Nate Smithson

Moving Parts Weekly Commodity Market Update

Business EN ↓ 230 episodes

A weekly discussion on what is driving the agricultural and food commodity markets. Corn, soybeans, veg oils, wheat, dairy and protein.

Author

Nate Smithson

Category

Business

Podcast website

podcasters.spotify.com

Latest episode

Jul 7, 2026

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Episodes

July 7 Weekly Key Market Drivers 07.07.2026

We hope everyone had a great 4th of July weekend! Today, we’ll go over what we learned from the USDA’s June 30 reports, what to expect on this Friday’s WASDE report, and what to make of all this hot weather.

June 30 Weekly Key Market Drivers 30.06.2026

Buckle up, it’s Report Day! Today, we’ll preview the USDA’s BIG June reports (June 1 stocks and 2026 acreage) and how the results could potentially move the market for corn, wheat, and soybeans.

June 23 Weekly Key Market Drivers 23.06.2026

Crop conditions? Looking more fancy!  Spec funds? Still selling! Peace Deal? Looking more likely! 

June 16 Weekly Key Market Drivers 16.06.2026

PEACE deal? We shall see…today we’ll discuss the market reaction, last week’s June WASDE report, and a smaller-than-expected NOPA crush report.

June 9 Weekly Key Market Drivers 09.06.2026

Sell Mortimer, sell! This week, we’ll talk about the sell off in the Big 3 (corn, wheat, soybeans) last week, and we’ll preview this week’s June WASDE report.

June 3 Weekly Key Market Drivers 03.06.2026

RIN-sanity rallies the SBO market as energy remains volatile and we continue to be “close to a peace deal” in Iran.

May 27 Weekly Key Market Drivers 27.05.2026

War on, war off, again! We’ll discuss the tenuous ceasefire, continued volatility in the energy markets, and U.S. planting progress.

May 19 Weekly Key Market Drivers 19.05.2026

Volatility in the markets continues as traders react to the Trump/Xi Summit, war updates and energy prices, and a potentially disastrous HRW crop.

May 12 Weekly Key Market Drivers 12.05.2026

War update: will it ever end? Today’s we’ll give our weekly war debrief before discussing the continued winter wheat woes and previewing the USDA’s May WASDE report.

May 5 Weekly Key Market Drivers 05.05.2026

Energy rallies again! Today we’ll give you the usual war update, discuss the latest crop conditions, and more.

April 28 Weekly Key Market Drivers 28.04.2026

War and weather whiplash! Today we will discuss the rally in energy markets, the latest crop conditions, and another new spec record in SBO.

April 21 Weekly Key Market Drivers 21.04.2026

War and weather are the two big headlines today! We’ll discuss the ever-changing conditions in the Straight of Hormuz, dryness and drought in winter wheat country, and more.

April 14 Weekly Key Market Drivers 14.04.2026

War (and volatility) continues! Today, we’ll discuss the volatility in commodity markets in recent weeks, results from last week’s April WASDE, and how the weather has been affecting crop conditions.

April 7 Weekly Key Market Drivers 07.04.2026

Today we’ll discuss the upcoming April WASDE report, a record long spec position in soybean oil, and some stinky U.S. winter wheat conditions.

March 31 Weekly Key Market Drivers 31.03.2026

We finally got an EPA announcement on the biofuel mandates! Now what do they mean? It’s a bit confusing but today, we’ll try our best to help you make sense of what was announced, and what it means for commodity markets. We’ll also preview today’s BIG USDA crop reports. Plenty of Moving Parts to talk about in these markets!

March 24 Weekly Key Market Drivers 24.03.2026

Today, we discuss the all the spec buying in the SBO market, and the news (or lack thereof) as far as EPA biofuels announcements. Could we get a mandate this week? We’ll also preview the BIG 3/31 crop reports.

March 17 Weekly Key Market Drivers 17.03.2026

Today, we’ll discuss the slight pullback in the soy complex, last week’s WASDE report, and another big NOPA crush report.

March 10 Weekly Key Market Drivers 10.03.2026

Energy explosion! Monday saw WTI oil trading in a range of over 42% in a single trading session, and the volatility has been felt by pretty much everything else that we track. Today we’ll talk about the crazy swings in the energy markets, tomorrow’s USDA WASDE report, and what’s new in South America with the weather story.

March 3 Weekly Key Market Drivers 03.03.2026

War! Today we’ll discuss this weekend’s strike on Iran, and it’s downstream effects on energy markets and commodities in general. We’ll also talk the China-Canada trade deal, another record crush month, and more.

February 24 Weekly Key Market Drivers 24.02.2026

SCOTUS rejects POTUS Trump’s tariffs! Today we’ll discuss the other options Trump is exploring to implement new tariffs. We’ll also talk about the crop estimates from last week’s USDA Outlook Forum, as well as our usual dairy and weather updates.

February 17 Weekly Key Market Drivers 17.02.2026

Big week for managed money, who collectively decided it was time to buy the soy complex on a combination of higher energy prices, trade deals, positive China comments. We’ll talk potential upcoming biofuel announcements, our supply and demand balance sheets, and our usual dairy and weather updates.

February 10 Weekly Key Market Drivers 10.02.2026

More trade deals! It looks like the main market movers for commodity markets this week have been the two new trade deals with Argentina and, more specifically, India. We’ll talk about the reaction from the soy complex, as well as give a preview of today’s February WASDE report.

February 3 Weekly Key Market Drivers 03.02.2026

Ag futures have had a lot to react to this past week with the volatility in energy markets, India’s trade deal with the U.S., and the potential for 45Z final rules this week. We’ll also discuss USDA oil stocks numbers, the partial government shutdown, and what’s new in the dairy markets.

January 27 Weekly Key Market Drivers 27.01.2026

A “Snowmeggedon”, surging energy prices, and the looming 45Z biofuels ruling are the main drivers this week. Today we’ll break down the latest news in those areas along with dairy, South America, and more.

January 20 Weekly Key Market Drivers 20.01.2026

Biofuel news! Sort of…today we’ll discuss a biofuels article that sent the SBO market higher despite no definitive announcements. We’ll also touch on the NOPA crush report, the Canada/China trade deal, and more.

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