Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes
Ep. 341: Phil Suttle on Trump's Populism, the Productivity Mystery, and Global Disruption 16.01.2026 45:00
Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor , the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about: US Labo u r Market Dissonance Trump's "Elizabeth Warren" Populism The Product...
Ep. 340: Robert Koenigsberger on EM Cycles, China's Turnaround, and the New Era of Private Credit 07.01.2026 34:26
Robert is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy's Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss: EM i...
Ep. 339: Jay Pelosky on Tech Bubble (or Not), China vs. US, Clean Energy Plays 17.12.2025 48:38
Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy . In this podcast, we discuss: Tripolar World (TPW) - regional integration in Asia, Europe, and Americas. Global...
Ep. 338: Ken Tropin on Talent Recruitment, Fed Risks, and Biggest Underpriced Trade 12.12.2025 28:57
Ken Tropin is a legend in the macro space. He is the Chairman and the founder of G raham Capital Management (GCM) - $ 20b n fund . Ken founded GCM in 1994 and has grown the firm into an industry leading alternative investment manager focusing on global macro discretionary and quantitative hedge fund strategies. Prior to founding GCM, Ken had significant experience in the alternative...
Ep. 337: Sangeet Paul Choudary on What Everyone Is Getting Wrong on AI 04.12.2025 50:50
Sangeet Paul Choudary is the best-selling co-author of Platform Revolution and author of the new book Reshuffle. He has advised leadership teams at over 40 Fortune 500 companies—including Nestlé, ExxonMobil, Daimler, ING, and Booking.com—as well as pre-IPO tech firms. Sangeet currently serves as a Senior Fellow at the University of California, Berkeley, and has spoken at global forums such as the...
Ep. 336: David Dredge on Sharpe Ratio Fallacy, Capturing Upside and Managing Uncertainty 28.11.2025 45:44
David Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years' experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatili...
Ep. 335: Marc Rubinstein on AI Bubble, Private Credit, Jane Street Rise 20.11.2025 42:49
Marc Rubinstein is author of Net Interest – a leading weekly newsletter on the world of finance. Before this, Marc spent ten years at leading hedge fund Lansdowne Partners, where he was a partner and portfolio manager. This was after he spent time on the sell-side working for Barclays Investment Bank (BZW), Schroders and then Credit Suisse, where he was head of the European banks research team. In...
Ep. 334: Mark Farrington on Dollar Dominance, China's Gold Play and Crisis Catalysts 14.11.2025 55:45
Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in...
Ep. 333: David Samra on Value Investing, AI Returns, and Bad Management Teams 06.11.2025 58:48
David Samra is a managing director of Artisan Partners – the $180bn global multi-asset investment platform. He is founding partner of the International Value Group, and portfolio manager of the Artisan International Value Fund, which he has managed since the portfolio's inception in September 2002. David has been nominated for the Morningstar International Stock Fund Manager of the Year Award si...
Ep. 332: Miguel Gutierrez on Argentina's Transformation, Latin American Opportunities, and Private Market Arbitrage. 30.10.2025 46:36
Miguel Gutiérrez is a Partner and Head of Private Markets, at The Rohatyn Group (TRG) - a global asset manager that specialises in emerging markets and real assets. Prior to joining TRG in October 2004, Miguel served as the Chairman and CEO of the Telefónica Group in Argentina and Chairman of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. He also served as the non-executive Chairman of YPF S.A. from April 201...
Ep. 331: Gordon Hanson on US Manufacturing Fetishisation, Job Loss, and the Middle Class 23.10.2025 34:13
Gordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School and Academic Dean for Strategy and Engagement at Harvard Kennedy School. He is best known for his research on the labour market consequences of globalisation, including pioneering work on the China trade shock. Hanson's current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, the effectivene...
Ep. 330: Paul Cavey on US-China Trade War, Japan Politics and Taiwan Imbalances 16.10.2025 55:41
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. In this podcast we discuss US-Chine trade war escalation, state of China's...
Ep. 329: Shiloh Bates on CLO Risks, Private Credit and Macro Read-Through 10.10.2025 34:57
Shiloh Bates is a Partner and Chief Investment Officer. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners. During his 20-year career, Mr. Bates has worked for several CLO managers and has been one of the largest investors in CLO securities. He wrote the book, CLO Investing with a focus on CLO Equity and BB Notes. He is also the host of the CLO Investor Podcast. In this podcast w...
Ep. 328: Diane Coyle on GDP, Digital Gaps and Invisible AI Economy 02.10.2025 24:32
Diane Coyle is the Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge. She is the Research Director at the Bennett School of Public Policy. Diane's latest book is 'The Measure of Progress: Counting What Really Matters'. Her own research focuses on productivity, the digital economy and AI policy, and economic measurement. She has been writing about the effects of digital technologies...
Ep. 327: Ryan Hass on China's Patient Power Play, and US-China Relations 25.09.2025 31:25
Ryan Hass is director of the John L. Thornton China Center and the Chen-Fu and Cecilia Yen Koo Chair in Taiwan Studies at Brookings. He is also a senior fellow in the Center for Asia Policy Studies. Ryan focuses his research and analysis on enhancing policy development on the pressing political, economic, and security challenges facing the United States in East Asia. Before Brookings, Ryan served...
Ep. 326: Jon Turek on Fed Cuts, Recession Risks and Political Risks 18.09.2025 41:23
Jon Turek is the founder and CEO of JST Advisors, a hedge fund advisory service that publishes a weekly research note with global macro trade ideas. JST Advisors works closely with hedge funds on developing asymmetric macro trade ideas and market themes. Outside of JST Advisors, Jon worked as a portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and as an analyst at Moore capital. In this podcast we discuss whethe...
Ep. 325: Chris Hughes on Misunderstood Fed Chairs, Fed Balance Sheet and Offshore Dollars 11.09.2025 47:47
Chris Hughes is an economist and author who now serves as Chair of the Economic Security Project, a leading nonprofit advocating for economic power for all Americans. Chris was a cofounder of Facebook. He is the author of 'Fair Shot: Rethinking Inequality and How We Earn' and 'Marketcrafters'. In this podcast we discuss understanding market crafters that use state power to shape markets, importan...
Ep. 324: Alberto Gallo on Western Debt Crisis, Real Assets and US Surprises 03.09.2025 31:49
Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London. In this podcast w...
Ep. 323: Jonathan Xiong on China, Dollar and Using AI in Asset Management 28.08.2025 47:35
Jonathan Xiong is the founder and CEO/CIO of Arrowpoint Investment Partners, a new Asia-focused hedge fund. Prior to starting Arrowpoint, Jonathan was the Co-CEO of Millennium Management Asia for five years. Before that, he was Head of Fixed Income Alternatives and the lead Portfolio Manager for the GS Global Opportunities Fund at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) for seven years. Prior to joi...
Ep. 322: Rerelease – Adam Frank on Aliens, AI and Climate Collapse 21.08.2025 1:03:53
Adam Frank is a professor of astrophysics at the University of Rochester. A self-described 'evangelist of science,' Adam regularly writes and speaks about subjects like intelligent life forms in the universe, high-energy-density physics, space exploration and missions, climate change and more. In this podcast we discuss public science communication and scientific denialism, intersection of science...
Ep. 321: Antonio Del Favero on Favourite Rates Trades, Fed and Dollar 14.08.2025 32:39
Antonio Del Favero is a macro strategist at Macro Hive. He focuses mainly on the US economy and G3 rates markets. Formerly, he worked at various macro hedge funds, including Tudor, Maniyar Capital and Brevan Howard. He holds a master's in finance from the ETH/University of Zurich and a master's in economics from Bocconi University. In this podcast we discuss the importance of financial conditions,...
Ep. 320: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Weak US Growth, Fed Independence and AI Impact 07.08.2025 35:27
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers labour's declining share of income; economic stagn...
Ep. 319: Phil Suttle on Slowing US, Delayed Tariff Impacts and China Investment 31.07.2025 43:19
Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we discuss US labour supply problem, state of the US consumer and weaker growth, Fed policy, and much more. ...
Ep. 318: Brad Setser on Trump Tariffs, China's Surging Surplus and Dollar Policy 24.07.2025 51:56
Brad Setser is the Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. His expertise includes global trade and capital flows, financial vulnerability analysis, and sovereign debt restructuring. He regularly blogs at Follow the Money. Brad served as a senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022, where he worked on the resolution of several trade disp...
Ep. 317: George Selgin on Trump Tariffs, Fed Independence and Dollar Vulnerability 17.07.2025 45:19
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia. He is the author of numerous books. His latest is 'False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933–1947'. In this podcast we discuss re-interpreting the New Deal, parallels between Roosevelt (...
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