Behind the Markets Podcast

Show from 07/25/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discussed the Japan tariff deal, market optimism surrounding its announcement, and how it contributed to Japan’s stock market breakout. They analyzed the ambiguity of the deal’s financial terms and its potential geopolitical ripple effects. (27:08) Jeremy is joined by WisdomTree’s Ryan Louvar and Dovile Silenskyte for a deep dive into cr...

Show from 07/18/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel open with a deep dive into the tense dynamics between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with Professor Siegel controversially suggesting Powell should resign to maintain the Fed’s independence. Siegel argues Powell faces only downside if economic conditions worsen, becoming a convenient scapegoat for Trump's economic policies....

Show from 07/11/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the recent tariff headlines and market reactions. Professor Siegel highlights that tariffs and guidance for Q3 are currently driving the markets, but he remains skeptical that new tariffs will significantly impact economic growth. (11:41) Jeremy then talks with Sam Rines, Chris Gannatti, and Jeff Weniger about the broader implica...

Show from 07/03/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel break down the latest jobs report, noting that while headline numbers surprised to the upside, underlying data show mixed signals and tame wage growth. The Professor expects no rate changes from the Fed in July and sees continued market optimism supported by stable money supply and upcoming trade deals. (11:16) Jeremy is joined by Sam Ri...

Show from 06/27/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the S&P 500 hitting new highs, positive developments from the NATO meetings, and the impact of Middle East dynamics on the markets. The Professor also weighs in on potential Fed moves, a slowing economy, and how firms might use AI to offset tariffs and labor costs. (11:10) Jeremy is joined by Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research, al...

Show from 06/20/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel assess the Fed's latest policy posture, ongoing tariff impacts, and inflation expectations. The Professor critiques Powell’s stance on tariff-induced inflation, expresses concern over rising jobless claims and layoffs, and notes the Fed’s significant upcoming workforce reduction. He also discusses the subdued market response to Middle Ea...

Show from 06/13/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the geopolitical ramifications of Israel's recent military strike on Iran, its muted market impact, and the broader implications for inflation and Fed policy. Professor Siegel emphasized Iran’s weakened position, the role of U.S. coordination, and reiterated his view that inflation remains on a downward trend, supporting a Fed ra...

Show from 06/06/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel analyze the latest employment report, which showed a mixed picture with strong healthcare and entertainment hiring, despite downward revisions in prior months. Professor Siegel emphasized the overall positive market sentiment, noting resilience in spending and projecting potential new all-time highs for the S&P 500. (11:23) Jeremy and Ch...

Show from 04/30/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel break down the market’s reaction to a dramatically improving trade deficit, discuss expected upward revisions to GDP, and reflect on the latest PCE inflation data. Professor Siegel also shares his views on the Fed’s independence in light of political pressure, tensions with China, and the AI-driven productivity surge. (19:05) Jeremy is j...

Show from 05/23/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel break down the latest market concerns, focusing on President Trump's Truth Social posts and the potential impact of threatened tariffs on Apple and the EU. Professor Siegel expresses a cautiously optimistic view on markets, contingent on the rollback of these tariffs, and comments on unemployment claims, inflation indicators, and bond ma...

Show from 03/21/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss recent market resilience, the impact and perception of new tariffs, and why inflation expectations may be overstated. The Professor highlights consumer sentiment dips and sees potential upside if tariff fears remain contained. (15:24) Jeremy continues with Sam Rines and Chris Gannatti to analyze geopolitical and economic developm...

Show from 05/09/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel focus on Powell’s Fed commentary, discussing the lack of policy surprises, concerns about stagflation, and Siegel's critique of the Fed's rigid rate-setting practices. The professor also warns about supply chain disruptions from China and the risk of economic slowdown if tariffs persist. (34:15) Jeremy is joined by Macro Charts (referred...

Show from 05/02/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel break down the week’s economic headlines, highlighting resilient market behavior amid ongoing tariff concerns. The Professor points to mixed signals from earnings reports and the labor market, questions surrounding Q1 GDP contraction, and a lack of visible inflationary effects from tariffs thus far. (18:21) Jeremy continues the conversat...

Show from 04/25/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel covered the market impacts of tariffs, interest rate policy, and long-term inflation expectations. Professor Siegel emphasized the case for lower interest rates, highlighted trends in manufacturing decline, and discussed market resilience amid tariff concerns. (30:19) Jeremy is joined by David Kotok to discuss the economic consequences o...

Show from 04/18/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel dive into this week’s market outlook, starting with Powell’s latest commentary and potential rate cuts. The Professor expresses concern over Powell downplaying recent favorable inflation data and suggests a preemptive rate cut is warranted, warning of recession risks if tariffs persist. He also critiques corporate earnings guidance in th...

Show from 04/11/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel reviewed a volatile week in the markets, focusing on rising yields and the dollar’s slide. The Professor attributed bond market moves to growing concerns about the U.S. deficit and potential shifts in global reserve currency dynamics. He emphasized the inflation impact of tariffs, potential recessionary risks, and questioned the long-ter...

Show from 04/04/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel dive into this week’s discussion with a focus on new tariff policies, the Fed’s next moves, and implications for the money supply. Professor Siegel criticizes the tariffs as a major unforced error, warns about the potential for a bear market if retaliations continue, and argues that the Fed should cut rates regardless of the inflationary...

Show from 03/28/25 In this episode of Behind the Markets, host Jeremy Schwartz kicks off with an interview featuring Andreas Kern, CEO of WikiFolio, a unique German social trading platform that enables individuals to publish model portfolios and convert them into exchange-listed products. Kern discusses the recent sharp shift in investor behavior from U.S. equities to German mid-cap stocks, signal...

Show from 03/21/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel break down the Fed's latest meeting, noting Powell's dovish tone despite downgraded growth and higher inflation forecasts. The Professor emphasizes that inflation risks from tariffs appear temporary and market sentiment hinges on the upcoming April 2nd tariff announcements. (27:52) Jeremy continues the conversation with WisdomTree’s Samu...

Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the market reaction to tariffs and their potential impact on inflation and sentiment. The Professor highlights the sharp decline in the University of Michigan sentiment index, the risks of continued tariff escalation, and his expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting. He warns that a full-scale tariff war could further pressure equities, while a l...

Show from 03/07/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discussed the latest market trends, focusing on the jobs report, volatility in trade policy, and concerns about rising unemployment rates. Professor Siegel highlighted the impact of policy uncertainty on the markets and expressed concern over a potential stall in credit growth, as well as the challenges posed by volatility in energy pric...

Show from 02/08/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the latest market developments, focusing on the PCE report, GDP revisions, and the impact of tariffs on economic growth. The professor highlights the unexpected trade balance shift, predicting a significant slowdown in Q1 GDP but dismissing recession concerns. He also comments on recent market volatility, particularly in tech sto...

Show from 02/21/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss the latest market trends, focusing on tariff uncertainties, economic data, and market resilience. Professor Siegel highlights the market’s response to geopolitical developments, earnings expectations, and the potential impact of rising bond yields. He also weighs in on Nvidia, Tesla, and the broader AI landscape, emphasizing the...

Show from 02/14/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel reflect on the Eagles' Super Bowl victory and discuss key economic data, including CPI and PPI surprises, the market's reaction to inflation expectations, and the impact of potential tariff negotiations. Siegel notes that while inflation data was hotter than expected, markets found relief in the lower-than-expected PCE components. He als...

Show from 02/07/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz opens the show, discussing market trends and economic indicators. Jeremy is then joined by Sonu Varghese from the Carson Group, along with Jeff Weniger, Sam Rines, and Chris Gannatti, for a deep dive into market trends, asset allocation, and economic outlooks. Sonu discusses his positive outlook on the U.S. economy, citing strong labor market fundamentals an...