Podcast Archive

Do you sell FMG on the back of a 3% fall in the iron ore price - have a look at the STOCK BOX in the strategy piece today. The Technology herd is selling off again - today we talk about the importance of sentiment over fundamentals. Some Members make some great suggestions for the ETF portfolio which saw a lot of changes yesterday. We talk FOMC, the oil price, the OECD, the Jobs data and have the...

Lots of stuff in the podcast today - a smorgasbord of commentary including an education in broker forecasts as well as the now usual Technical observations. See the broker research on coal stocks which are bottoming and on Macquarie which downgraded earnings forecasts this week and Telstra which is back to being an income stock it has fallen that far. We have also made some significant changes to...

Marcus had his hair cut yesterday - his daughter used to work in the Poodle Parlour and does the family Cavoodle - you can see the result in the ABC video on the website this morning. Lots of interesting stuff to cover today from dentists trading Tesla options, to Afterpay, to Boeing, to the Macquarie top ten tips for a recovery, Baillieus top ten small caps, two new stocks in the Marcus Today Gro...

With results season done and dusted and most of the main ex-dividend dates behind us, we have a couple of weeks to catch our breath before AGM season hits its straps. Plenty on the economic calendar but the focus this week remains on deciphering whether the unfolding rotation away from the tech sector is a significant market pivot point or simply a speed bump that could provide a buying opportunit...

A lot of thoughts going through our heads about the Portfolios - is this a cash up moment or an opportunity, should we sell two top performers coming off the top, what could turn the market next week? We also publish the ETF spreadsheet and prepare for some changes to the ETF portfolio. There are some interesting Director purchases in the Strategy piece today and two technical observations in two...

Is that the end of the correction - we discuss today's bounce and decide whether we can confidently buy back in. We also look at the market PE for the S&P 500, the NASDAQ and the All Ordinaries and ask "Is the market cheap?". There are a host of sell signals in the technical observations section today including a number of COVID beneficiaries now coming of the top. 

Is this a cash up moment? Is this a major market pivot point? We answer those questions today in the Strategy section. We also look at whether we should set up an ETF SMA (Separately Managed Account) and question whether it will be possible to get the liquidity we'll need to make major market calls. Finally we defy logic and note a number of large ASX stocks showing buy signals whilst the mar...

The "Nasdaq Whale" has potentially created the US technology bubble - I look at what it means for technology stocks in Australia and the rest of the market. One broker says the world's three biggest economies will be back to normal by year end. Another broker lists their recovery stocks. We have a host of Technical observations including a couple of our biggest and safest stocks tha...

Ben takes a look at the week ahead as the market shows some fight this morning. Things are quietening down a little with results season now behind us and US markets closed tonight in observance of the Labor Day holiday. There are still plenty of companies going ex-dividend and a few economic drops but the main focus this week is figuring out what exactly to make of the technology sell-off. 

We have launched the MARCUS TODAY ETF PORTFOLIO which is a tool to effect our ambition to deliver "Step Performance" to those who want a low cost, low risk, low volatility, low vigilance, low admin, long-term compounding investment in the average return. Then if we can “Add Brains” by timing the market, as we have been over the last couple of years, we hope to significantly improve upon...

Lots of questions answered this morning - After a 5.9% fall in the FANGS+6 stocks overnight should we sell the market. A lot of emails asking whether this is another moment for us to cash out. We answer that in the STRATEGY section today. Also in the podcast today we introduce the MARCUS TODAY ETF PORTFOLIO starting with one investment in one ASX matching ETF. We show you how "Step Performanc...

A recovery stock that is worth topping up on. A big stock that is turning on the charts and the brokers like. Should you buy AMP for the 6% special dividend plus franking? The ETF Portfolio - its coming tomorrow. 

More on ETFs today including two educational podcasts and the ETF spreadsheet repeated. download that. Also an ETF recommendation from a Member.  \No changes today. Our market down 107 points yesterday (1.8%) and closing below 6000 again. Compared to the US it looked like a bit of an aberration and in trying to explain it one broker says it was end of month re-balancing. Certainly seems to be the...

A shabby day today that has not been reciprocated in the US market - maybe it'll blow over. US Futures are up. RBA today. BNPL takes a bloody nose as with one sweep of computer code PayPal adds "Pay in Four" to PayPal usage in the US. We talk about "Beneficiaries and Victims" and switching from one to the other at the right time (have we gone too early?). A few technical s...

Ben takes a look at the week ahead as a trickle of results today all but wraps up results season and gives us all a chance to catch our breath. Focus now turns to ex-dividend dates for income investors and a few notable economic drops. 

Its been all about Powell overnight and the re-setting of the Fed's monetary policy focus from containing inflation to promoting full employment. Financials popped the rest of the market (technology) dropped and we have the same in our market this morning. Not the best day overall. We talk about how to protect against a market drop. We ask whether the S&P 500 is top or bottom of the range...

A few additions to the MT Portfolios this morning as we continue to add holdings and exposure to the recovery theme. All eyes on Jerome Powell tonight. We talk about the Fiscal Cliff being a Fiscal Brick Wall in consumer spending. there is a Webinar recording on "Investment Mistakes" - it takes about an hour. It is full of "Rants". Wouldn't want to bore you. And we talk ab...

An interesting concept today - I have called it PetBarn - the realisation that if you want a job at PetBarn you'd better take it now because if you wait for those Jobkeeper payments to run out you are going to be looking for a job at the same time as everyone else. In the same way, today we imagine what the stock market is going to look like when all this COVID paranoia goes away. You need to...

The "Reopening Trade" is the theme of the day -  which is perfect for our settings. It means the cyclical stocks that will recover if the virus went away (Banks, REITs, energy, travel, tourism…) are going up this morning on rising vaccine hopes. Banks in particular. Some of them up almost 5%. Fingers crossed for the start of a more extended rally. Meanwhile we talk about the ETF portfoli...

Over the hump but the results season roulette wheel keeps on spinning for another week. Ben O’Leary takes a quick look at what to expect from some of the upcoming results and the ex-dividend dates to be aware of. 

In today's podcast we look at a template for living with "Never Ending Pandemic Concerns" which is the prediction of one strategist. If we adopt the New York mantra life may become a series of lock down stages depending on infection parameters as is happening in Victoria and Australia already and the economic damage that ensues will depend upon the settings. For instance New York wi...

The Results Roulette wheel continues to turn. IEL up 30% on results. WEB down 10%. No change in Portfolio holdings today, feeling rather overwhelmed by the frantic nature of the results season and the need to cover a lot of ground in not enough time. Being 'frantic' is no fun but this is about as bad as it gets  - this week and next week. Meanwhile I present a Smorgasbord of interesting...

A very busy day of results today, swamped in fact. The S&P 500 hits a new high prompting a conversation about how to spot the top of the market. A few other themes developing including discretionary retail having a boom on stimulus cheques that are going to run out. Another theme is the Chinese probe into Australian wine dumping which raises the possibility of all Australian stocks exposed to...

Busy day as I deliver a Webinar to the ASA - they sold out (600 tickets) which makes it blindingly obvious I need to be doing this for Marcus Today Members. I will buy the software today. A copy of the presentation will be in the newsletter soon. Otherwise we hoping for a market breakout as virus news improves. BHP results a slight miss. WBC not paying a dividend taking the sector down. Wish we&ap...

As we enter the busiest week on the results calendar Ben O'Leary has a look at how things are travelling so far and what to expect from some of the big names reporting soon.