Know Your Risk Podcast

April 28, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down why investors consistently misjudge compounding—both in markets and in macro risk. They discuss Paul Tudor Jones’ insights on exponential thinking, why high-growth companies may not be as expensive as they appear, and how AI investment differs from past tech booms. The conversation also dives into rising supply pressures in equities, ongoing confusion aro...

April 27, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down why the market may be misreading one of the most important macro events in years. They discuss the ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption, why oil markets aren’t reacting the way you’d expect, and how delayed economic impacts could still be building beneath the surface. The conversation also explores tech earnings strength, the illusion of resilience in cert...

April 24, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down a market hitting new highs while consumer confidence collapses to record lows, and why that disconnect may not last. They walk through the real-world impact of rising energy costs, the lag effect still moving through the economy, and why inflation pressures are likely just getting started. The conversation also explores AI-driven earnings growth, unsustai...

April 23, 2026 - Zach and Chase break down the growing disconnect between rising oil prices and a stock market that continues to shrug off geopolitical risk. They walk through the real-world impacts of a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption, why energy markets are driven by math—not narrative—and how inflation pressures are already showing up across the global economy.

April 23, 2026 - Zach and Chase are joined by Harris “Kuppy” Kupperman of Praetorian Capital to break down the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East, the potential long-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the massive implications for global oil markets. Kuppy also shares his “feudalism” framework for understanding the modern economy, where capital concentration, asset inflation, and global...

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the strange disconnect between rising oil, record-high equities, and a market that appears to be ignoring inflation, energy pressure, and growing macro risks.

April 21, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the collapse of Iran negotiations, the extension of a fragile ceasefire, and why the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to create major risks that markets may not be properly pricing.

April 20, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the growing disconnect between oil prices and geopolitical reality, the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and why markets may be underestimating the risk of a major energy shock.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase examine the unusual dynamics across markets, from Iran’s geopolitical impact on oil to broader shifts in equities and commodities, highlighting how current conditions don’t align with typical historical patterns.

April 2, 2026 - Chase analyzes the current market rally, highlighting the disconnect between rising equities, energy market dynamics, and underlying liquidity concerns, while questioning the sustainability of current valuations.

April 2, 2026 - Chase analyzes how recent ceasefire developments, geopolitical tensions, and rising inflation are shaping market conditions, emphasizing the risks of wishful thinking and the importance of strategic decision-making in a complex environment.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss how escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are influencing markets, oil flows, and military strategy, highlighting the disconnect between market perceptions and the underlying geopolitical reality.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the uncertainty surrounding potential military action and negotiations with Iran, exploring the complexities of modern warfare, decision-making, and the broader implications for markets and global stability.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the disconnect between equities and oil, examining how geopolitical tensions, supply risks, and market reactions aren’t aligning, and what that could mean for future economic outcomes.

Zach breaks down the implications of Washington state's new income tax, addressing misconceptions, economic impacts, and personal considerations for residents and business owners.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the growing disconnect between market performance and economic fundamentals as oil prices rise, exploring the potential impacts on supply chains, corporate earnings, investor behavior, and the broader economy.

April 1, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are affecting market sentiment, oil prices, and investor behavior, along with the broader implications for economic growth and long-term investment strategy.

March 31, 2026 - This episode delves into market reactions to geopolitical events, the implications of military mobilization, and the potential economic and strategic outcomes of ongoing conflicts. Zach and Chase analyze recent market movements, discuss the likelihood of military escalation, and explore the future of global energy and defense industries.

March 30, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the market, focusing on the impact of global events on oil and energy prices. They explore the ongoing shortages and supply chain issues, the critical role of oil in the global economy, and the political implications of military strategies.

March 27, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the markets, exploring various economic indicators, the impact of global events, and the dynamics of commodities like gold and oil. They delve into the concept of market blindness, particularly in relation to ETFs, and the consequences of legislative actions on the economy. The conversation highlights the complexities of market behavior...

March 26, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the financial markets, focusing on the S&P and NASDAQ's performance, the implications of political events on financial analysis, and the peculiarities of the oil market.

March 25, 2026 - Chase provides a detailed analysis of the current market trends, focusing on the S&P 500, oil prices, and geopolitical tensions affecting the market. He discusses the optimism in the market despite ongoing conflicts and the implications of potential ceasefires.

March 24, 2026 - Chase discusses the current state of the market amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly focusing on the potential ceasefire discussions between the US and Iran. He analyzes the implications of these developments on market dynamics, oil prices, and the broader economic landscape, while emphasizing the uncertainty that remains in the situation.

March 23, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the oil market, highlighting the significant dislocation between physical oil costs and paper markets. They explore the implications of global shortages, particularly in energy and food, and the strategic positioning of Iran in ongoing negotiations.

March 20, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the financial markets, focusing on the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices and investor sentiment. They analyze the market's reaction to recent developments, the dynamics of the oil market, and the implications for future economic conditions.