Calculated Risk: CFB By the Numbers

it's championship week, which means there are trophies to be hoisted, CFB berths to clinch, and bowl destinations to finalize. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the full championship week slate through the lens of the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings to give you the best analytical perspective on these matchups. What do the numbers have to say about underdog Alabama taking on the 2x def...

In this episode of Calculated Risk, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford briefly recap what transpired across a nearly-chaotic rivalry week in college football, and discuss where teams' résumés stand heading into conference championship weekend. KFord's Most Deserving Rankings still have Ohio State in the top 4, while the T Shoe Index dropped the Buckeyes to number 6, needing quite a bit of help this w...

It's finally here: Rivalry Week. Join Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford as they break down the biggest, most impactful matchups of this highly-anticipated week. Get analysis from the numbers perspective on The Game, the Iron Bowl, the Apple Cup, the Civil War, and the rest of the rivalries duking it out this weekend. Some are playing for bragging rights, some are playing for conference title implica...

The SEC/FCS invitational week is behind us, and all eyes are on rivalry week. But first, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down how week 12 impacted power ratings and résumé rankings, which gives a good preview of what the CFP committee might do and/or think regarding the teams at the top, based on the metrics. The headliner this week was Washington going into Corvallis and coming out with a r...

Rivalry Week is almost upon us, but first, we have an appetizing slate of college football games that could have major ramifications on the College Football Playoff and some conference title games. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down Washington's trip to Corvallis to take on Oregon State, Tennessee looking to bounce back against #1 Georgia, and SMU and Memphis battling it out at the Liberty...

Week 11 of the college football season provided a little more clarity into which teams are rounding into form while others are holding on for dear life. Georgia, Michigan and Ohio State all had convincing wins and passed the "eye test", while Washington, Oregon and Florida State all survived scares to keep their CFP hopes alive. How did the ups and downs of the weekend affect the T Shoe Index and...

It's time for week 11 of the college football season, and Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to break down the week's biggest matchups from the power rating perspective. What do the numbers have to say about the clash between Michigan and Penn State in Happy Valley? Can USC muster enough motivation to stay competitive against red-hot Oregon? Will Michael Penix and the Washington Huskies rema...

Week 10 was anticipated to be one of the most entertaining and impactful slates of the college football season and it did not disappoint. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back on "Calculated Risk" to break down the impact of Alabama's statement win over LSU, Clemson's takedown of Notre Dame, Washington's survival in a shootout at USC and the rest of the week that was in college football. The gu...

With a loaded week 10 slate on deck, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the weekend's biggest matchups and give their predictions and analysis from the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings, respectively. Can Alabama avoid CFP elimination at home against LSU? Will Texas keep its Big 12 and CFP hopes alive despite not having starting QB Quinn Ewers against a surging Kansas State team? Has USC quit...

In this episode of "Calculated Risk", Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford give an update on where teams stand after a tumultuous week 9 of the college football season that saw Oklahoma take its first loss, Washington look mortal for the second consecutive week, and Oregon throttle Utah at Rice-Eccles stadium in a rare home loss for the Utes. What effect did these results have from the power rating sta...

In this week 9 preview, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford give their power ratings and projections on the weekend's biggest matchups, including *Florida/Georgia, *Ohio State/Wisconsin, *and Oregon/Utah. How do the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings indicate these titan clashes should play out from the numbers perspective? The guys also give their rapid fire picks for Kansas/Oklahoma, Cal/USC, Boise Stat...

Tyler Shoemaker and Kelly Ford are back with "Calculated Risk: CFB by the Numbers" to recap week 8 and break down what went down on the field and how those performances impact the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings. How high did Ohio State climb after its massive win at home vs Penn State? Conversely, what did the loss for the Nittany Lions mean for James Franklin's team? Is Alabama a legitimate CFP a...

In this episode of Calculated Risk: CFB By the Numbers, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the week's biggest matchups: from Mike Elko's Duke Blue Devils taking on Florida State to Tennessee visiting Alabama, and the weekend's biggest matchup featuring the Penn State Nittany Lions traveling to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes. How do the T-Shoe Index and KFord Ratings see these...

Week 7 of the college football season did not disappoint; Washington survived Oregon in an instant classic, Notre Dame detonated Caleb Williams' repeat Heisman chances in a beatdown of USC, Georgia looked mortal once again and the injury status of star Tight End Brock Bowers remains up in the air. Hear how the on-field performances translated to the spreadsheets as Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford...

Week 7 of the college football season features some of the most impactful matchups of the season that will shape conference title races, as well as the College Football Playoff hunt. Can Oregon slow down Michael Penix and Washington on the road in a battle of the T Shoe Index's top two teams in the Pac 12? Will Miami and Mario Cristobal bounce back from the unforgivable loss last week to Georgia T...

Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford return for another episode of Calculated Risk: CFB by the Numbers to take a couple of well-earned victory laps about their models correctly predicting some outright underdog wins -- Oklahoma, Utah State and Wyoming, to name a few -- and recap the week that was in college football, while giving their updated power ratings in the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings, respec...

Week 6 of the college football season is here with some monstrous matchups that will have major impacts on the polls, perception, and the College Football Playoff. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the weekend's biggest games from the perspective of the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings. Will there be upsets in the Red River Rivalry and at Kyle Field on Saturday? Can Louisivlle continue...

Week 5 is in the books, so Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to break down what an eventful week of college football means from a predictive standpoint as we look ahead to the rest of the season. As usual, there are discrepancies in the guys' models about who the top teams are and aren't. Oklahoma is now a consensus top-two team for the T Shoe Index and KFord Ratings heading into the Red Ri...

Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back to look ahead to the week 5 college football slate, featuring marquee matchups like * Oregon State vs Utah * Syracuse vs Clemson * Duke vs Notre Dame. * Where is the struggling Utah offense in the guys' ratings? * How about 2-2 Clemson? * Can Notre Dame mentally bounce back from the Ohio State loss? Get the full analytical breakdown from the T Shoe Index an...

The highly-anticipated week 4 slate of college football did not disappoint; beginning with Clemson vs Florida State and culminating with a last-second Ohio State win over Notre Dame. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down how the action-packed week shakes up the college football landscape through the lens of their power rating models, the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings. How far did Oregon...

After a lackluster week 3 slate, college football fans are in for a monstrous week 4 slate, featuring the sport's heaviest hitters facing off in games that will have conference title and playoff implications. Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the weekend's biggest matchups from the analytical perspective; from Lane Kiffin's invasion of Tuscaloosa to the Ohio State Buckeyes rolling into So...

Which team’s stock is on the rise? Whose is in a free fall? Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down college football week 3 and what those performances mean from the perspective of their power rating models, the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings. Join Tyler and Kelley every Monday and Thursday this season to get your dose of college football from the analytical perspective only on Calculated R...

In this week 3 preview show, Kelley Ford and Tyler Shoemaker use their power rating models -- the KFord Ratings and the T Shoe Index, respectively -- to break down the biggest matchups of the weekend, including the Backyard Brawl, Michigan State vs Washington and Florida vs Tennessee. As quick-hitting bonus projections, the guys discuss UNC vs Minnesota, Georgia vs South Carolina and Penn State vs...

Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford are back after a wild week 2 of college football that saw Nick Saban lose at home as a touchdown favorite, Tulane give Ole Miss all it could handle, and Ohio State continue to look mortal. Come for the first look at week 2’s most upgraded and downgraded teams through the lens of the T Shoe Index (TSI) and the KFord Ratings and stay for the lesson on ratings vs ranki...

In this episode of Calculated Risk: CFB by the Numbers, Tyler Shoemaker and Kelley Ford break down the marquee matchups of college football week two through the lens of their respective rating systems, the T Shoe Index and the KFord Ratings. Will the Tide roll? Upset alert for Ole Miss? Are Coach Prime and Colorado for real? Answers to those questions and more from the guys on this week two lookah...