Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points at its latest meeting, signalling the start of a more prolonged tightening cycle. While many economists believe the RBA will need only two more rate hikes, Michael Knox argues that this view does not account for structural inflation pressures already building within the Australian economy. His modelling and economic an...

In this episode, Michael Knox and Stephen Austin from the ABC unpack the economic challenges Australia faces in 2025. With electricity subsidies ending and energy supply constraints persisting, households are bracing for higher power bills and rising inflation. Here’s what’s on the horizon:

Beginning on the 1st of October 2025, the US government began its current Federal government shutdown. The shutdown occurred because Democratic Party Senators refused to support a Continuing Resolution to provide funding for the US government. At the time of writing, Republican Senators have now put up Continuing Resolutions for funding to the Senate 11 times, and Democrat Senators have refused to...

On 7 July the AFR published a list of 37 Economists who had answered a poll on when the RBA would next cut rates. 32 of them thought that the RBA would cut on 8 July. Only 5 of them did not believe the RBA would cut on 8 July. I was one of them. The RBA did not cut.

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that for the RBA to get inflation down to 2.5%, unemployment must rise above 4.5% in Australia. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our latest articles: https://morgans.com.au/insights On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that though the FED are easing quantitative tightening, US consumer demand is still too healthy to allow rate cuts. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our latest articles: https://morgans.com.au/insights On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: t...

Our Model of US GDP says steady growth just below trend. Just where the Fed needs it to keep US Inflation falling. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox gives an update on the Fed Funds and the RBA Cash Rate.  Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Strong corporate profits drive corporate yields lower and stock prices higher. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Inflation tells us why cash rates are where they are, and unemployment tells us where cash rates will be. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox uses the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator to model the US economy and explain why there is no incoming US Recession.  Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/Morg...

Following the Federal Reserve's latest two-day monetary policy meeting, Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says, "yes the FED rates will fall, but only so far." Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/Mor...

Following the RBA's recent decision to hold interest rates, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock said, "where we are now is where we need to be." Chief Economist Michael Knox gives his comments on this saying that the RBA are giving us stability for the near future. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.face...

Following the latest meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox explains that the RBA minutes don’t say rate cuts are a shoo in at all. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter:...

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox explains how the different dates of international financial years generate seasonal variation in the Australian and US stock markets. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter...

Michael explains how a boom in US corporate liquidity is driving US and Australian stock markets upwards. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Michael Knox discusses the February 2024 RBA statement, commenting on monetary policy. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year will be shaded by a major program of quantitative tightening. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox walks us through his model for the US Economy using the Chicago National Activity Indicator, which explains 78% of YoY growth in US GDP. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twit...

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox answers eight questions from the media on his current economic outlook, including the Australian Cash Rate. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

The Summary of Economic Projections say that rates will fall until 2027. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox's outlook for the world economy in 2024 is that growth will slow; inflation will fall; and money will flow into Stock Markets. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.com/Mo...

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that core Australian CPI numbers still suggests another RBA rate hike. However, we may not see rates rise until February 2024. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter: twitter.c...

Is the US Economy entering Deflation? Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox responds to that question and says that, the level of the US Bond is now dependent on the German Bond. Check out more from Morgans: Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.au Check out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/Blog On Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAU On Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans. Australia On Twitter:...