Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes
Ciamac Moallemi On Quant Investing, Machine Learning and Trading Styles 19.02.2021 54:23
This episode is sponsored by Masterworks . Ciamac is Professor of Business in the Decision, Risk, and Operations Division of the Graduate School of Business at Columbia University, where he has been since 2007. He also develops quantitative trading strategies at Bourbaki LLC, a quantitative investment advisor. A high school dropout, he received degrees at MIT, Cambridge, and Stanford. In this podc...
Jay Pelosky on the Coming Boom, Mega-Tech Weakness and Big Government 11.02.2021 1:02:11
Jay is the founder of TPW Advisory and former top ranked head of asset allocation at Morgan Stanley. In this podcast, we discuss: The implications of a tri-polar world. The biggest boom is underway.. Which asset classes will perform in this new regime. The problem with a 60:40 portfolio. How to play clean energy (ICLN, ECAR) and why old energy (XLE) may still perform. Focusing on core themes: clea...
Christian Hille on Exponential Growth, Avoiding Low Returns, and Errors in Risk Management 05.02.2021 1:06:34
Christian Hille is the General Manager and Head of Wealth Management at Fürstlich-Castell'sche Bank (FCB) in Germany. FCB was founded in 1774 and is one of the oldest private banks in Germany. Before FCB, Christian was Global Head of Multi Asset & Solutions at DWS- Deutsche Bank's asset management arm, where he was responsible for EUR100bn in assets. In this podcast, we discuss: Living in exponent...
Jon Turek on the New Fed Put, the Brainard US Curve Steepener and the Dollar 29.01.2021 39:59
Jon is the author of the widely followed Cheap Convexity blog and always has excellent insights on Fed policy, rates markets and the dollar. In this podcast, we discuss: How to think about the Fed's new framework. The rates trade that captures this shift – the Brainard steepener! Why a taper tantrum is less likely this time. Why the ECB could be more comfortable with euro strength. How the Georgia...
Barry Eichengreen on Dollar Dominance, Crypto Hype, and Reforming International Finance 22.01.2021 50:36
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . Barry Eichengreen is one of the leading thinkers on international economics and exchanges rates. He is Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley. He is a prolific author including most recently The Populist Temptation: Economic Grievance and Political Reaction in the Modern Era (2018) and H...
Eli Dourado on the Key Tech Breakthroughs For the 2020s 15.01.2021 43:15
Eli is an economist and regulatory hacker living in Washington, DC, and a senior research fellow at the Center for Growth and Opportunity at Utah State University. Before that he was head of global policy at Boon supersonic. In this podcast, we discuss: Why we haven't a replacement for Concorde (yet) How vaccine/mRNA breakthrough can help with HIV and cancers Anti-ageing and blood plasma transfer...
12 Investment Ideas For 2021 From Our Listeners 08.01.2021 40:46
Happy new year and welcome to our first podcast of 2021. I n this episode , we try something different and have curated the best investment ideas from our listeners. They're a smart bunch so well worth listening to. Here are the ideas discussed: Buying c lean e nergy ( Invesco Wilderhill Clean Energy ET [PBW] ) – Rohan Yelvigi (N Y ) Buying Japan stocks (i Shares MSCI Japan ETF [EWJ]) – Peter R...
Michael Auerbach On Launching A Cannabis SPAC With Jay-Z 22.12.2020 45:43
Michael Auerbach is the F ounder of Subversive Capital, which is dedicated to investing in radical companies. He sits on the Board of Directors of Tilray, Inc. – the first Nasdaq-listed global cannabis company – and holds several directorships with companies that Subversive invests in. He also s erves as a Senior Vice President at Albright Stonebridge Group, the global consulting firm chaired by f...
Ashley Lenihan On The Politics Of Cross-Border M&A, CFIUS And Sensitive Sectors 18.12.2020 56:32
Dr Ashley Lenihan is a leading expert on the relationship between foreign direct investment and national security and is the author of 'Balancing Power without Weapons: State Intervention into Cross-Border M&A'. She is the Head of Policy and Engagement at the British Academy of Management (BAM), a visiting Fellow at the London School of Economic's Centre for International Studies, and a member of...
Jim Leitner On Growth vs Value, Digital Options And Bitcoin 11.12.2020 1:13:58
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . One of our most popular guests, legendary Jim Leitner, returns on this episode. He gives his take on the big picture themes of the day, how best to implement trades and much more, specifically we discuss: Why the rotation trade from growth to value may not work The importance of looking at the structural trends in undervalued sectors...
Professor Kevin Dowd On The Problem With MMT, Banking's Lack Of Capital And Free Markets 04.12.2020 50:24
In this show, I talk with Professor Kevin Dowd. He is professor of finance and economics at Durham University and an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute. He has written extensively on the history and theory of free banking, central banking, financial regulation, and monetary systems. His books include Private Money: The Path to Monetary Stability , Laissez‐Faire Banking and Alchemists of Loss: H...
Mickey Down And Konrad Kay On Their New HBO Finance Show Industry 30.11.2020 51:51
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . I'm a big fan of the new HBO show Industry . It follows a group of young graduates competing for permanent positions at fictional investment bank, Pierpoint & Co. It's the most authentic depiction of a trading floor that I have seen on a TV show, so I had to get the creators of the show, Mickey Down and Konrad Kay, on to my podcast s...
Professor Yaneer Bar-Yam On Ending COVID, Vaccine Complacency And Business Responsibility 27.11.2020 51:37
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Professor Yaneer Bar-Yam. He is the founding president of the New England Complex Systems Institute and the founder of EndCoronavirus. He received his SB and PhD in physics from MIT in 1978 and 1984 respectively. Since the late 1980s he has contributed to founding the field of complex systems science, introduc...
Dirk Willer On Emerging Markets Rallying, EM Inflation And Latam Challenges 21.11.2020 57:21
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Dr. Dirk Willer. He's a Managing Director and Global Head of Emerging Markets FX and Fixed Income Strategy at Citigroup in NY. His research covers global emerging markets for FX, local rates, and credit. Dirk and his team have been ranked as the top team in the 2019 institutional investor survey for emerging m...
Professor Justin Stebbing On Vaccine Breakthroughs And Herd-Immunity By Summer 12.11.2020 37:13
This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Professor Justin Stebbing. I had him as a guest in July when he argued that we could see a COVID vaccine around US election time. He was right and so I wanted to get his latest views. For background, Justin is a professor in the Faculty of Medicine at Imperial college London. He specializes in cancers and immu...
Gary Gerstle On Trump Not Conceding, Democrat Failures And The Upcoming Test Of The US Political System 07.11.2020 59:15
The US election did not see the Democrat wave that many had expected, so I have US Presidential history expert of Cambridge University, Gary Gerstle, return to our podcast show. He gives his take on all things US elections and beyond. In this podcast we discuss: The parallel Presidencies of 1876 The current risks of unrest if the results are not certified soon What pollsters missed Were the Democr...
Michael Melvin On Quant Strategies In Currencies, Impact Of QE And Machine Learning 30.10.2020 1:01:05
Michael was Managing Director and Senior Research Advisor in Multi-Asset Strategies at BlackRock. Prior to that he was head of Currency and Fixed Income Research in the Global Market Strategies Group at BlackRock and Barclays Global Investors. Michael is currently Executive Director of the Master of Finance program and also serves as Executive Director of the Pacific Center for Asset Management at...
John Kay On Smaller Government And Business Failure, And Why Greed Is Dead 21.10.2020 44:06
John Kay is one of the UK's leading economists. His books on the tax system, corporate strategy and banking have been widely praised. He helped establish the Institute of Fiscal Studies, is a fellow at St. Johns College Oxford, and was the first dean of Oxford's Saïd Business School. In this podcast we discuss: The importance of science for policymakers and why they do not use it more The problem...
Gary Gerstle On Trump Authoritarianism, Biden's Challenges, And Polarisation 17.10.2020 49:03
Gary is Paul Mellon Professor of American History at Cambridge University. Before that, he was at Vanderbilt University where he was James G. Stahlman Professor of American History. He is a social and political historian of the twentieth century, with substantial interests in the late eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. He got his PhD from Harvard University. He has also testified before the US C...
Corey Hoffstein On How The Fed, Passive Investors And HFT Create Liquidity Cascades 13.10.2020 1:04:25
Corey recently wrote an excellent piece on market liquidity and I had to have him as a guest. For background, he is co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Newfound Research, a quantitative tactical asset management firm. At Newfound, he is responsible for portfolio management, investment research, strategy development, and communication of the firm's views to clients. He holds a Master of Scie...
Helen Thompson On Brexit Deals, Boris Leadership And Scottish Independence 09.10.2020 58:11
Helen is Professor of Political Economy at Cambridge University. She has been at Cambridge since 1994, and is at present, Deputy Head of the School of the Humanities and Social Sciences. She is a regular panelist on the excellent podcast show Talking Politics. She has recently been focusing on the political economy of oil, Brexit and the euro zone crisis. In this podcast we discuss: The current st...
Vitor Constancio On ECB Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Limits And Europe Risks 02.10.2020 1:01:19
Vitor was the Vice President of the ECB until a few years ago. And before that held numerous high-profile roles including being Portugal's finance minister, the central bank governor of Portugal and negotiating the entry of Portugal into the EEC – the forerunner to the EU. Vitor is currently President of the Council of ISEG at the University of Lisbon and a Professor at the Navarra University in M...
Charlie McElligott On Everything Duration, Secular Growth Trades And US Elections 25.09.2020 1:08:01
Charlie McElligott is the leading experts on all things positioning, flow, sentiment and quant factors. He is a Managing Director and Cross-Asset Macro Strategist for the Global Markets Americas business at Nomura Securities International, with more than 15 years' experience in macro markets. Prior to joining Nomura, Charlie was Head of US Cross-Asset Macro Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Before...
Michael Pettis On China Exporting Of Debt, Class War And Role Of Chinese Yuan 18.09.2020 52:29
Michael Pettis is someone who I hav e followed closely over my career and he is one of the most widely followed China experts in the investor community. He is currently based in Beijing and is Professor of Finance at Guanghua School of Management at Peking University and is the co-author of the recently published book " Trade Wars Are Class Wars " . In this podcast we discuss : How economists do...
Lyn Alden On Tesla, Finding Quality Stocks And The Impact Of High Debt 11.09.2020 36:36
I'm always on the lookout for podcast guests with unconventional backgrounds, and on this episode, we have one such guest, Lyn Alden. Lyn has an academic background in engineering and currently works at an aviation simulation facility. But on top of her day job, she has developed a widely followed framework for investing in markets. Her approach is value with a global macro overlay and she's been...
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