Derek Moore

Broken Pie Chart

Business EN ↓ 384 episodes

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

Author

Derek Moore

Category

Business

Podcast website

www.razorwealth.com

Latest episode

Jul 6, 2026

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Episodes

High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google's Number 2 | Payrolls 12.01.2026

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regressio...

2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025 | Outliers and Consensus | Gold, Rates, Markets, Economy, Bitcoin, The Dollar & More 05.01.2026

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right.   2026 Year End S&P 500 Index Targets VIX high for 2026 10 Year Treasury predictions Where will Bitcoin end 2...

Santa Claus Rally | Silver Goes Parabolic | S&P 500 Growth Due to Earnings & Multiple | International Stocks Rocking 29.12.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about silver prices going parabolic while Gold, Copper, Platinum, and other metals are clocking in gains. Does the rally continue? They, they look at how well international markets have done crushing the S&P 500 Index this year where Spain's IBEX 35 and South Korea's KOSPI are the top dogs that no one saw coming. Later, they discussed the attribution...

What if Bitcoin Goes Nowhere? | No Inflation | TSLA Volatility & SpaceX | Gold vs Bitcoin | Japan 10YR Yields 22.12.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a small ETF is gaining flows because of a small allocation to SpaceX. We'll also talk sector performance YT...

$1 million Now vs $1000 a Week for Life | Wall Street Prediction Cycle | Markets Go Up More Than Average | Goldilocks Markets | Apple's Resilience 15.12.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to ask if you would rather have a $1 million lump sum vs $1000 per week for life if you won the lotter. Then, looking at some of the incoming 2026 Wall Steet year end S&P 500 Index targets. Don't forget we'll do our own 2026 prediction show. Later, Apple seems to be bucking the AI spend and its price has been resilient in 2025, so wh...

Can't Be a Bubble Without? | Contrarian Signal Consumer Sentiment Hits a Low | Gold vs Stocks | Earnings Guidance Rises 08.12.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer's chart showing we aren't in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan's rise in interest rates a problem for stocks, bonds, or neither? Finally, looking at the returns of gol...

Small Caps Telling Us Rate Cuts | It's Not Just the Mag 7 Near All-Time Highs | Fear & Greed Index Disconnect | HOPE Economic Sequence 04.12.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the coming Fed decision and what the market is telling us. Plus, CNN's Fear and Greed Index is almost at extreme fear so why are most markets near all-time highs? Then, looking at the economy through the lens of Michael Kantro's HOPE theory and whether the recent ADP employment report is giving mixed messages. All this and more t...

Nvidia Saves the Market? | Fed Cut Whisperers | MSCI to Dump Strategy? | Sentiment vs the Market 23.11.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Nvidia's moves post earnings and whether the options market got it right. Then, what would happen if MSCI removes Strategy and index funds must liquidate? Later, did the Fed just say they are cutting without saying they are cutting? Plus, has sentiment ever been this bad near all-time highs?   MSCI might dump MicroStrategy | Stra...

OpenAI IPO | Michael Saylor's Strategy's Bitcoin Strategy Reframed | Michael Burry on Mag 7 Earnings Quality | NVDA Earnings Options Volatility 17.11.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder this week to talk about people's reaction to Michael Burry's comments on earnings quality in the Mag 7 companies, talk of the OpenAI IPO, and Nvidia's options ahead of earnings week. Plus, they reframe the idea of Strategy buying Bitcoin by using an alternative example. What if they held Apple stock instead? All this and much more this week. ...

S&P 500 Stocks Dispersion | Small Caps Outflows | NVDA Implied Volatility | Market Re-Rating Forward PE Ratio 10.11.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder where they look at the dispersion happening within the S&P 500 Index November to date. Then, they discuss the outflows ongoing for the small caps and what if anything that means. Later, looking at the effects of earnings on Nvidia's option prices, Apple's outlier as the strongest of the Mag 7 this week, and reviewing how the market re-rating c...

Hindenburg Omen | MicroStrategy vs Bitcoin | CAPE Ratio and Forward Returns | No More Tariff Tantrum? 03.11.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss the Hindenburg Omen and what that means for the stock market. Plus, looking at whether the Tariff trade has been completely wrong. Later, the best six months of the year are here, problems with using CAPE Ration to predict forward returns, permabears, and examining whether MicroStrategy (Strategy) is starting to not make sense to investors. All that...

AAPL MSFT META GOOG Earnings Volatility | 5% Mortgage Rates Coming? | No Inflation Despite Tariffs | 7000 Up Next for S&P 500 Index? 27.10.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to discuss the upcoming huge week in earnings and where the options markets rank the big 4 this week for implied moves. Then, they ask the question of what would need to happen to see 30-year mortgage rates slip lower to 5%. Later, they review the latest (albeit late) CPI figures and note, despite tariffs, no surge in inflation. All this and m...

VIX Too High? | SCOTUS Tariff Decision Looming | TSLA vs INTC Implied Volatility | Regional Bank Trouble? 20.10.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the VIX Index is too high based on market movements. Plus, is the regional bank trouble really trouble for the stock market? Later, looking at implied volatility on TSLA and INTC ahead of earnings. Finally, why no one is talking about the November 5th SCOTUS hearing on the Trump Tariffs. All that and much more this week. ...

Tariff Tumble | Historical Anomaly Gold vs Oil | Buying Opportunity or Continuation of Weakness? | Volatility Ahead of SCOTUS Tariff Hearing 13.10.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about Friday's tumble in stocks after the 100% China tariffs were announced. More to come or another buying opportunity? Plus, looking at the anomaly of gold being up but oil being down in the same year. Market doesn't care about the government shutdown. Volatility brewing through the Nov 5th Supreme Court tariff review?   100% Tariffs proposed on Chi...

Are We in a Bubble? | Top 10 Companies by Decade | Gold Historic Return YTD | Performance During Government Shutdowns 06.10.2025

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Syder this week to talk about market performance during government shutdowns, gold's historic YTD performance, and looking at how much turnover there is within the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 index. Plus, is ChatGPT causing a divergence in job growth since its release? Later, we discuss the increasing talk about whether we are in a bubble.   Is the stock market in...

Odds of Government Shutdowns | GDP Surprises to Upside | Volatility of Single Stocks vs the Index | New Pattern Day Trade Rules | Worst Stocks 29.09.2025

Derek Moore is back with Shane Skinner and Mike Syder to talk about the odds of government shutdown and whether it is really that impactful to markets. Plus, GDP growth surprises to the upside including the latest Atlanta Fed GDP nowcast for next quarter, so what recession? Later, what are the worst performing stocks in 2025, homebuyer demand vs affordability by state, NDX single stock implied vol...

Nick Magguilli NY Times Best Selling Author on the Wealth Ladder | The Fed Cuts So Now What? 22.09.2025

Nick Magguillia Interview – NY Times Bestselling Author on his new book The Wealth Ladder is our special guest this week. This wound up being a great conversation about personal finance, wealth, and looking at data differently. Later, Derek comes back on to discuss the Fed rate cut, mortgage rates, the historical spread between the 30-Yr Mortgage and the 10YR Treasury.   Nick Magguilli Interview o...

Would A Fed Rate Cut Matter? | Employment Revised Lower | Gold Reaches ATH | Inflation Expectations Drop | Largest 1-Day Single Stock Moves Higher 16.09.2025

Derek Moore, Shane Skinner, and Mike Snyder team up to discuss whether a Fed rate cut matters as much as people seem to think, especially given that most people have mortgages locked in lower. Plus, reviewing the revised lower employment numbers and whether the economy is truly slowing. ORCL moved 40% higher at one point in a single day, but what other large companies have moved that much? Later,...

Recession Indicators | Gold Oil Ratio | Fed Cut Probabilities Jump | Net Profit Margins By Decade 07.09.2025

Derek Moore and Shane Skinner talk about the rally in gold no one seems to care about and the gold oil ratio. Then, they go through the indicators used to determine recessions and note they don't seem that bad, although nonfarm payrolls did disappoint. But private sector jobs are growing while the government jobs are falling, so are fed cuts greenlit? Later, looking at S&P 500 net income margin pe...

Is Nvidia Getting Cheaper? | No Inflation | New Entrants to S&P 500 Index | Flows Into Ethereum ETFs 31.08.2025

Derek Moore and Michael Snyder touch on Nvidia post earnings to see whether the options market go the expected moves right or not. Then, they explore Interactive Brokers replacing Walgreens in the S&P 500 Index and how new entrants are often a big, overlooked aspect of S&P earnings growth. Then, they once again check in on the Fed and PCE Inflation which while not dropping isn't rising either. Lat...

Fed Gets Dovish? | Post Election Year Cycle | Option Vanna Rally? | In the End its Earnings 25.08.2025

Derek Moore and Shane Skinner geek out on the second derivative option Greek Vanna to understand how implied volatility changes cause buying or selling in markets. Plus, does Powell and the Fed not care about inflation anymore? Later, examine the post-election year seasonality to see if we are entering a historically weak period. All that plus what happens historically in markets when the fed has...

MSTR vs Bitcoin (IBIT) | VIX Seasonality | No Tarif Inflation Yet | Stock Buyback Seasonality | Confusing PPI Report 18.08.2025

Derek Moore reviews the relative valuation between MSTR MicroStrategy and the Bitcoin ETF IBIT, plus deconstructing the recent PPI report which may not be the inflation problem many people initially thought. The VIX Index has seasonal patterns, and we are going into the season for increased historical VIX levels, but will history repeat itself?  What about corporate buybacks seasonality and what i...

Comparing Bull Markets | Employment Revisions | Nvidia Options Implied Moves | Wall Street Targets Get Bullish 10.08.2025

Derek Moore and Mike Snyder compare the 2009 bull market to today plus Wall Street year end estimates get bullish again. Plus, What Nvidia's options market is forecasting for implied moves around earnings. Later, explaining (or trying to) the revisions to the employment data, historical perspective, and the low response rates. All that and more as markets try to make another all-time high.    2009...

Can You Really Retire on High Dividend Paying ETFs? |What Investors Get Wrong on Premium Selling High Dividend ETFs and Income | Are Assets More Correlated Today? | Index Weighting Concentration Over the Years 04.08.2025

Derek Moore and Shane Skinner get into how investors are looking at high dividend ETFs the wrong way as total return vs distribution yield is what matters. Plus, how to think about how much in dividends you can take out knowing its total return that drives the probability of assets lasting during distribution phase. Later, they look at correlations between different asset classes over the years an...

Opendoor Meme Stock Mania Gamma Squeeze? | Bull Market Has Legs? | FOMC Fed Dissents Coming? | Options and Mag 7 Earnings 27.07.2025

Derek Moore and Mike Snyder get into why anyone was short Opendoor and how the options market is flashing crazy implied volatility. Plus, how volatility and price movement may cause market makers to buy shares known as a "Gamma Squeeze". Later, they get into how the signs are there that this bull market might have more to run (or not). Oh, and let's not forget to look at what the options market is...

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