BMO Equity Research IN Tune

Geopolitical tensions involving Iran and the Middle East conflict are still present, and physical disruptions to energy markets remain. However, financial markets have recently reflected a focus less on headlines and energy shocks and more on positive economic fundamentals and strong AI-related investment. On May 6, BMO experts examined how equity markets, FX, and macro data are considering evolvi...

To help clients navigate geopolitical and economic uncertainties, BMO convened a group of experts to examine how tensions in the Middle East and disruption to physical delivery of oil and other goods remain an important consideration for markets across asset classes, what second order effects are proving more durable, and how companies and investors can navigate a range of economic outcomes. Sadiq...

On April 8, BMO hosted a digital event exploring how global trade could evolve this year, the potential impact of volatile oil prices, how U.S. tariff policy could evolve, and risks to U.S.–Canada trade. Steve Verheul, former Chief Trade Negotiator for Canada, joined a panel of BMO experts to share perspectives on the trade outlook and how businesses and investors can prepare. Click here for trans...

In this episode, Helen Amos and Joel Jackson discuss disruptions to fertiliser supply chains stemming from the Iran conflict. Nitrogen and sulphur prices have already seen huge gains (phosphate prices are rising too) with seemingly little slack in the system for a supply response to plug the gap. They discuss how this compares in scale with the onset of the Russia/Ukraine war in 2022, and what thi...

On March 17, BMO hosted a discussion on the Middle East conflict and how it is likely to impact the US and Canadian economies, and energy markets. The panel included: Doug Porter, Chief Economist, who discussed the implications for growth, inflation, and central bank policy, and Randy Ollenberger, Oil and Gas Analyst, who explored whether markets are pricing this as a temporary supply shock or a m...

Commodity prices are reacting in a major way to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Please join our analysts, Randy Ollenberger, John McNulty, Joel Jackson, Helen Amos and George Heppel for a group conference call where we discuss our latest thoughts for near- and medium-term impacts on energy, metals, fertilizers, and chemicals markets. ⁠Click here for transcript.⁠ To access our full disclos...

On March 9th, we sat down with Doug Porter and Randy Ollenberger to examine the market and economic implications of the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the resulting energy shock. The conversation traces recent geopolitical developments, reactions across energy commodities and equities, and risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. Doug Porter assesses inflation, growth, and central bank...

In this special Metal Matters podcast, BMO Commodities Analyst Helen Amos is joined by Ro Dhawan, President and CEO of the ICMM to discuss how the role of sustainable mining is shifting in a world where mining and critical minerals has been thrust into the foreground of global geopolitics. They discuss the new Consolidated Mining Standard which marks a major turning point in harmonising standards...

In this episode, Helen Amos is joined by BMO’s Chief Economist Doug Porter to discuss the impact of big macro shifts on the metals and mining space. They talk everything from rate cuts, the US dollar, AI, de-dollarisation, global trade, and emerging market development Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures ⁠

With a few months to go in 2025, our expert panel delves into their latest outlook for the US and Canada, exploring GDP, inflation, central bank policy and trade policy. Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale University’s Budget Lab, Doug Porter, Chief Economist, BMO and Dan Philips, Chief Investment Officer, BMO US Wealth Management, each provide their unique perspectives on asset classes,...

In the first episode of our re-launched podcast, we discuss copper back to $10k, iron ore’s resilience, macro shifts, Chinese stockpiling, and the case for a new mining upcycle. BMO clients can view our reports here: ⁠BMO Precious Metals Monitor: Poised for the Cut⁠⁠ PGMs: Picking the Right Basket⁠⁠ Anti-Involution Needs Patience: Copper and Coal Screen Strongest⁠ ⁠Click here for transcript.⁠ To a...

If enforced, President Trump’s introduction of a 50% tariff on copper could significantly impact global copper pricing, supply chains and inventories. Join our Equity Research Analysts, Helen Amos, Matt Murphy, and Katja Jancic, as they discuss anticipated outcomes and implications moving forward. Click here for transcript. Click here for important disclosures.

BMO experts discuss the evolving Canadian political and economic landscape following the election of Prime Minister Mark Carney. Click here for transcript. ⁠Click here for important disclosures⁠.

In a special episode of the Markets Plus podcast recorded on April 30, Camilla Sutton, Managing Director and Head of Equity Research, Canada & UK, BMO Capital Markets, moderates a timely and engaging discussion on the implications of the Canadian election. Joining her on the show: Hon. Brian Tobin, Vice Chair, BMO Financial Group and Hon. Jason Kenney, Senior Advisor, BMO Financial Group. Click he...

On April 28, Canadians elected Members of Parliament to represent them in the House of Commons. The following day, BMO hosted a discussion to cover the economic, markets and tax policy implications. Click here for transcript. ⁠⁠Click here for important disclosures⁠⁠.

The ongoing uncertainty around U.S. tariffs on foreign goods is affecting business leaders across all industries. On April 17, BMO hosted a discussion to cover macroeconomic trends that are specifically impacting manufacturers with our economic and industry experts. (31 min) Click here for transcript. ⁠⁠Click here for important disclosures⁠⁠.

Critical minerals are essential inputs in modern energy and high-tech applications, including batteries, energy storage and infrastructure, and national security. They also play an important role in the global energy transition, where demand is expected to necessitate significant investment in order to develop new mines, downstream processing capacity, and secure and resilient supply chains. In th...

How is the metals and mining industry driving sustainable development? Rohitesh Dhawan, CEO and President of the International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM), and Camilla Sutton, BMO's Head of Equity Research for Canada and the UK, explore the industry's progress, key achievements, and what’s next. During this 30-minute episode, they discuss the ICMM and its members' progress on Consolidated...

Michael Gregory, Deputy Chief Economist and Head of US Economics, discusses how tariffs and the ongoing uncertainty around them impacts the outlook for the Canadian and U.S. economies; while Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist discusses his equity investment outlook for both Canada and the US.  Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/...

How will U.S. Tariffs on Canada impact the economy, equities, oil & gas, autos, and banks? Join us for a 25-minute discussion/videocast/podcast with BMO’s Deputy Chief Economist, Michael Gregory, Chief Investment Strategist, Brian Belski, Oil & Gas Analyst, Randy Ollenberger, Consumer Analyst, Tamy Chen and Banks Analyst, Sohrab Movahedi, recorded 24hrs before the tariffs are set to take effect (r...

U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump’s threats to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian and Mexican products may be a way to bargain with important trade partners but it doesn’t diminish the urgent need for North American markets to prepare for potential duties. Listen to, Steve Verheul, Former Chief Trade Negotiator for Canada,(Moderator) Allison Hakomaki, Head, National Agriculture, Public Sector & E...

How will an altered political landscape in Washington affect the U.S. fundamental outlook? Camilla Sutton, BMO Capital Markets Managing Director, Head of Equity Research, Canada & UK, moderated a discussion with BMO experts across macroeconomics, financial markets, and rates to understand the current and future implications of the 2024 election. Listen to Doug Porter, Managing Director and Chief E...

As we prepare for the upcoming US Presidential election, we spend some time with five of our BMO Capital Markets experts who run through how they see market impacts unfolding. Our guests include: Sal Guatieri, BMO’s Sr. Economist and Brian Belski, BMO’s Chief Investment Strategist; as well as three of our Equity Research Analysts Colin Hamilton, who focuses on metal commodities, Randy Ollenberger...

During this podcast Doug Morrow, ESG Analyst, takes the listening through how the AI/data center build out is contributing to a new era of electricity demand, on the back of which firms like Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are highly focused on responsible data center construction and operation. However he sees an emerging short-term trade-off between gr...

All to often, energy investors focus on the commodity but for mid-cap Oil & Gas companies, share price performance is more determined by evolving company prospects, particularly related to undrilled well inventory. The change in perception as it relates to this undrilled acreage, either by a new oil pool discovery, or advancements in fracking technology, is a much more determining (and forecastabl...