Coinbase Markets Podcast

We discuss why the "Fed trade" is back in control of crypto as a stronger dollar and hot PCE inflation push bitcoin below $60K for the first time in nearly two years. We cover why AI and equity earnings keep crowding out speculative crypto demand, and what might finally free up capital for bitcoin. We also discuss how the government's shutdown of Anthropic's Fable model reframes decentralized AI a...

Description: We discuss why this week's macro setup favors caution, as last week's strong jobs report makes the upcoming CPI print critical to the Fed's reaction function. We cover why Bitcoin's institutional bid is being tested, with ETF outflows acting as a double-edged sword and $60K standing out as a key level to hold. We also discuss how AI-assisted discovery of a critical Zcash vulnerability...

We discuss why oil remains the key macro pressure point for crypto as Iran-conflict escalation keeps inflation risk, the dollar, and higher-for-longer Fed expectations in focus. We cover why bitcoin’s setup has weakened below $70K, with ETF outflows, weak trend signals, softer holder profitability, and exchange inflows all pointing to a more fragile market. We also discuss Coinbase bringing regula...

We cover how the April Fed minutes challenged the one-way cut narrative, why Nvidia’s strong earnings and the broader AI CapEx cycle are supporting equities without necessarily lifting crypto, and how bitcoin has absorbed meaningful ETF outflows without breaking down. We also discuss the latest roadblock for tokenized equities. Main sections (01:25 - 06:50) Fed minutes and rates repricing (06:50 -...

we sit down with Lark Davis to discuss why hotter inflation data is forcing markets to rethink the Fed’s room to cut, and why that may keep crypto in a more selective regime. We cover whether Bitcoin is really an inflation hedge, why BTC dominance may stay elevated if liquidity remains tight, and how traders are weighing onchain data, technicals, and institutional ETF flows. We also discuss Solana...

In this episode, we focus on three of the biggest crypto stories of the week: Circle’s Q1 results and ARC token announcement, Bitcoin’s more nuanced setup after strong ETF demand ran into a hotter CPI print, and Ethereum’s increasingly important staking and float dynamics. Main sections (01:21 - 10:17) Circle’s Q1 results & ARC token (10:17 - 19:16) Bitcoin after CPI (19:16 - 23:12) The macro fram...

We connect the week’s biggest macro and crypto stories, from Iran-driven oil volatility and the equities earnings backdrop to bitcoin’s increasingly important test near $80K. We discuss why rising spot ETF inflows and tighter float have made BTC’s rebound more meaningful, but not yet a confirmed regime shift, and why the short-term holder cost basis remains the key level to watch. We also examine...

In this inaugural episode of the Coinbase Advanced podcast, we break down one of the most confusing macro environments in modern history as crypto sentiment snaps back amid Middle East negotiations. The conversation explores the blurring lines between risk-on and risk-off assets, the systemic security threats posed by Anthropic’s new Mythos AI model, and recent DeFi contagion events involving Kelp...

We unpack why oil remains the key macro lens for understanding markets as renewed Iran diplomacy, elevated crude prices, stronger labor data, and sticky inflation risks continue to shape the Fed backdrop and broader risk sentiment. We discuss why Bitcoin has remained relatively resilient in this environment and how we are thinking about the market in a headline-driven regime where tactical levels...

We unpack the latest cross asset price action in response to surging oil prices and what elevated energy prices could mean for inflation, the Fed, and broader risk sentiment. We then explore why AI agents may become one of the most important structural themes in crypto, as autonomous software increasingly needs wallets, payments, settlement, and coordination rails to transact at scale. We also dis...

In this episode, we step back from the macro noise and focus on the biggest crypto stories of the week: (03:11 - 05:18) Why tokenization, stablecoins, AI agents, and onchain commerce are emerging as core crypto infrastructure themes. Plus, Coinbase Asset Management’s tokenized bitcoin yield fund on Base and what it says about institutional demand for compliant onchain products. (05:18 - 08:51) Why...

This week, we unpack some major crypto market themes: The Iran shock has turned oil from a background variable into an active transmission channel for inflation and volatility, complicating the Fed’s path to rate cuts just as labor data quietly weakens in the background. What will the Fed do at its FOMC meeting this week? Bitcoin has outperformed U.S. equities and large‑cap tech on a risk‑adjusted...

In this episode, we unpack the latest escalation in the Iran conflict and why the move in oil matters for markets, inflation expectations, and the Fed. We discuss how a headline-sensitive geopolitical risk premium has made oil the key macro transmission channel again, why the duration of any supply disruption matters, and what that could mean for bitcoin if this evolves from a short-lived shock in...

In this episode, we unpack the latest escalation in the Iran conflict and why the Strait of Hormuz standoff may be affecting market volatility and inflation-risk. We discuss the initial stability in markets before sentiment sobered on Tuesday as spillover fears grew, with oil rallying as gold fell. We then pivot to Block’s 40% workforce cut, explicitly framed as an AI-driven operating model shift,...

In this episode, we explore AI’s role in the recent cross-asset sell off and talk about what levels to watch on bitcoin in this mostly technically driven market. Negative gamma near the $60-70k zone may exacerbate downside moves, while positive gamma closer to $85-90k levels may pin price action to the upside.  Indeed, despite Strategy (MSTR) buying BTC and Bitmine buying ETH over the last week, t...

On this episode, we sit down with Project 11 CEO Alex Pruden to unpack what quantum computing really means for bitcoin’s long‑term security — without the hype or doom scenarios. We break down realistic timelines for “cryptographically relevant” quantum computers, which parts of bitcoin are actually at risk, and why open blockchains may be better positioned to upgrade than legacy finance. The conve...

This week we discuss the sharp decline in crypto prices, which fell alongside gold after the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, seemingly disproving the gold-to-bitcoin rotation narrative. We explore the lack of a clear marginal buyer for BTC, the increasing bearish positioning in the derivatives market, and the challenge for long-term holders. We also analyze the potential of digital asset t...

The global macro landscape is shifting fast, and this week we dive into how it’s influencing bitcoin’s price. We’ll explore potential for a rotation between bitcoin and gold as precious metals come back into focus. Then, we look at the dramatic appreciation of the Japanese Yen and what speculation about US and Japanese authorities strengthening the currency means for crypto. We’ll also cover the p...

This week, we step back from the day‑to‑day price action and bring on Richard Galvin, Executive Chairman & CIO at Digital Asset Capital Management (DACM), to frame the 2026 crypto cycle. We dig into how his TradFi background has shaped DACM’s investment philosophy, where he’s positioning across BTC and alts, and which tail risks he worries about most this year. The conversation covers how to chara...

We cover a lot of ground in this episode including: the effect of geopolitical developments on crypto the persistence of the BTC inflation narrative MSCI’s deferred DAT decision viral prediction markets On the macro side, the focus is on the US CPI print for December and whether this will impact the Fed’s decision making in 2026. Together, this helps tell us whether this crypto bounce is the begin...

We unpack our optimistic 1H26 crypto market outlook anchored on global liquidity support and rate-cut expectations, though energy prices and geopolitics represent potential tail risks. This may set the stage for momentum-led crypto performance and disciplined positioning. The discussion also covers the rise of tokenization—from tokenized equities to equity perps and higher collateral efficiency—an...

In this year-end episode, our Coinbase Research team wraps up 2025 by grading their crypto market predictions from the previous year and discussing key themes for 2026. The hosts score their prior year outlook on macro trends, tokenization, and the resurgence of DeFi/DEX volumes. Find out which calls earned high marks and where projections were “overly optimistic.” They then look ahead and share t...

Crypto racked up some wins this week with Vanguard and Bank of America opening the door for their clients to trade the asset class, though many still wonder why BTC isn’t trading substantively higher given all the good news. Our Head of Research, David Duong, remains constructive due to favorable macro conditions but acknowledges that it’s hard to identify the marginal buyer at the moment. That sa...

In this episode, Coinbase Research dissects the post-Thanksgiving crypto landscape, marked by low liquidity and high volatility. We debate a “trend variant” approach to dollar cost averaging (DCA), explore the implications of the Fed ending quantitative tightening, and the market implications of a highly anticipated December Fed rate cut—stressing that the commentary’s tone will matter more than m...

Crypto markets have gone through a broad repricing as doubts about AI ROI, the unwind of the momentum trade, and renewed uncertainty around the December FOMC meeting collide. We unpack why this macro mix matters more than usual: a prolonged government shutdown has jeopardized October 2025 releases, adding to uncertainty about what comes next. That said, we think the signal from small business earn...