Eyes on the Economy

CIBC Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, joins Helen Lao to examine how Canada’s lagging productivity growth impacts living standards and spending power compared to the US. They discuss why recent slippage in productivity, incomes and financial wealth leaves Canada with a challenge that needs attention. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our co...

CIBC Senior Economist, Katherine Judge, hosts a discussion with Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, as he compares inflation risks in Canada and the US, assesses the impact of higher oil prices, and discusses what it could all mean for interest rates in 2026 and beyond. This episode was recorded on Monday, May 25, 2026. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for informa...

Senior Economist, Katherine Judge, hosts a discussion with Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, to break down the economic and market implications of the Canadian fiscal update and the latest interest rate announcements from the US Fed and the Bank of Canada, in the context of rising energy prices. This episode was recorded on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See ht...

CIBC Senior Economist, Andrew Grantham, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, to break down the ramifications of the Iran conflict on global oil prices, explore the intersection of energy markets and American politics, and discuss the expected trajectory for inflation and monetary policy in the U.S. and Canada as oil prices seek a new normal. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See htt...

CIBC’s Senior Economist, Katherine Judge, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld about the implications of the US-Israel and Iran war for the North American economy and financial markets. They explore how global markets—especially oil—are reacting to the conflict, what investors are pricing in, and the potential impact on North America’s economy, inflation, and monetary policy. Hosted by Simpl...

CIBC Economists Ali Jaffery and Katherine Judge break down how federal and provincial budgets are shaping growth, based on a new measure of the fiscal impulse in Canada, and how manufacturing in Canada compares with the U.S. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC's Senior Economist, Ali Jaffery, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, about his outlook for the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve. They examine the latest economic data, explore historical policy precedents, and consider how current political developments—including trade negotiations and U.S. Fed leadership changes—may influence central bank decisions. Hosted by Simplecast, an Ads...

CIBC’s Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, reviews evidence on why neither cost-push inflation nor diminishing economic slack are likely to pressure the Bank of Canada into a rate hike in the coming year, and is joined by Deputy Chief Economist, Benjamin Tal, to discuss a transition year ahead for the housing market and how “doubling up” trends will affect it. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company...

CIBC's Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, and Deputy Chief Economist, Benjamin Tal, discuss the latest trends in Canadian household credit, including rising policy rates and early signs of credit risk. They also break down the U.S. Supreme Court case on tariffs and what its outcome could mean for Canada’s trade future. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for informa...

CIBC senior economists Katherine Judge and Ali Jaffery assess the impact of the recent wave of rapid student immigration on the economy and the labor market, and Canada’s economic record over that period. They also consider ideas for where student immigration and population growth could be headed in the future. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information a...

Avery Shenfeld, Chief Economist at CIBC, and Lawrence Schembri, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, discuss the outlook of the Canadian economy and challenges in measuring inflation, US monetary policy, and Fed independence. They also explore recent trends in economic growth and Indigenous participation in major projects. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz....

Benjamin Tal, CIBC's Deputy Chief Economist, and Katherine Judge, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss the evolving landscape of Canadian immigration policy, its impact on the housing market, and the critical role of purpose-built rentals in addressing affordability. Drawing on recent research and government initiatives, they explore how shifts in immigration trends are shaping economic productivity, th...

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, and Ali Jaffery, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss their recent report on US immigration policy and what this means for population growth, GDP, and fiscal policy, as well as implications for the Fed. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC's Chief Economist, and Katherine Judge, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss the complexities of interest rate policies and their impact on the Canadian labor market and the economy. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC senior economists Katherine Judge and Ali Jaffery provide an update on our US and Canadian economic outlooks and discuss risks around the forecast. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Benjamin Tal, CIBC’s Deputy Chief Economist, and Katherine Judge, CIBC Senior Economist, provide insight into the trajectory of defence spending in Canada and the potential boost to economic activity associated with it. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

On Friday, May 9th, CIBC’s Chief Economist Avery Shenfeld, was joined by Nobel Prize Winning Economist and former NY Times Columnist Paul Krugman to discuss the US budget process, the outlook for the US trade policy, and some of the implications for Canada. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advert...

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, and Andrew Grantham, CIBC Senior Economist, look at why a tariff-driven, broad rebound in the factory share of US employment might not be a worthy policy goal. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Benjamin Tal, CIBC’s Deputy Chief Economist, joins Katherine Judge, CIBC Senior Economist, to discuss the deteriorating US economic backdrop, the trade landscape, and implications for the Fed and the Bank of Canada. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, and Ali Jaffery, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss their recent report on reducing Canadian internal trade barriers, and explain their skepticism on the size of benefits to the economy. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC Senior Economist Ali Jaffery interviews Chief Economist Avery Shenfeld about his latest note on US fiscal policy, discussing the House budget resolution, implications for the Fed, and what this means for the bond market. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist is joined by his colleague, Senior Economist Ali Jaffery, to discuss the threat of tariffs being posed by the United States and the implications for Canadian growth, inflation and interest rates. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC Senior Economist Katherine Judge interviews Chief Economist Avery Shenfeld about his take on Trump’s nominees, and what signals can be gleaned about the risk to the bond market from rising deficits, and the risks to inflation and trade from tariffs. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertisi...

CIBC Chief Economist Avery Shenfeld chats with Ali Jaffery, CIBC Senior Economist about how to read the tea leaves in this easing cycle. Those tea leaves point to the Bank of Canada taking another big step in December, enroute to a bit below neutral next year. For more information, check out the In Focus report here: https://economics.cibccm.com/cds? ID=c9e80163-55bb-469f-8b0a-c7f0877374de&TYPE=E...

Benjamin Tal, CIBC’s Deputy Chief Economist, joins Ali Jaffery, Senior Economist to talk through their latest note dissecting the US labor market. Motivated by a desire to preserve margin gains, businesses are adding less labor with job growth trending down and a worrisome pattern of revisions making it difficult to make a real-time read on the job market. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company....