Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes
Ep. 316: Kyle Keane on AI, Forecasting and Turning Blind 10.07.2025 1:04:10
Dr. Kyle Keane is a Senior Lecturer in Assistive Technologies at the University of Bristol, where he leads research at the intersection of artificial intelligence, human cognition and assistive technology design. With a background in quantum computing and computational physics, he applies the scientific rigor of a physicist to studying human perception and the engineer's precision to designing tec...
Ep. 315: Keyu Jin on What Everyone Gets Wrong on China 03.07.2025 46:30
Keyu Jin is a global economist and author. She is an academic member of the China Finance 40 Group and has worked with the World Bank, the IMF, and the China Banking Regulatory Commission, and is a non-executive board member of the luxury conglomerate Richemont and Jardine Matheson. Born and raised in Beijing, she attended high school and college in the United States and holds a PhD in economics f...
Ep. 314: Marvin Barth on Trump's US Resurgence, No Fed Cuts and Dire Europe 27.06.2025 1:04:13
Marvin Barth is the creator of Thematic Markets and 'Seriously, Marvin?!' Thematic Markets is rigorous, institutional-quality research aimed at market professionals, while Seriously, Marvin?! presents more accessible takes on contrarian musings Marvin does not have time to research at Thematic Markets. Both publications benefit from the uniquely broad perspective on the global political economy Ma...
Ep. 313: Tom Montag on the Undiscovered Potential of Carbon Markets 19.06.2025 37:56
Tom Montag is the founding Chief Executive Officer of Rubicon Carbon. Tom has over 20 years of experience in financial markets. Previously, he was the Chief Operating Officer and President of global banking and markets at Bank of America. Tom was also a member of the company's executive management team, overseeing all businesses serving corporations, institutional investors and government entities...
Ep. 312: Deepak Gurnani on Five Steps for Using AI in Investing 12.06.2025 41:15
Deepak Gurnani is the Founder and Managing Partner of Versor Investments. He is the former CIO of Investcorp's Hedge Fund Group and was one of its founding members in 1996. Deepak was also a member of its Management Committee. He retired from Investcorp in March 2013. Prior to Investcorp, Deepak spent six years with Citicorp. In this podcast we discuss e veryone talking about data being important...
Ep. 311: Ralph Sueppel on Quant Trading Macro the Right Way 05.06.2025 48:11
Ralph Sueppel is Managing Director for Research and Trading Strategies at Macrosynergy. Previously, he was an Executive Member and Portfolio Manager at Graham Capital. During his tenure there, he created the Systemic Risk and Systematic Value Project (now Macrosynergy Research), a non-profit project dedicated to educating the broader financial community on the merits of socially responsible macro...
Ep. 310: Helen Thomas on Trump's Controlled Demolition Strategy 30.05.2025 49:35
Helen Thomas is the CEO of Blonde Money, an independent consultancy firm that analyses and monitors mispriced risks in financial markets in the US, UK and the EU. Helen has a long and distinguished career in both finance and politics. She was an adviser to the former Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne. Previously, Helen has been a partner in the global macro hedge fund, ABD Investment Man...
Ep. 309: Adam Frank on Aliens, AI and Climate Collapse 23.05.2025 1:03:53
Adam Frank is a professor of astrophysics at the University of Rochester. A self-described 'evangelist of science,' Adam regularly writes and speaks about subjects like intelligent life forms in the universe, high-energy-density physics, space exploration and missions, climate change and more. In this podcast we discuss public science communication and scientific denialism, intersection of science...
Ep. 308: Tobias Harris on Why Japan Matters 16.05.2025 52:42
Tobias Harris is the Founder and Principal of Japan Foresight LLC. He has observed Japan as a political risk analyst at Teneo Intelligence and as a researcher at universities and think tanks. He is also Senior Advisor for Japan at Aurora Macro Strategies. Tobias is the author of ' The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan' . In this podcast we discuss h ow Japan became key US ally since WW2, w...
Ep. 307: Michael Sandel on Populism, Saving Democracy, and Tyranny of Merit 09.05.2025 1:11:31
Michael Sandel teaches political philosophy at Harvard University. His writings – on justice, ethics, democracy, and markets – have been translated into more than 30 languages. His course 'Justice' is the first Harvard course to be made freely available online and on television, being viewed by tens of millions worldwide. Michael has served on the President's Council on Bioethics and is a member o...
Ep. 306: Ken Rogoff on Dollar Decline, Debt Worries and Fed Independence 02.05.2025 1:52:36
Kenneth Rogoff is Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University, and former chief economist at the IMF. He has long ranked among the top dozen most cited economists and is an international grandmaster of chess. His influential 2009 book with Carmen Reinhart, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, shows the remarkable quantitative similarities across time and countries in the...
Ep. 305: James van Geelen on 'Haves vs Have Nots' Theme, AI and Tariffs 25.04.2025 49:05
James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research, which specializes in illuminating and demystifying the transformative 'megatrends' poised to shape societies, economies, and the market's distribution of returns for years to come. In this podcast we discuss crossovers between emergency medicine and trading, importance of a beginner's mindset, humility, and learning from others, macro and micro equals...
Ep. 304: Zongyuan Zoe Liu on Calculated China vs Unpredictable US 17.04.2025 1:01:39
Zongyuan Zoe Liu is a senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Her work focuses on international political economy, global financial markets, sovereign wealth funds, supply chains of critical minerals, development finance, emerging markets, energy and climate change policy, and East Asia-Middle East relations. Dr. Liu is the author of 'Can BRICS De-dollarize the G...
Ep. 303: Mirza Baig on Trump's Trade Strategy, China Risks and Canada's Dilemma 11.04.2025 46:32
Mirza has a track record of 20 years in the field of researching and trading global foreign exchange. His methodology is built on comprehensive research on underlying fundamentals, rigorous scenario analysis, and a low-frequency, high-conviction approach for idea generation. Mirza has worked at top-tier sell-side firms, including Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, and Point 72, a multi-st...
Ep. 302: Vania Stavrakeva on Macro News, Investor Flows and Trading Markets 04.04.2025 49:54
Vania Stavrakeva is an Assistant Professor of Economics at the London Business School and has a PhD from Harvard. She has extensively studied exchange rate determination and how monetary policy, macroeconomics news and beliefs impact exchange rate movements. She has also produced innovative research on the global network of equity holdings and their impact on equity, fixed income and exchange rate...
Ep. 301: Andrew Polk on China's Bet on Tech Supremacy 28.03.2025 49:26
Andrew Polk is the co-founder and head of economic research at Trivium China, a Beijing-based strategic advisory firm. Before founding Trivium, he was China director at Medley Global Advisors. Previously, he was the resident China economist at The Conference Board's China Center for Economics and Business. Andrew is the co-author of The Long, Soft Fall in Chinese Growth (The Conference Board, 2015...
Ep. 300: Gary Gerstle on Decoding Trump: Power & Chaos (Live at Cambridge University) 21.03.2025 53:04
Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015). His most r...
Ep. 259: Thanos Papasavvas on Trump's (Unsurprising) Geopolitical Shock 14.03.2025 51:05
Thanos is the Founder and CIO of ABP Invest, which he founded in 2015. He began his career as an Economist for the UK Government Economic Service through the Civil Service Fast Stream during the ERM Crisis of 1992. Thanos then embarked on a 20-year asset management career with CSFB Investment Management (Credit Suisse) and Investec Asset Management (Ninety-One) managing assets across fixed income,...
Ep. 258: Randy Schwimmer on Why Private Credit Is Performing 07.03.2025 50:49
Randy Schwimmer is Vice Chairman of Churchill, where he oversees the Investor Solutions Group. Previously, he served as Co-Head of Senior Lending, responsible for senior lending origination and capital markets. Randy also serves on the firm's Executive Committee and Senior Lending Investment Committee. Randy is also the Founder and Publisher of The Lead Left, Churchill's weekly newsletter reviewin...
Ep. 257: Joe Lavorgna on Trump Supercharging US Growth 28.02.2025 37:53
Joe Lavorgna is a Managing Director and Chief Economist for SMBC Nikko Securities. He was previously the Chief Economist for the Americas at Natixis. While there, Joe took a one-year leave of absence to serve in the Trump administration, where he was Special Assistant to the President, and Chief Economist of the National Economic Council. Prior to Natixis, Joe spent 20 years with Deutsche Bank Sec...
Ep. 256: Max Stier on Trump Ripping Up Government 21.02.2025 45:42
Max Stier is President and CEO of the Partnership for Public Service. The Partnership has been widely praised as a thought leader on federal government management issues. Max has worked previously in all three branches of the federal government. Most recently, Max worked at the Department of Housing and Urban Development, having served as the Deputy General Counsel for Litigation. In this podcast,...
Ep. 255: Chris Johnson on Trump vs China 14.02.2025 57:22
Chris Johnson spent nearly two decades at the CIA focusing on China and Asia. Today, Chris is the President and CEO of China Strategies Group. He also serves as a Senior Fellow on Chinese Politics at the Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis and is a senior fellow in the office of the president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the preeminent foreign...
Ep. 254: Jonny Matthews on US Economy and Why the Fed Will Not Cut in 2025 07.02.2025 1:00:07
Jonny Matthews is a senior portfolio manager at Fortem Capital and creator of SuperMacro, an institutional-level macroeconomic research platform. Before that, he spent 12 years as a partner at Brevan Howard, where he managed a $500 million investment portfolio. Earlier in his career, Johny spent 11 years at Citigroup, leading a team in equity derivatives trading following the acquisition of Salomo...
Ep. 253: Barry Eichengreen on Trump Trade Policy, Dollar Status and Debt Crises 31.01.2025 43:38
Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley, is a former senior policy adviser at the International Monetary Fund. He is the author of many books, including 'In Defense of Public Debt' (Oxford University Press, 2021). In this podcast, we discuss the inflation regime, which central banks are most independent, whether Trump can influence...
Ep. 252: Jay Pelosky on How US Equities Could Underperform Rest of the World 24.01.2025 46:16
Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy. In this podcast, we discuss how US, Europe and Asia are fighting over AI, climate and defence, fiscal capacity mat...
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