Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

When DraftKings posted +225 on there being a perfect game during the MLB season, gambling Twitter immediately called it one of the worst prices ever hung. But most of the outrage focused on the wrong reasons. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why the reaction missed the mark, walks through the probability calculation step by step, converts the implied odds properly, and uses base rate math to...

Massachusetts has officially approved a regulation requiring sportsbooks to notify bettors within 48 hours if their account is limited, a move that’s sparking conversations across the betting world. We also break down the latest market settlements, including the high-profile Ali Khamenei market, and highlight unusual pricing in upcoming MLB markets, giving bettors insight into what’s happening beh...

A sportsbook accidentally listed every golfer in the Cognizant Classic at -10000 while adjusting lines — and for a brief window, chaos broke out across the market. Bettors holding longshots suddenly saw absurd cashout offers hit their accounts, creating one of the wildest pricing errors we’ve seen in golf betting. The crew breaks down what actually happened, how these -10000 placeholders triggered...

Are prediction markets rigged? Rob Pizzola gives his honest take on the stigma surrounding prediction markets and why many of the common criticisms don’t hold up. He breaks down how these markets actually function, where the skepticism comes from, and whether concerns about manipulation or unfair advantages are rooted in reality. Rob also explains how pricing, liquidity, and incentives work in pra...

Team USA shocks Canada in the men’s hockey gold medal game and we break down everything — the biggest moments, the coaching decisions, the betting market movement before puck drop, and how the result impacted bettors on both sides. We react to the game itself, the pregame narratives that didn’t hold up, and what this outcome says about the USA vs Canada rivalry going forward. Plus, we dive into th...

We originally asked our audience to send in their sports betting questions through YouTube comments, email, and Discord. The problem? Most of them were terrible. So we did something different: we took every comment from the past year on Circles Off, fed them into ChatGPT, and asked it to generate the 10 questions that every serious sports bettor actually needs answered. The result is a brutally ho...

Social media is not making you a better sports bettor. It might be doing the exact opposite. Today’s algorithms reward outrage, certainty, and constant engagement, not accuracy, long-term profitability, or nuance. The more you interact with bold takes and confident predictions, the more the algorithm feeds you the loudest voices in the room. In sports betting, that creates a dangerous feedback loo...

We break down whether professional sports bettors can truly advocate for responsible gambling, the controversy around cashing out Charlotte Hornets playoff futures, and real strategies for priming betting accounts. Isaac Rose-Berman joins the conversation to give insight into the responsible gaming debate, while Mike and Joey weigh in on whether sharps are sending the right message to everyday bet...

Jacob and the crew tear apart Super Bowl LX from every angle — how the Seattle Seahawks dominated the New England Patriots 29–13, the defensive masterclass that suffocated rookie QB Drake Maye, and how Kenneth Walker III emerged as the game’s MVP for the first time by a running back in decades. We break down the key plays, the Patriots’ offensive struggles, Jason Myers’ record-setting five field g...

Artificial intelligence is starting to reshape the sports betting landscape, and this episode digs into what that actually means going forward. The crew breaks down how AI is being used, where it actually matters, and where the hype gets out of control. From there, the conversation shifts to a so-called “documented” loser in the betting space and what that situation reveals about public tracking,...

On Life of a Capper, pro bettors answer two brutally honest questions: the worst gambling losses they’ve ever suffered financially, and the sports betting bad beats that still haunt them today. Filmed for Circles Off on The Hammer Betting Network and presented by Kalshi, this episode explores betting bankroll swings, unforgettable bad beat stories, sports gambling reality, and betting industry int...

This week on Circle Back, Jacob, Rob, Kirk, and Jason break down why so many people are confused by betting odds and why the idea that sportsbooks are “shading” lines to trick the public is mostly nonsense. We debunk common myths, explain how odds actually work today, and discuss the smartest way to interpret them if you want to stay ahead of the game. Plus, we recap an insane weekend in sports, f...

In this episode of Circle Back, the crew breaks down the worst betting trends people still blindly follow for the Super Bowl — from meaningless narratives and public angles to novelty bets that have zero edge. They dive into why bettors continue to hammer things like the coin toss in 2026, how trend-based thinking warps Super Bowl markets, and which “everyone knows this matters” angles actually do...

This week on Circle Back, we break down an exciting NFL championship weekend where the Patriots defeated the Broncos and the Seahawks toppled the Rams. We react to all the drama on the field, analyze key plays, and preview what this means heading into the Super Bowl. Plus, we examine possibly the worst free bet we’ve ever seen and respond to getting called out on Twitter. Jacob Gramegna hosts the...

This episode dives into the growing push to “educate” children about sports betting and why that approach may be doing more harm than good. The panel breaks down where the line actually is between responsible gaming and normalization, how problem gaming is often misidentified or exaggerated, and why some well-intentioned messaging completely misses the mark. The conversation also explores how poke...

Professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola discusses how sports bettors can fail to really understand the meaning behinds "odds" and "probability". Things can go wrong very quickly when you misunderstand what it actually takes to be a winning sports bettor. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from inter...

The Bills/Broncos playoff game delivered a jaw-dropping moment when Ja’Quan McMillian ripped the ball from Brandin Cooks for a stunning interception. Fans are divided over whether it should have been a catch, and the ruling has sent gambling Twitter into a frenzy. We break down the play, the controversy, and the reactions from bettors and NFL fans alike. Plus, we explore the most creative ways bet...

In today’s episode of Circle Back, we break down the indictments that just dropped in a sprawling point-shaving scandal involving college basketball and connections to the Chinese Basketball Association. We react to what’s been revealed so far, why this case could be far bigger than it initially appears, and what it means for the integrity of betting markets. We also dive into the growing online r...

Do professional sports bettors ever lose their edge? How do they react when it happens? Jacob Gramegna sits down with a lineup of sports bettors to ask them in this edition of the Life of a Capper series. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional vide...

Sports bettors woke up to a nightmare after a betting app glitch caused winning balances and betting balances to suddenly disappear, sparking outrage across Gambling Twitter. We break down the app glitch in detail, explain why users believe this betting app glitch crossed the line, and react to the chaos that followed as screenshots flooded timelines. The crew also recaps an incredible NFL Wildcar...

The Circle Back Friday team dives into the latest controversy that is taking over Gambling Twitter with an NFL win total settlement issue. They also discuss the impact of sports betting on general society, the dangers of cash outs and much more. Jacob Gramegna hosts pro sports bettors Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor) and Storm Pig as well as Hit The Books co-host, Joey Knish to break down the latest week i...

Gambling Twitter was up in arms over a controversy surrounding prediction market Kalshi and NFL season-long win totals, which were settled incorrectly. Professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola goes behind the scenes to explain what really happened, where things went wrong and how it will get fixed. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET and Friday at 8am ET. Plus, watch for additional...

Gambling Twitter brought in the New Year in standard fashion with more hot takes, controversies and more. We found perhaps the most unique edge, the worst edge, react to a controversial dispute with a recreational sportsbook, and so much more on this addition of Circle Back. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by pro sports bettor Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and the sophisticated squa...

Gambling Twitter is on fire as the Circle Back crew reacts to the poker scandal snub from the end-of-year show. The team dives deep into the controversy, debating whether the omission was intentional or a misstep. They also tackle a potentially misguided regulated sportsbook making waves in the industry, unpack new accusations that certain sports may be rigged, and break down all the latest drama...

The Circle Back crew takes a look back at Gambling Twitter's best moments of 2025. Jacob Gramegna hosts a star-studded cast of Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, Kirk Evans, Joey Knish and Mike (aka Mr. PeanutBettor) to get their reactions to this year's top content. From Vegas T-Bone's ambulatory flex to Jeff Nadu's domestic flight, we have it all. 📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday at 1pm ET...