CropGPT - Cocoa

This episode explores the current state of the global cocoa market. Nigeria is projected to see an 11% decline in cocoa production for the 2025–26 season, bringing output down to 305,000 tons. This drop is attributed to ongoing structural challenges in cultivation and logistics. The contraction in Nigerian supply is especially notable given that United States cocoa stocks have reached an eight-mon...

This week’s global cocoa market report. The Ivory Coast is set to benefit from the European Union's delayed enforcement of its deforestation regulation, preserving market access until late 2026. While cocoa pod counts are currently 7 percent above the five-year average, port arrivals have dropped by 3.7 percent year over year, totaling 618,899 metric tons as of late November. This contrast between...

Here's a professional summary of the episode focused on the global cocoa market for November 23, 2025: Cocoa production in Ivory Coast is currently above the five-year average, driven by favorable weather and optimal pod development. Despite a 5.7 percent year-on-year decline in exports for October and November, the drop reflects logistical challenges rather than reduced output. Farmers remain hop...

This episode offers an in-depth analysis of the global cocoa market as of November 16, 2025. In the Ivory Coast, cocoa production remains robust, supported by favorable weather that has enhanced pod development and bean drying efficiency. Harvest volumes are 7 percent above the five-year average. However, port arrivals have dropped by 9 percent year over year. This is not due to reduced output, bu...

This episode covers key developments in the global cocoa market. In the Ivory Coast, the main crop harvest has begun under favorable dry weather, which has improved cocoa bean drying conditions. However, despite a strong start, cocoa exports have declined from 365,072 metric tons to 304,140 metric tons early in the marketing year. This, combined with ICE-monitored inventories hitting a seven-and-a...

This episode provides an in-depth overview of the cocoa market. Ivory Coast enters the season with strong production expectations, with pod counts above the five-year average. However, significant volumes of preseason stock are being rejected by grinders and exporters due to concerns over small bean size and low fat content. Although the main crop is robust, the mid-crop yield is expected to decli...

This week's cocoa market report highlights regional production shifts. In the Ivory Coast, cocoa pod counts have risen 7% above the five-year average, driven by higher farmgate prices. However, exports fell sharply, down over 50% year on year, totaling just 48,753 metric tons in early October. While the elevated pricing policy aims to support farmer incomes and encourage production, critics warn i...

This episode provides a concise update on the global cocoa market as of October 12, 2025. Ivory Coast has increased its guaranteed farm gate price to $4.5 per kilogram, a strategic move ahead of upcoming elections aimed at improving farmer incomes. As the world’s leading cocoa producer, contributing 14% to national GDP and supporting around 5 million people, this price hike may prompt neighboring...

This week's cocoa market update focuses on production trends, policy responses, and disease challenges shaping the outlook across major West African producers: Ivory Coast, Ghana, and Nigeria. Ivory Coast is experiencing a mixed production season. While the main crop (October to March) shows promise with a 7 percent increase in pod counts above the five-year average due to favorable weather, the m...

This episode provides a comprehensive overview of the current trends, challenges, and developments shaping the global cocoa market.  Côte d’Ivoire, which contributes about 40% of the world’s cocoa supply, continues to benefit from government-led agricultural improvement and sustainability initiatives. However, these gains are moderated by unpredictable weather conditions and threats from pests and...

This week's episode provides a global cocoa market developments as of September 21, 2025. In Ivory Coast, favorable weather has boosted the main cocoa crop, but extended heavy rains have hampered port deliveries and bean drying, raising quality concerns. The mid-crop output has declined 9% year over year, reaching 400,000 metric tons. Export growth has also slowed to 5.8%, further altering market...

This episode explores key developments in the global cocoa market. In Ivory Coast, despite increased pod counts and an optimistic harvest forecast, quality concerns persist due to late rains affecting pod development. The mid-crop yield is now projected at 400,000 tons. Although export volumes remain stable, they represent a slowdown from prior peaks, further strained by dry conditions impacting b...

The weekly report on the global Cocoa market for week 37. Brought to you by CropGPT

  This episode provides a detailed weekly overview of the global cocoa market for September 7, 2025. Ivory Coast, the world's leading cocoa producer, is facing its worst drought in 46 years. The dry conditions have reduced pod retention, slowed exports since December, and raised concerns about quality. Mid-crop rejection rates have climbed to 5 to 6 percent, compared to the usual 1 percent, and pr...

This episode delivers a detailed overview of the global cocoa market. In the Ivory Coast, cocoa prices have dropped amid forecasts of improved rainfall following the driest 30-day stretch since 1979. Although the rainfall may help stabilize yields ahead of the October harvest, mid-crop quality concerns persist. Estimates for the 2025 mid-crop have been revised downward by 9% to 400,000 metric tons...

This episode provides a comprehensive overview of the global cocoa market as of August 24, 2025. In Ivory Coast, the cocoa sector faces significant strain due to the longest dry spells in 46 years, affecting pod retention and threatening harvest volumes. While upcoming rains may improve crop conditions, mid-crop cocoa has already suffered, with processors reporting rejection rates as high as 56 pe...

This episode provides a detailed weekly summary of the global cocoa market as of August 17, 2025. Ivory Coast, the world's largest cocoa producer, is currently facing unfavorable weather conditions characterized by below-average rainfall and high temperatures. These conditions are jeopardizing pod development ahead of the October main crop harvest. Despite this, the country has seen a 6.6% year-ov...

This episode provides a detailed overview of the global cocoa market for the week of August 10, 2025. The Ivory Coast, the largest global cocoa producer, is facing a significant slowdown in production growth, with exports up only 6 percent this year to 1.76 million metric tons, compared to a 35 percent increase last year. Adverse weather conditions, including reduced rainfall and higher temperatur...

This week’s episode presents an overview of the global cocoa market as of August 3, 2025. Ivory Coast aims to increase its local cocoa processing rate from 42 percent to 50 percent by 2027, targeting 750,000 metric tons in annual grindings. This initiative is supported by infrastructure expansions such as a new grinding facility in Abidjan and the enlargement of the San Pedro Port. However, progre...

This episode provides a comprehensive overview of the cocoa market as of July 27, 2025. Ivory Coast is experiencing a notable reduction in both the volume and quality of its mid-crop cocoa. The crop is forecasted to reach 400,000 metric tons, reflecting a 9% year-over-year decline. Compounding concerns are rising defect rates, now at 5–6% per truckload compared to the usual 1%, raising alarms over...

This episode delivers an in-depth weekly summary of the global cocoa market as of July 20, 2025. Ivory Coast, the world’s largest cocoa producer, is experiencing mixed agricultural conditions. From October to July, cocoa shipments to ports are projected to increase by 6.8 percent. However, this figure is modest compared to the 35 percent surge reported the previous December. Heavy rainfall has dis...

This episode provides a concise overview of the global cocoa market as of July 13, 2025, Ghana's cocoa production is projected to increase to 650,000 metric tons for the 2025–26 season, fostering a bearish global price sentiment. However, the Ghana Cocoa Board is struggling with GHS 33 billion in debt, potentially compromising its capacity to support farmers and manage input distribution. This fin...

This episode delivers a comprehensive update on the global cocoa market as of July 6, 2025, highlighting both production shifts and economic challenges in key producing countries, as well as broader market dynamics. Guyana anticipates a cocoa harvest of 650,000 metric tons, marking an 8.3% increase over last season. This growth is attributed to favorable weather and better pod development, though...

This episode delivers a concise yet detailed overview of the global cocoa market for the week of June 29, 2025. It highlights the contrasting regional conditions impacting production, from weather-related setbacks in West Africa to technological advances in South America. In the Ivory Coast, cocoa producers face a challenging mid-crop season due to cooler-than-average weather, which has slowed pod...

Episode Summary: Global Cocoa Market Update – June 22, 2025 This week's global cocoa market overview spotlights complex dynamics across major producing countries. In the Ivory Coast, mid-crop conditions are mixed. While rainfall has been largely supportive, erratic temperatures and increased incidence of pod disease are affecting pod ripening. Export volumes have slowed notably compared to late 20...