FalsifyLab

FalsifyLab Paper Daily

Business EN ↓ 63 episodes

Daily 5-minute audio reads of new peer-reviewed quant and algorithmic trading research. One paper per episode. Real operator's take on what would survive holdout, what would not, and what to test before believing the results. Hosted by FalsifyLab, the lab that publishes what doesn't work. For quants, algo traders, and ML researchers who'd rather hear the gist on a commute than read the abstract twice. New episode every morning. Show notes link to the open-access PDF.

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FalsifyLab

Episodes

confluence signal on ETH 29.05.2026 1:08

4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.

FRAX Depeg Spooks Markets as BTC Options Signal a Trap 28.05.2026 5:14

FRAX slips 0.83% off peg as BTC options show a massive 75k put block. Stablecoin minting surges 340M USDC while Hyperliquid funding turns negative. The signal clash is real.

FRAX Depeg Hits 82 Basis Points — Stablecoin Stress Is Back 26.05.2026 3:58

FRAX trades 0.82% off peg for 48+ hours. Five consecutive depeg alerts. ETH ETF flows show institutional divergence. What breaks next.

133,838% APY That Never Posted — The CSYUSDC Ghost 25.05.2026 8:33

CSYUSDC flashed 133,838% APY every single day last week. Zero posts made it to feed. We dig into why, plus RAVE, LIQ, GITLAWB, and the macro calendar ahead.

FRAX Depeg Deepens — 0.81% Off Peg for 3 Days Straight 25.05.2026 4:59

FRAX stablecoin has been trading 0.79 to 0.81 percent below its dollar peg for over seventy two hours. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net outflows on Friday, May 22nd.

FRAX Depeg Deepens — 6% Off Peg, $70M at Risk 24.05.2026 4:33

FRAX stablecoin drops to 0.94, triggering four depeg alerts in 24 hours. ETH and BTC ETF flows show divergent institutional sentiment. The falsifiable signal: collateral redemption pressure.

The 133,838% APY That Keeps Breaking Our Scanner 24.05.2026 7:01

CSYUSDC hit a 133,838% APY and our AI hallucinated 100% emissions on 191 of 192 attempts. Plus LIQ at 267%, GITLAWB at 250%, and next week's CPI/PCE gauntlet.

falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-05-24 24.05.2026 3:42

2.3 billion dollars of bitcoin etf volume on may 21st, and the market barely moved. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. first post from the depeg watch series. frax was trading at 0.9935 on may 22nd, roughly 0.65 percent of

FRAX Depeg Hits 0.82 — Biggest Stablecoin Stress Signal of 2026 23.05.2026 3:49

FRAX drops to 0.82, the worst depeg since 2023. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs saw 0 inflow for two straight days. Here's the falsifiable next move.

Frax Depeg Hits 1.5% – Biggest Stablecoin Signal in Months 22.05.2026 4:03

Frax depegs to 98.5 cents, while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF flows show a sharp divergence. We break down the three numbers you need to watch today.

Frax Depeg Deepens — 0.78 Off Peg, $1.3B at Risk 22.05.2026 3:57

Frax stablecoin slides to 0.78 off peg across four alerts in 24 hours. BTC and ETH ETF flows show institutional divergence. The signal to watch is Frax's redemption mechanism.

falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-05-17 17.05.2026 3:35

74 posts this week. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. frax depegged to 0.86 dollars. that's 14 percent off peg for a stablecoin that's supposed to be one dollar. falsifiable next step: if frax doesn't return to 0.99 withi

ic decay in crypto momentum 09.05.2026 3:18

how crypto momentum signals decay; why most retail strategies lose to costs