Inflection Point

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Jordi Alexander CIO of Selini Capital & Checkmate Lead On-chain Analyst for Glassnode. Jordi & Checkmate discuss the long term structural macro trends and how they effect the crypto markets. Jordi & Checkmate also explore if Crypto can forecast broader market conditions, wether Bitcoin has become a viable macro asset, is Crypto entering a bear mar...

In this week's episode, Mark and I tried something a little different. We went super deep on one topic, namely inflation. The question we asked was "Have fears around inflation peaked? And if so, what are the implications for asset prices?" We started off by taking a look at which categories were driving CPI inflation. We took a look at which of these categories were sticky and likely to persists...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by returning guest Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence. As a former advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Danielle provides a unique insight into the Fed's policy decisions throughout 2022.  Danielle shares her thoughts on the dilemma's the Fed faces going into 2022, how the Fed exacerbated wealth inequali...

In this first round up of the New Year, Mark and I started with the question that's on everyone's mind: are we still in a bull market? Answer - you'll have to listen to the episode to find out! But I will say... compelling narratives and data on both sides. Whatever the truth is, we have clearly entered a pattern of market behavior that is different from past cycles. Variety, as they say, is the s...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital & Lawrence Lepard of Equity Management Associates. Brent & Lawrence discuss Brent's Dollar milkshake thesis and the negative effect a rising dollar could have on the global financial system looking ahead to 2022. Brent & Lawrence also share their thoughts on the long term debt cycle, the bond market during financi...

To bring us into the new year, Michael Ippolito & Jack Farley take viewers on an audio-visual guided tour of the most salient macro topics for 2022. They analyze a series of charts that illustrate the most important issues, such as factor rotation in equities, what banks are doing with all their money, and why the interest rate futures market (i.e. Eurodollar futures) has a different view on the f...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Russell Clark. With a wealth of knowledge that spans over 20 years as both an Investment Analyst and CIO/CEO of Russell Clark Investment Management, Russell shares his outlook on Japan as a model for the U.S, China's rise post globalization, the connection between food & inflation, what is the end game for QE, Russell's outlook on Bitcoin and so m...

In this extra special weekly round up, Mark and I are joined by "Hollywood" Jack Farley, welcome Jack! We kicked things off with Trump's recent comments about crypto. Despite his wife Melania launching an NFT project on Solana, it would seem he is not a fan! Next, we moved onto Jack Dorsey's comments on Web 3. We provided context about recent pushback of NFTs from the Discord and Ubisoft communiti...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike & Jack are joined by Harley Bassman otherwise known as 'The Convexity Maven'. Harley has spent over 35 years working at some of the largest firms including Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, PIMCO and now Simplify Asset Management. With an expert understanding of options, volatility & derivatives, we invited Harley for a masterclass on how investors can hedge in th...

In this week's episode, Mark and I start off with Ray Dalio's comments about Bitcoin, Gold and Ethereum. Spoiler alert - minds are being changed! Next we get into the increasing politicization of crypto, and the battle lines being drawn between the Dems and the GOP. Next we get into breadth in the Nasdaq as a potential sign of worry (thanks Bear O'Shea for the flag!), record stock buybacks amidst...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by returning guest Avi Felman. Avi is the Co Portfolio Manager at BlockTower Capital and joins us to share his updated outlook on the market. Avi discusses the key trends in the crypto market from Bitcoin & Ethereum, value vs momentum, the layer-1 wars & more. -- Ledger: This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange a...

In this week's episode, Mark returns from his two week hiatus (woo!). We quickly got into November's 6.8% CPI print, which was the highest in 39 years. We discussed the factors driving inflation, and whether or not they pointed towards transitory or permanent inflation. Next we covered the Evergrande default, and whether or not the resultant fall out is cause for concern. We moved through skyrocke...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Ryan Selkis Co-Founder & CEO at Messari. Having released the 150+ page 'Crypto Theses for 2022' report, we invited Ryan to the show to discuss the most important trends to look out for in the industry. Mike & Ryan discuss the Layer-1 wars, venture capital investment in crypto, NFTs 100x potential, regulation for crypto & DAOs, Ryan's market outloo...

With Mark out, we have special guest filling in, Blockworks’ video journalist Jack Farley. We make sense of the recent bout of market volatility, with bond yields plummeting and tech stocks selling off hard. Mike and Jack explore market anomalies such as stay-at-home darlings like Zoom ($ZM) failing to serve as hedge against bad COVID news, and the tremendous surge in the VIX despite the fact that...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Into The Cryptoverse CEO Benjamin Cowen. Ben is a cryptocurrency market analyst providing education to his 600,000+ subscribers about the metrics that are driving the market. In this episode we discuss Plan B's Stock to Flow Model, Ben's diminishing returns thesis, crypto market cycles, institutional demand for Bitcoin, how to prepare for the next...

Mark is taking some well deserved family time for this episode SO we have a special guest filling in, Avil Felman of BlockTower. Avi is deep in the crypto ecosystem and a born trader, this episode was a blast. We covered Thanksgiving's sell off, whether or not we are in a supercycle, the hype around the metaverse, and what he sees happening in the NFT market. Not an episode to miss, hope you all e...

In this episode of On The Margin, Mike is joined by Demetri Kofinas, a media entrepreneur, financial analyst and host of the renowned Hidden Forces podcast. Demetri returns to On The Margin to share his thoughts on the great divide in America, the state of the media, the failing trust in institutions, the effect of globalization on the U.S worker & inflations effect on wealth inequality. -- Ledger...

In this week's round up, Mark and I kick things off with some good old fashioned chart analysis. First off - credit where credit is due, I got these charts from the Bankless interview with Benjamin Cowen. Phenomenal episode, I highly recommend you check it out. We took a look at what appears to be lengthening cycles in crypto, diminishing returns of each cycle, and a general reduction in volatilit...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments & Emil Kalinowski, Mining & Metals Researcher. Jeff & Emil are hosts of Eurodollar University, a podcast dedicated to analyzing the 2007 malfunction of the monetary system - and how its continuing disorder - affects finance, politics and society. Jeff & Emil share their thoughts on the myth of central banking, t...

In this week's episode, we kicked things off with an honest review of Solana's Breakpoint conference which I have been at for the past week. I had two big takeaways from the conference: 1. Solana is going to endure well beyond this market cycle 2. We are approaching a top in the current market cycle The folks at Solana absolutely hit it out of the park with this conference, and there were lots of...

In this episode of On The Margin, Mike is joined by returning guests Lyn Alden & Jurrien Timmer. Lyn is the founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy and Jurrien Director of Global Macro at Fidelity. Lyn and Jurrien discuss the long term debt cycle, how the 2020's compare with other periods of history, is the traditional 60/40 portfolio dead, Bitcoin as a hedge for bonds, the effect of inflation on...

In this episode, Mark and I spent a good deal of time covering "inflation related" topics. First we dug deep into retirees leaving the workforce at an accelerated rate, and a look at the jump in wages in the banking sector. Here is the Tweet I referenced, thank you Skanda Amarnath! Next we took a look at what at first sign appeared to be signs of stress in emerging markets - high yield spreads in...

In this episode of On The Margin, Mike is joined by Mike McGlone, the Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence. Mike shares his thoughts on the Bitcoin futures ETFs, the outlook for an Ethereum ETF, crypto market cycles, commodity price increases, the deflationary forces of technology and the incoming Bitcoin supercycle. -- Ledger: This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure...

In this week's show, Mark and I dive deep into investor preferences. The first chart that we look at is a fun one from Michael Batnick of the S&P since March of 09 annotated with mini investor panics (GM and Chrysler file for bankruptcy, European debt crises, multiple government shut downs, COVID, etc...). Spoiler alert: the number goes up, and dips should always be bought. Next we take a look at...

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Mike Green of Simplify Asset Management & Alex Gladstein of the Human Rights Foundation. Mike & Alex sit down to debate the role of Bitcoin from opposing angles, discussing wether a Bitcoin standard benefit the U.S, what is the role of Bitcoin for those living under authoritarian regimes, government response to Bitcoin, the war on cash, CBDCs, Sta...