Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray

Casual Inference

Science EN ↓ 68 episodes

Keep it casual with the Casual Inference podcast. Your hosts Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray talk all things epidemiology, statistics, data science, causal inference, and public health. Sponsored by the American Journal of Epidemiology.

Author

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray

Category

Science

Podcast website

casualinfer.libsyn.com

Latest episode

Jun 26, 2025

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Episodes

Optimizing Data Workflows with Emily Riederer | Season 6 Episode 8 26.06.2025

Emily Riederer is a Data Science Senior Manager at Credit Risk Modeling Capital One. Her website can be found here: https://www.emilyriederer.com/   Follow along on Bluesky: Emily: ‪@emilyriederer.bsky.social‬ Ellie:  @epiellie.bsky.social Lucy:  @lucystats.bsky.social   🎶 Our intro/outro music is courtesy of  Joseph McDade . Edited by  Cameron Bopp .

Combining Data & Making Effects Generalizable with Carly Brantner | Season 6 Episode 7 17.06.2025

Carly Brantner is an assistant professor of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics at Duke University and Duke Clinical Research Institute. Resources from this episode: multicate : R package for estimating conditional average treatment effects across one or more studies using machine learning methods PCORnet® Front Door : Access point for potential investigators, patient groups, and other stakeholders to...

The Art of Clarity with Andrew Heiss | Season 6 Episode 6 29.05.2025

Andrew Heiss is an assistant professor in the Department of Public Management and Policy at the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies at Georgia State University. Vincent's "What is your estimand" section in his {marginaleffects} book: https://marginaleffects.com/ chapters/challenge.html#sec- goals_estimand Article on defining estimands: https://doi.org/10.1177/ 00031224211004187 Andrew's marginal...

Study Critique: What Went Wrong and How We'd Do It Differently | Season 6 Episode 5 08.05.2025

In this episode Lucy and Ellie dig into a recently publicized paper,  "Vaccination and Neurodevelopmental Disorders: A Study of Nine-Year-Old Children Enrolled in Medicaid" , which has gained attention after being promoted by RFK Jr. as evidence that vaccines cause autism.    Ellie breaks down her Substack critique of the study. Together, she and Lucy discuss the methodological flaws and what a be...

From Model to Meaning with Vincent Arel-Bundock | Season 6 Episode 4 24.04.2025

Vincent Arel-Bundock is a professor at the Université de Montréal, where he studies comparative and international political economy. Vincent's website: https://arelbundock. com/ Vincent's book "Model to Meaning: How to Interpret Statistical Models With  marginaleffects   for  R  and  Python ":  https://marginaleffects. com/     Follow along on Bluesky: Vincent: @vincentab.bsky.social Ellie: @epiel...

Propensity Scores, R Packages, and Practical Advice with Noah Greifer | Season 6 Episode 3 10.04.2025

Noah Greifer is a statistical consultant and programmer at Harvard University. Episode notes: WeightIt package:  https://ngreifer. github.io/WeightIt/ MatchIt package: https://kosukeimai. github.io/MatchIt/ Noah's awesome Stack Exchange post: https://stats. stackexchange.com/a/544958 Follow along on Bluesky: Noah: @noahgreifer.bsky.social Ellie: @EpiEllie.bsky.social Lucy: @LucyStats.bsky.social...

Causal Assumptions and Large Language Models | Season 6 Episode 2 27.03.2025

Lucy and Ellie chat about large language models, chat interfaces, and causal inference. Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?: https://arxiv.org/html/2412.10635v1 Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi Ellie: @EpiEllie Lucy: @LucyStats 🎶 Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade . Edited by Cameron Bopp .

Data Integration for Impact with Len Testa | Season 6 Episode 1 28.02.2025

Lucy chats with Len Testa about a recent analysis he did which combined over 150 publicly available data sources to answer a question about the affordability of Disney World. Len's Deep Dive Post on the Touring Plans Blog [ Blog Post ] Wall Street Journal Artcile, "Even Disney Is Worried About the High Cost of a Disney Vacation" [ Article ] Follow along on Bluesky: Len: @lentesta.bsky.social Ellie...

Starting the Conversation on Models with Alyssa Bilinski | Season 5 Episode 11 10.07.2024

Alyssa Bilinski, Peterson Family Assistant Professor of Health Policy, and Assistant Professor of Biostatistics, at Brown University School of Public Health. Her research focuses on developing novel methods for policy evaluation and applying these to identify interventions that most efficiently improve population health and well-being. Episode notes: PNAS paper: https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.10...

Flexible methods with Edward Kennedy | Season 5 Episode 10 26.06.2024

Edward Kennedy Associate Professor, Department of Statistics & Data Science, Carnegie Mellon. ehkennedy.com Evaluating a Targeted Minimum Loss-Based Estimator for Capture-Recapture Analysis: An Application to HIV Surveillance in San Francisco, California: https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/193/4/673/7425624 Doubly Robust Capture-Recapture Methods for Estimating Population Size: https://www.tandf...

What Sports and Feminism can tell us about Causal Inference with Sheree Bekker & Stephen Mumford | Season 5 Episode 9 12.06.2024

Sheree Bekker & Stephen Mumford are Co-directors of the Feminist Sport Lab and have a book coming soon: "Open Play: the case for feminist sport", coming Spring 2025. Reaktion Books (UK), University of Chicago Press (US). Sheree Bekker: Associate Professor, University of Bath, Department for Health , Centre for Qualitative Research Centre for Health and Injury and Illness Prevention in Sport Stephe...

Observational Causal Analyses with Erick Scott | Season 5 Episode 8 29.05.2024

Erick Scott is founder of cStructure, a causal science startup. Erick has expertise in medicine, public health, and computational biology. info@cStructure.io "A causal roadmap for generating high-quality real-world evidence" https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10603361/ Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Ellie:  @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶 Our intro...

Friends Let Friends Do Mediation Analysis with Nima Hejazi | Season 5 Episode 7 16.05.2024

Nima Hejazi is an assistant professor in biostatistics at Harvard University. His methodological work often draws upon tools and ideas from semi- and non-parametric inference, high-dimensional and large-scale inference, targeted or debiased machine learning (e.g., targeted minimum loss estimation, method of sieves), and computational statistics. Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the La...

Fun and Game(s) Theory with Aaditya Ramdas | Season 5 Episode 6 01.05.2024

Aaditya Ramdas is an assistant professor at Carnegie Mellon University, in the Departments of Statistics and Machine Learning. His research interests include game-theoretic statistics and sequential anytime-valid inference, multiple testing and post-selection inference, and uncertainty quantification for machine learning (conformal prediction, calibration). His applied areas of interest include ne...

Cookies, Causal Inference, and Careers with Ingrid Giesinger #Epicookiechallenge | Season 5 Episode 5 17.04.2024

Ingrid is a doctoral student in Epidemiology at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health at the University of Toronto.  Winning cookie recipe Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Ellie:  @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶 Our intro/outro music is courtesy of  Joseph McDade Edited by  Cameron Bopp

Analyzing the Analysts: Reproducibility with Nick Huntington-Klein | Season 5 Episode 4 03.04.2024

Nick Huntington-Klein is an Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Albers School of Business and Economics, Seattle University. His research focus is econometrics, causal inference, and higher education policy. He's also the author of an introductory causal inference textbook called The Effect and the creator of a number of Stata packages for implementing causal effect estimation procedures...

Immortal Time Bias | Season 5 Episode 3 20.03.2024

Lucy and Ellie chat about immortal time bias, discussing a new paper Ellie co-authored on clone-censor-weights.  The Clone-Censor-Weight Method in Pharmacoepidemiologic Research: Foundations and Methodological Implementation: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40471-024-00346-2   Immortal time in pregnancy: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36805380/   Follow along on Twitter: The American J...

Targeted Learning with Mar van der Laan | Season 5 Episode 2 06.03.2024

Mark van der Laan is a professor of statistics at the University of California, Berkeley. His research focuses on developing statistical methods to estimate causal and non-causal parameters of interest, based on potentially complex and high dimensional data from randomized clinical trials or observational longitudinal studies, or from cross-sectional studies.  Center for Targeted Learning, Berkele...

Pros and Cons of Randomized Controlled Trials | Season 5 Episode 1 21.02.2024

Ellie and Lucy kick off the season and introduce our new executive buzzer, Melita! Melita is a masters student in statistics at Wake Forest University and will be helping out with the podcast (and keeping Lucy and Ellie from using too much jargon!) Pros & Cons of RCT paper:  Fernainy, P., Cohen, A.A., Murray, E. et al. Rethinking the pros and cons of randomized controlled trials and observational...

Remembering Ralph B. D'Agostino, Sr. 02.10.2023

We are re-releasing an episode from 2021 in remembrance of Ralph D'Agostino, Sr .  Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Ralph D'Agostino Sr. and Ralph D'Agostino Jr. about their careers in statistics, looking back at how things have developed and forward at where they see the world of statistics and epidemiology going.  Ralph D'Agostino Sr. was a professor of Mathematics/Statistics,...

Evidence Science with Cat Hicks | Season 4 Episode 11 17.07.2023

Ellie and Lucy chat with Dr. Cat Hicks, VP of Research Insights and Director of Developer Success Lab at Pluralsight Flow, about evidence science.    Follow along on Twitter: Cat: @grimalkina The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi Ellie:  @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶  Our intro/outro music is courtesy of   Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose:   aspiringrobot.com

M-Bias: Much Ado About Nothing? | Season 4 Episode 10 24.04.2023

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about a "Causal Quartet" and spend some extra time on M-Bias!   Lucy, Travis, & Malcom's Causal Quartet Paper Lucy's quartets R package Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Ellie: @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶  Our intro/outro music is courtesy of   Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose:   aspiringrobot.com

Thinking about Targeted Learning | Season 4 Episode 9 11.04.2023

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about ENAR 2023 and Targeted Learning! Targeted Learning in R Handbook Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Ellie: @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶  Our intro/outro music is courtesy of   Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose:   aspiringrobot.com

Prevention Strategies via the #Epicookiechallenge | Season 4 Episode 8 29.03.2023

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with #EpiCookieChallenge winner, Viktoria Gastens! Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Viktoria: @VikiGastens Viktoria's Lab: @PopHealthLabCH Ellie: @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶  Our intro/outro music is courtesy of   Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose:   aspiringrobot.com

Sensitivity Analyses for Unmeasured Confounders | Season 4 Episode 7 14.03.2023

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about confounding! ✍️  Lucy's new paper: Sensitivity Analyses for Unmeasured Confounders Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology:  @AmJEpi Ellie:  @EpiEllie Lucy:  @LucyStats 🎶  Our intro/outro music is courtesy of   Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose:   aspiringrobot.com

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