FalsifyLab
FalsifyLab Paper Daily
Daily 5-minute audio reads of new peer-reviewed quant and algorithmic trading research. One paper per episode. Real operator's take on what would survive holdout, what would not, and what to test before believing the results. Hosted by FalsifyLab, the lab that publishes what doesn't work. For quants, algo traders, and ML researchers who'd rather hear the gist on a commute than read the abstract twice. New episode every morning. Show notes link to the open-access PDF.
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Episodes
ETH ETF Inflows Hit 1.2 Billion in a Single Day, Largest Since Launch 25.06.2026 4:37
Spot ETH ETFs pulled in 1.2 billion dollars on June 24, the biggest single day inflow ever. Plus, a massive stablecoin mint and extreme funding rates signal a market at a boiling point.
Stablecoin Supply Jumps 2.1 Billion in 24 Hours, Largest Inflow Since March 24.06.2026 4:16
A 2.1 billion dollar stablecoin supply spike signals fresh dry powder. Plus, ether ETF flows flip positive, options show a 4k call wall, and funding extremes flash on Hyperliquid.
ethereum etf flows hit negative one point two billion in five days 23.06.2026 4:42
etf outflows accelerate, eth options flip bearish, and hyperliquid funding goes negative. three signals pointing the same direction.
ETH ETF weekly outflow hits negative 1.2 billion, biggest exodus since launch 22.06.2026 4:50
Spot ETH ETFs just posted their largest weekly outflow ever. Meanwhile Hyperliquid funding extremes and a fresh stablecoin mint signal a coiled market.
FRAX slips 1.12 percent — stablecoin depeg meets record ETH ETF outflow 19.06.2026 4:10
FRAX depegs to 0.9888 while ETH ETFs bleed seventy point five million in a single day. Hyperliquid funding extremes and a stablecoin mint spike add pressure.
frax slips one point one two percent off peg while eth etfs bleed seventy point five million 18.06.2026 4:22
Frax depegs to zero point nine eight eight eight on chain, eth spot etfs post their largest single day outflow in three weeks, and btc options max pain lands at ninety eight thousand. We break down the falsifiable next signals.
FRAX slips to 0.91, ETH ETF pulls 70.5M, and Hyperliquid funding flips negative 17.06.2026 4:57
FRAX depegs to 0.91 on Curve, ETH ETF sees 70.5M net outflow, Hyperliquid perps turn negative funding. Three falsifiable signals for the next 24 hours.
ethereum etf flows just flipped negative by seventy point five million in one day 15.06.2026 4:25
ETH spot ETFs saw a single-day outflow of seventy point five million on June twelve, while stablecoin supply jumped one point two billion overnight and Hyperliquid funding extremes hit negative forty basis points annualized.
falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-06-14 14.06.2026 3:24
thirty two percent drawdown on polymarket. that's the number. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. options flow this week was heavy on btc put buying. the 25-delta skew flipped negative on deribit for the first time in three
confluence signal on ETH 12.06.2026 1:10
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
ETH ETF Flow Hits 28 Billion — Funding Extremes Flash Red 07.06.2026 5:25
A massive 28 billion dollar ETH ETF flow event, combined with extreme funding rates and a stablecoin mint surge, signals a potential market pivot. We break down the numbers and the next falsifiable signals.
falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-06-07 07.06.2026 3:12
i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. first, btc options flow. one hundred thirty three thousand eight hundred thirty eight percent apy on a single contract. that's not a typo. that's what a gamma squeeze looks like when the m
1.2 Billion Stablecoin Mint Signals a Regime Shift 06.06.2026 5:06
A massive 1.2 billion dollar stablecoin mint on June 6th is the biggest single-day injection in weeks, while Ethereum ETF flows and Bitcoin options data reveal a market caught between supply and demand.
confluence signal on ETH 05.06.2026 1:11
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
1.1 Billion Stablecoin Mint Signals Institutional DeFi Onslaught 05.06.2026 5:00
A 1.1 billion dollar stablecoin mint on June 5th leads our alpha chain. We trace the capital into Hyperliquid's 80% funding extremes, a 200 million dollar ETH ETF inflow, and a 100 million dollar BTC options wall.
1.2 Billion USDC Minted — The Signal Nobody Is Watching 04.06.2026 5:01
A single USDC mint of 1.2 billion dollars on Solana dwarfs everything else today. We walk through the stablecoin signal, the ETH ETF flow reversal, and the funding rate blowout on Hyperliquid.
Ethereum Options Bet Big — 1.2B Calls Signal a June 4 Move 03.06.2026 4:28
Ethereum sees a massive 1.2 billion call option block on June 3, while 1.8 billion in stablecoins minted in 24 hours. Plus, MicroStrategy adds 15,000 BTC to treasury.
70M USDC Mint Hits Base — Smart Money Is Loading Up 02.06.2026 4:39
A massive 70 million USDC mint on Base, extreme funding on Hyperliquid, and a 46 million dollar ETH ETF outflow signal a shift in positioning. Here’s what the numbers say.
FRAX Depeg Spikes 1.17% – 178 Million Dollar Question 01.06.2026 4:48
FRAX depegs 1.17% on 178M market cap. ETH options show 26% put/call ratio shift. Hyperliquid funding extremes hit 0.19% on BTC. MEV revenue drops 34% in 24 hours.
100000% APY Pools and Whale Drift Signals 01.06.2026 7:00
The defi-scanner missed 192 tier-1 opportunities daily. A WETH/DEAD pool hit 100000% APY. Whales moved $25.1M to Binance. Plus the swarm outlook on three high-tier macro events next week.
FRAX Depeg Spikes, 117 Million Minted — Alpha Radar 31.05.2026
FRAX depegs 1.17% as 117M USDC mints flood markets. ETH options show heavy call selling. MEV revenue drops 20% in 24 hours. The signal chain is tightening.
falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-05-31 31.05.2026
one hundred thirty three thousand percent apy. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. first post this week is about a depeg event. frax, the stablecoin, drifted to zero point seven nine dollars. that's twenty one percent off i
One Hundred Thirty Three Thousand Percent APY — And Nobody Posted It 31.05.2026 6:16
The defi-scanner missed 192 tier-1 opportunities per day last week. A stablecoin pair hit 133838% APY. Plus: ECB rate decision, US NFP, and the swarm narrative on CSYUSDC.
Ethereum Perp Funding Goes Negative — $1.2B Minted Into USDC 30.05.2026
Ethereum perp funding flipped negative for the first time in three months while $1.2 billion in stablecoins hit exchanges. MEV revenue collapsed 40% in five days. Four signals, one trade.
Ethereum ETF Outflows Hit $70.5M — Biggest One-Day Drain Since March 29.05.2026 4:04
Ethereum ETF outflows hit $70.5M in a single day, the largest since March. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid funding extremes flash a short squeeze signal, and stablecoin minting hits a 30-day low.
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