Moving Markets

The US Federal Reserve increased interest rates for the ninth consecutive time and signalled that additional increases might be forthcoming, prompting equity markets to tank. Today, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England are likely to follow suit with increases in their respective policy rates, continuing their fight against sticky inflation. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research gives...

US equities rose yesterday, supported by comments from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that the US government would step in again if smaller banks suffered deposit runs. Investors are now firmly focused on today's Federal Reserve meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference - it will be interesting to see if the markets give the decisions a thumbs up or thumbs down. In today's episode, Dario Me...

The Credit Suisse ‘solution’ seems to have calmed global equity markets – with the major indices trading up in yesterday’s/overnight sessions. Regulators outside of Switzerland have been keen to clarify that shareholder capital has to be written down before AT1 debt, following the upset that has been caused in bond markets by Credit Suisse’s AT1 bonds being written down to zero. David Meier joins...

With the UBS take-over of Credit Suisse dominating all the headlines, both stock and credit markets are under pressure, the latter due to fears on deeply subordinated bond exposures, which the Swiss regulator called worthless in the case of Credit Suisse. Markus Wachter, from Technical Analysis, gives some guidance on where support and resistance levels are across the major market indices. 00:14 I...

News that the biggest banks in the US said they’ll deposit USD 30 billion with First Republic Bank seemed to boost investor confidence yesterday and equity markets rebounded. All the major indices in the US and Europe ended the day in the green. Also yesterday, the ECB raised interest rates by 50 basis points - our Chief Economist, David Kohl, shares his thoughts on this and his expectations on th...

Credit Suisse will borrow CHF 50 billion from the SNB and make a tender offer to buy back up to CHF 3 billion in Dollar and Euro-denominated debt. European Central Bank officials have a crucial decision to make today as they consider whether the market turmoil surrounding Credit Suisse is severe enough to derail a long-anticipated interest-rate hike. Jeremy Hunt's decision to inject more than GBP...

US equity markets staged a rebound yesterday following the brutal selloff earlier this week, as traders see the worst of the US banking sector turmoil now behind us. UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt will today unveil his first budget as the country battles a cost-of-living crisis and a stalling economy. And Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research Analyst, takes a closer look at what the recent market developm...

The major US indices closed lower yesterday with the exception of tech which managed to close higher. Asia also traded lower overnight. Traders and investors are now eyeing other banks to see if they have similar issues to SVB, and also mulling whether or not the bank’s collapse might lead the US federal Reserve to change their monetary policy path. All eyes will be on US inflation data later toda...

US regulators stepped in over the weekend to ensure that customers of the collapsed bank will have access to their insured and uninsured deposits. This is calming markets after last week's losses, with the S&P 500 set to open sharply higher and investors reducing bets on central bank tightening. In today's episode, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, looks at the level that the S&P...

Wall Street suffered a losing session yesterday, dragged down by financials and concerns that higher interest rates could leave banks exposed to loan losses due to borrower defaults. Meanwhile, remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell continue to leave market participants pondering how much the US central bank might raise interest rates and what the consequences might be. Today's guests...

After suggesting on Tuesday that the US Federal Reserve might be prepared to increase the pace of interest rate hikes again, in his testimony the Fed Chair Jerome Powell softened his tone slightly yesterday and said that policymakers would wait for more data before making this month’s interest rate decision. With investors considering what his remarks mean in terms of the risk of a recession, ther...

Jerome Powell warned yesterday that the “the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated”, which set in motion a sell-off in stocks and bonds and saw the dollar stage a rally. Asia (ex Japan) followed suit with the added downward impetus of a more-modest-than-expected China growth target. Equity strategist Leonardo Pellandini joins the show to explain why he...

The rally on equity markets fizzled out towards the end of the trading day in the US as traders started squaring positions ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s US Senate testimony later today. David Kohl, our Chief Economist, explains why the path of least resistance for European inflation data is lower, despite the latest data continuously surprising to the upside, and Manuel Villegas f...

The annual National People’s Congress in China got underway yesterday and China has set a cautious growth target of “around 5%” for this year. With expectations now that demand may be softer than had been expected, iron ore, copper and oil prices all fell on this news. Eyes will stay on Beijing this week but investors will also be watching out for several economic data releases, including US non-f...

Interest rates could continue to rise in both the US and the eurozone. In the US, recent stronger-than-expected economic data has the potential to prompt Federal Reserve officials to raise interest rates more aggressively than previously anticipated. Meanwhile in Europe, a member of the European Central Bank's Governing Council said that market bets on interest rates reaching 4% may be correct if...

Stock and bond markets fell yesterday as investors adjusted their outlook on peak rates after data highlighted persistent inflationary pressures. Our Head of Next Generation Research, Carsten Menke, talks to us about the impact of China’s re-opening on the iron ore market. And Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, gives us an update from Julius Baer’s Investment Committee. 00:14...

Strong economic data out of China sent positive waves through the markets - certainly a nice change after February’s losses. In today's episode, Dario Messi of Fixed Income Research gives his view on what our new growth and interest rate forecasts mean for fixed income investors. This episode ends with Richard Tang, our Head of Research in Hong Kong, who shares his thoughts on the upcoming Nationa...

After three weeks of losses, US equities staged a minor advance on Monday as better-than-expected US economic data releases fueled the higher-for-longer interest rate narrative. This is also helping to push the US dollar higher for the first time in four months, even as ECB officials are also stressing the need for higher interest rates. David Kohl, Chief Economist, adds more colour to the growth...

In preparation for an expected announcement on a post-Brexit deal for Northern Ireland, UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meet today for final negotiations. In other UK news, the International Energy Week returns to London for the first time since the pandemic. In Asia, government investigations into environmental violations could lead to the comp...

On the one-year anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the US is planning to make an announcement today about “sweeping sanctions”, while China has made a proposal calling for a cease-fire. The major US markets ended the day in the green yesterday, with technology the biggest outperforming sector, and today investors will be watching for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data fo...

The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s February meeting show that ongoing interest rate increases are necessary to help stamp out inflation. The Fed’s resolve to keep rates higher for longer is weighing on investor sentiment. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, shares his insights on the European Commission’s proposed reforms of European fiscal rules. 00:14 Introduction and markets w...

Concerns about higher interest rates and the state of the consumer continue to weigh on market sentiment. Meanwhile, on the political front, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered his first state of the nation address in almost two years, which made for some headlines. Leonardo Pellandini, Equity Research Analyst, gives his view on whether investors should chase this year's stock market rally....

As Turkey faces yet another series of devastating earthquakes, geopolitics remain at the forefront of investors’ minds this week. US President Joe Biden made a surprise visit to Kiev yesterday, while UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is trying to win support for a post-Brexit deal. Meanwhile in China, the world’s biggest miner reported its lowest half-year profit since 2021, as the country’s economic...

While US bond and equity markets will remain shut today, due to President’s Day, Asian markets have started the trading week on a strong note with the China reopening trade gaining steam again. Also, Europe’s equity markets are likely to trend further up, extending their recent outperformance. And it is far too early to write off the US stock market as Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis te...

Market sentiment has soured after two Federal Reserve officials said they may favour bigger interest rate hikes to combat persistently high inflation. Investors subsequently raised their expectations of how far the Fed will raise rates, dragging down markets around the world. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides an update on the regulation of digital assets. 00:14 Introduction...