BMO Views from the North

In this episode, Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, joins me to share his perspective on the state of the Canadian housing market. We go through the various fundamental drivers and discuss whether the market is bottoming after a challenging few years. In addition, we preview next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss the recent relative outperformance of the Canadian bond market, front-end dynamic and how futures positioning has shifted, the macro backdrop, and a couple of trade ideas.  As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss how the June 1/2 extension shaped up, the state of the Canadian economy amid a somewhat persistent negative data flow, how the federal government is performing, and where we see opportunities in the market. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In my 100th episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss the current macro environment, with a focus on inflation and what that means for the Bank of Canada. Joel also shares his favourite trade ideas amid heightened uncertainty. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss how market behaviour has evolved as the Middle East conflict appears to be waning, what that means for Bank of Canada pricing, whether we could get any surprises in the coming Spring federal fiscal update,  and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, head of the Toronto rates sales desk, joins me to discuss the economic and market backdrop amid the ongoing war in Iran. We cover lots of ground from positioning to provincial spreads and my recent trip to London. While there’s plenty of uncertainty clouding the outlook, there remain pockets of opportunity with Adam outlining a few trade ideas. As always, all feedbac...

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss the takeaways from his recent trip to London, the challenging market backdrop, and some trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In the first episode of 2026, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the state of the Canadian economy, the wild headlines over the past few weeks, as well as market thoughts and trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In the final episode of 2025, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss the recent Bank of Canada and Fed policy announcements, potential paths for monetary policy, the outlook for 2026, and his favourite trade ideas. Happy holidays to all! I’ll be back with more episodes in the New Year! As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Sam Buckley, Head of BMO’s Government of Canada trading desk, joins me to discuss Canada’s massive December 1 index extension, the outlook for the Bank of Canada and Fed, as well as his thoughts on what’s in store for 2026 and some trade ideas into year end. As always, all feedback is welcome.

BMO held its annual Toronto Macro Summit last week. I was honoured to participate on a panel with our guest speaker James Aitken, a globally renowned macro strategist, and Ian Lyngen, BMO's head of US rate strategy, with Joe Leary, BMO's co-head of fixed income as moderator. Joe orchestrated a lively discussion on a wide range of topics that goes well beyond the usual Canada focus. This episode of...

In this episode, Manmit Pandori, head of tactical and accrual trading at BMO Capital Markets, joins me to discuss the current state of the credit market, whether spreads can keep tightening, how his team is positioning themselves, and what could blow it all up.  As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO's Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss our expectations for next week's Bank of Canada policy announcement, takeaways from my recent trip to London, front end curve dynamics, the outlook for the yield curve, and our favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO's Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the persistent richness of credit spreads, North American inflation dynamics and the divergence in how the BoC and Fed are reacting, as well as an update on what's topical in fixed income markets. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap trades, joins me to discuss the outlook for the Bank of Canada, whether the front end has cheapened enough, and the potential path for the yield curve and swap spreads. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, joins me to share his insights on the state Canadian housing market, the fundamental drivers, regional differences, how much further prices might have to fall, and where the market is heading over the coming years. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss the Bank of Canada’s decision to stay on hold this week, where monetary policy is headed for the rest of 2025, and the bigger picture for inflation and interest rates. As always, all feedback is welcome.

BMO hosted its 12th annual Government, Reserve & Asset Managers Conference last week in Toronto. I had the privilege of moderating a panel titled "Capital Flows in a Time of Stress". The panel featured Manmit Pandori, MD, Head of Tactical & Accrual Trading at BMO CM, Avi Hooper, Senior Advisor at ABP Invest, and Matthew Emde, Director General, Funds Management, Government of Canada. This episode o...

In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the ongoing tariff drama, last week’s Bank of Canada decision to pause and whether more rate cuts are coming, how uncertainty is impacting investors, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.  

In this episode, Manmit Pandori, head of tactical and accrual trading at BMO, joins me to discuss President Trump's tariff announcement, the financial market reaction, how the macro backdrop might unfold, and how he is managing risk in this highly volatile and uncertain world. As always, all feedback is welcome. 

In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss this week’s hot CPI report and whether everyone (including the Bank of Canada) has inflation wrong, how fiscal policy could evolve over the coming year, the outlook for interest rates and opportunities in the bond market. As always, all feedback is welcome. 

In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss the on again/off again tariff threats, swap spreads, the upcoming Bank of Canada policy announcement, and his favourite trades. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, Darren Campbell, BMO’s head of FICC Investor Sales Canada, joins me to discuss the wild events of the past week, how tariffs could evolve, and what it could mean for the Bank of Canada. As always, all feedback is welcome.

In this episode, the Honourable Scott Brison, BMO Vice-Chair and a former Member of Parliament, joins me to discuss Canada’s political backdrop. Scott outlines the current state of the government amid President Trump’s tariff threats, his experiences with some of Canada’s key political figures ahead of what could be a spring election, and what’s needed to improve persistently weak productivity. Fo...

In this episode, Andrew Wallace, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss what he’s focusing on in the coming year, the extreme cross-market richness of GoCs and when the tide could turn, and opportunities in the bond market. As always, all feedback is welcome.