into all the on-track action, from Russell's victory to Verstappen's "Karen" moment when Hamilton blocked one of his passes. And then there's Cadillac… This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access t...

This week on Recharge, we break down Lewis Hamilton's win, John and Lando Norris' shared takes on George Russell, and how the race's DNFs shook our model at the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix. We also get into the underrated role team managers play in their drivers' success. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit overtakem...

After a chaotic and penalty-ridden Grand Prix in the principality, Nate and John break down how the Overtake Mode model did in the face of an onslaught of penalties, safety cars, and mega upsets. Hint: we actually didn’t do so badly! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit overtakemode.substack.com

Following the 2026 Canadian Grand Prix in Montreal, we break down the madness on track, all the DNFs, and McLaren's epic misfire. This race weekend battered our model, but the bookmakers didn't fare much better. Nate also teases our model’s Monaco predictions as we brace for another weekend without F1. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access...

Following the 2026 Miami Grand Prix, we break down Antonelli's win, McLaren's resurgence, our model’s performance, and Toto’s neglect of George in favor of Kimi. We also dig into the Red Bull second seat curse, Williams' mysteriously slimmed-down chassis, and John finally — finally — understands super clipping. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or g...

After Suzuka, we discuss why the model reached its greatest accuracy yet for both our pre- and post-qualifying predictions. After John gushes over Piastri’s return to form, "Toto Wolff" even calls in to congratulate Kimi Nate on his first F1 victory. We then discuss why Verstappen continues to rank highly in our predicted finishes despite Red Bull's poor form this season, and why we expect McLaren...

Following the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix, we discuss the challenges of modelling the grid's prevalent unreliability problems, Hamilton's return to form, Kimi Antonelli's successful campaign for his first F1 win, and why Alpine has a better handle on the Mercedes power unit than fellow customer teams McLaren and Williams. Nate also attempts to apologize for underestimating Hamilton — even while paying...

Our F1 prediction model called 2 of 3 podium finishers in Australia — and it painted a relatively accurate picture of where the other 19 drivers finished. We break down Mercedes' dominance, Ferrari’s resurgence, and what the data got right and wrong. Plus: Piastri's costly crash, Nate scolds John for insufficient Russell reverence, and a preview of what our model sees coming in China. recharge-aus...

The wait is over. The new cars finally race this weekend, and we’re dropping our predictions. Listen to the latest episode of Recharge for our thoughts on testing, our model’s top ten drivers, and what might break our forecast. Stay tuned for our complete list of race weekend predictions on Thursday and a post-quali slate of predictions before the Grand Prix! This is a public episode. If you would...

As the first week of official testing came to a close, we sat down to discuss where the model currently stands for the first episode of our mini-podcast. What are our predictions? What will we be looking for this season? Tune in to find out! We’re still perfecting our audio quality, and we also mention a few F1 personalities that may not be familiar to the new or casual F1 fan. See below for a sho...

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