Phil Dobbie
NAB Morning Call
Start your day with the NAB Morning Call for the latest overnight key economic and market information straight from our team of expert market economists and strategists. This includes perspective on overnight news and market price action and the forces shaping movements in Australian and global markets in the days ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Episodes
Weekend Edition: From COVID to Conflict – Australia’s Supply Chain Bottlenecks 16.10.2026 32:51
Friday 16th October 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here . This week Phil speaks with Tom Jensen, Head of International Freight & Logistics at the Freight & Trade Alliance (FTA), to unpack the relentless disruptions hitting global sea freight. From post-COVID supply chain adjustments a...
Weaker jobs sink the Aussie dollar 15.10.2026 16:11
Friday 16th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB NAB’s Ken Crompton joins Phil after a turbulent 24 hours across global and domestic markets. Investors pulled capital out of the tech sector amid rising concerns over AI-related corporate debt and capital spending, driving a safe-haven rally into US Treasuries that pushed 10-year y...
US Inflation surprise, markets ready for Aussie unemployment payback 14.10.2026 15:22
Thursday 15th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB NAB's Taylor Nugent joins Phil to break down the market fallout from higher-than-expected US CPI data, where headline inflation reaccelerated to 3.7%. The surprise print triggered an immediate knee-jerk reaction across asset classes—sending the US Dollar Index up half a perce...
RBA Rate Risks, Slump in Business Confidence, and the IMF's Sticky Inflation Warning 13.10.2026 16:01
Wednesday 14th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB In today's episode, Phil Dobbie and NAB Senior FX Strategist Ray Attrill unpack a challenging economic picture as global inflation pressures and tight monetary policy weigh on market sentiment. Domestically, the NAB Business Survey highlighted a sharp drop in business confid...
The Chips Are Down Once More 12.10.2026 14:18
Tuesday 13th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Semiconductor stocks are taking a beating as competition from China and internal US pressures weigh heavily on tech, while oil prices continue their climb as the Middle East conflict flares and the energy ceasefire fails to hold. NAB's Rodrigo Catril joins Phil to break down t...
Middle East Escalation vs. Supply Deals: Energy Markets on Edge 11.10.2026 11:07
Monday 12th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB A fresh escalation of Middle East conflict is overshadowing energy markets after Houthi attacks on Riyadh’s airport, clashing with President Trump's announced US-Russia diesel agreement and reported Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, Ph...
Weekend Edition: Australia’s Rental Paradox 09.10.2026 33:32
Friday 9th October 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here . Australia’s housing market continues to present a puzzling contradiction: despite record-low vacancy rates and a severe structural shortage of housing, rental price growth has stalled—and in major cities like Sydney and Canberra, house...
Meanwhile, back in the Gulf 08.10.2026 11:38
Friday 9th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Risk-off sentiment dominated global markets as geopolitical tensions flared in the Persian Gulf. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, NAB’s Ken Crompton joins Phil to discuss a turbulent session sparked by an attack on an oil tanker near Qatar, which sent Brent crude surging...
Oil Drifts Lower, French Yields Rocket 07.10.2026 15:29
Friday 2nd October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil drifts lower, French yields rocket, and the FOMC minutes reveal a Federal Reserve that is far from done worrying about inflation. Phil is joined by NAB’s Ray Attrill who says the newly released FOMC minutes are a little more dovish than anticipated, whilst the NY Fed’s consume i...
Le Pen Is Mightier Than the Deficit 06.10.2026 16:37
Wednesday 7th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB The S&P 500 has notched its first fresh all-time high since August, supported by optimism ahead of the Q3 earnings season and steadying US Treasury yields. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil is joined by NAB’s Gavin Friend to dissect the market moves—starting wi...
US jobs soft, but yields are still rising 05.10.2026 15:00
Tuesday 6th October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB US equity markets kicked off the week with solid gains as the tech sector pushed higher, but fixed income markets continued to grapple with elevated yields as US 10-year Treasuries pushed up to 5.34%. Following a long weekend in parts of Australia, Phil Dobbie and NAB's Taylor...
Weekend Edition: A Brighter Take On AI 02.10.2026 32:25
Friday 25th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here . As artificial intelligence rapidly transforms from a speculative tech trend into the primary driver of global market returns, how are institutional investors actually positioning their capital for the road ahead? This Phil Dobbie sit...
"Sacré-Cœur! 01.10.2026 16:55
Friday 2nd October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB France's escalating budget woes and fiscal watchdog criticism have sent sovereign bond markets into a tizzy, causing French-German yield spreads to widen sharply. On today's edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie and NAB's Ken Crompton break down these mixed global...
It's All About Inflation 30.09.2026 14:29
Thursday 1st October 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Global financial markets are navigating a sharp divergence between the US and Europe, driven entirely by conflicting inflation trends. On today’s edition of the NAB Morning Call, Phil Dobbie speaks with NAB’s Skye Masters to unpack why resilient US economic data, cooler-than-expec...
RBA back on the narrow path 29.09.2026 16:52
Wednesday 30th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s unanimous decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, market attention has shifted to Governor Michele Bullock’s post-meeting press conference. NAB's Taylor Nugent says her commentary hinted that the RBA may be ret...
Rates, bonds and oil – how high can they go 28.09.2026 17:21
Tuesday 29th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB As crude oil holds above $105 a barrel and US 10-year Treasury yields surge to 5.24%, markets are grappling with how much further central banks can push policy rates to restrain persistent inflation. On today’s podcast Phil talks with NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld ahead of the...
Another open and shut case 27.09.2026 14:47
Monday 28th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Donald Trunp has knocked back Iran’s proposal that could have seen the Strait of Hormuz reopen within seven-days. Instead, the US President believes economic sanctions will ultimately have the desired outcome. So, does that mean oil prices will bounce higher this morning? NAB’s R...
Weekend edition: Living beyond the goats cheese curtain 25.09.2026 31:37
Friday 25th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here . The hipsters live inside the goat’s cheese curtain before they start a family and move to the burbs in search of their quarter acre block. That’s the traditional pattern of life in Australia, but demographer Bernard Salt, from the De...
The V Word 24.09.2026 15:56
Friday 25th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB The "V" word is firmly back on the agenda as geopolitical friction, soaring energy prices, and relentless sovereign yield pressures inject fresh ‘volatility’ across global markets. This morning Phil and NAB’s Taylor Nugent break down the forces driving crude oil back ov...
PMIs push bond yields higher, AUD a victim 23.09.2026 17:33
Thursday 24th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB The US dollar and global bond yields have risen sharply. NAB’s Ray Attrill says a bit part of this was stronger than expected PMIs, particularly for the US. It shows demand isn’t falling, whilst oil supplies remain a concern. So much of a concern that the US is limiting diesel...
Trump talks oil down 22.09.2026 13:40
Wednesday 23rd September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil is now trading below $100 after President Trump says talk have gone well with Iran during the UN General Assembly in New York, with more talks scheduled I’n the near future’. NAB’s Ken Crompton says news of the east-west Saudi pipeline reopening has also helped. Markets ha...
Momentarily below 100 21.09.2026 12:32
Tuesday 22nd September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Oil ticked below $99 momentarily overnight. NAB’s Skye Masters says reports of more traffic through the Strait have helped, along with a comment from the US president that he wlll ‘probably’ talk with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian at the UN Assembly this week/...
Markets not convinced by BoJ hike 20.09.2026 15:32
Monday 21st September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Even though the Bank of Japan lifted rates, as widely anticipated, the Yen lost ground on Friday. NAB’s Sally Auld says the 7-2 vote split was responsible for the caution, particularly as the two dissenters were recent government appointees. There’s also speculation of cur...
Weekend Edition: Red, Blue, or Deadlock? Michael Townsend on implications of the US midterms 18.09.2026 30:08
Friday 18th September 2026 Please note this communication is not a research report and has not been prepared by NAB Research analysts. Read the full disclaimer here . With the US midterm elections looming and the threat of Republican losses hanging over Capitol Hill, how much should investors actually care about a potential shift in congressional power? This weekend on the NAB Morning Call, Phil s...
Bouncing back 17.09.2026 16:00
Friday 18th September 2026 NAB Markets Research Disclaimer Financial Services Guide | Information on our services - NAB Markets have shrugged off their early response to the hawkish press conference from Kevin Warsh yesterday. NAB’s Ken Crompton says the unwound started soon after the initial response, with bond yields falling and shares recovering. Both have been helped by a further reduct...
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