5 in 5 with ANZ

The Euro falls on growing concerns that France’s minority Government will face a no-confidence vote as it forces through a Budget bill. Australian retail sales are stronger than expected due to early discounting, and New Zealand building consents stabilise. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh explains why he now expects a fifth consecutive year of depreciation f...

ANZ Research now sees a later start to rate cuts in Australia, but sees a bigger rate cut in February in New Zealand. Donald Trump issues a big new tariff threat. And India’s GDP missed forecasts, increasing the chances the RBI will cut later this week. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ NZ Chief Economist Sharon Zollner explains why she sees just 75 bps more of rate cuts, rather than the 125 b...

Global markets are mixed, although tension is building around France’s budget crisis. The Bank of Korea unexpectedly cuts rates. Australian capital expenditure resumes growing, while New Zealand business confidence continues to firm. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Kausani Basak reviews how Vietnam’s economy has rebounded from Typhoon Yagi and how its export sector could be affect...

Solid US inflation means the Federal Reserve could pause rate cuts in December. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cuts 50 basis points, with questions arising over its next move, and underlying inflation ticks up in Australia. In our bonus deep dive interview, after yesterday’s RBNZ decision, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner sums up the state of play for Kiwi interest rates, with the n...

Markets wobble after Trump threatens 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which forced the Aussie and Kiwi dollars down to near one-year lows. The RBNZ is expected to cut by 50 bps and the RBA is watching for disinflation progress. In our bonus deep dive interview, ahead of today’s RBNZ decision, ANZ Senior Economist Miles Workman analyses last week’s growth warning from the New Zealand...

US markets bounce on hedge fund manager Scott Bessent’s selection as Treasury secretary, easing deficit and tariff fears. Singapore’s inflation is dragged down by a strong currency, and a fall in New Zealand Q3 retail sales should mark the bottom of the current recession. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur looks at why the Phillipines...

Global stocks rise again after strong US business activity surveys. This week’s focus is on the Fed’s minutes and US inflation data, along with Australian inflation figures and a rates decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Australia Economist Maddy Dunk highlights a counterintuitive move in housing affordability in one state capital. Before accessing...

Oil rises on an escalating conflict in Ukraine. US jobs and business confidence data is mixed. Australian housing affordability worsens again and New Zealand’s Treasury warns growth will be weaker than its May forecast and widen the budget deficit. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Commodity Strategist Soni Kumari explains why ANZ Research thinks gold will continue to attract demand despite re...

Global stocks wobble as Ukraine conflict fears escalate. UK inflation is hotter than expected. China’s banks hold lending rates amid a focus on fiscal stimulus, and Bank Indonesia says post-Trump currency moves have affected its ability to cut rates. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Rates Strategist Jennifer Kusuma looks at the implications of US President-elect Donald Trump’s win for...

Stocks are jittery and safe havens in demand this morning after an escalation of the conflict in Ukraine overnight. The RBA’s minutes indicate it may cut earlier than previously expected and Australian consumer confidence is still trending higher. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes analyses the outlook for Chinese steel production and iron ore prices a...

Oil prices rise 3% as the Russia-Ukraine war escalates. US Treasury yields edge up as traders price a December rate cut by the Fed at 50-50. And RBA minutes today are being watched to see how hawkish the rate-setting board continues to be. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Miles Workman explains how the RBNZ’s more aggressive start to OCR cuts has shifted New Zealand economy’s...

The Trump trade takes a breather. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is less dovish than expected. China’s retail sales surge, leaving it on track for 4.9% GDP growth this year. And was the Trump trade actually about Trump? Or about a very clear election result? In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes analyses the risks of Australia’s gas supply getting redirected int...

US producer price inflation rises a bit, but a rate cut remains on the table. The US dollar nears a two-year high on the ‘'Trump Trade’. Australia’s jobless rate holds but employment growth slows, and there are signs of life in New Zealand’s housing market. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes looks at how Australia’s East Coast gas suppliers have dealt...

Bets firm for a December rate cut by the Fed as US disinflation continues. Australian wage growth is lower than expected, but that might not move the RBA. The Yen weakens further as the US dollar continues its surge - the Aussie and Kiwi fall as well. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh continues our coverage of the effects of Donald Trump’s election victory on gl...

US stocks take a breather, while Treasury yields and Bitcoin continue to surge following the US election. Australian consumers and businesses are the most confident since early 2023, and New Zealand’s economic slump looks to have bottomed out. ANZ Senior Senior China Strategist Zhaopeng Xing says China’s authorities look to have held off announcing a larger stimulus package last week to keep their...

The Trump trade surge continues: Bitcoin hits a new record high and the US dollar bounced another half-percent overnight. Expectations for another Fed rate cut in December grow more wobbly; and weary ECB policy makers suggest rate cuts could help ward off negative US trade moves. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton analyses a surge in jobs in aged care...

The Fed cuts by 25 basis points as expected, with one more expected next month. The Fed is being cautious as the US economy lands softly. China’s EV exports to Australia surge. New Zealand is wary of how tariffs might affect beef exports. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur analyses how Trump’s tariffs might affect economies in Asia, out...

US stocks rise again with hopes a dominant Trump Presidency will be good for growth and profits, but Treasury yields fell ahead of the Fed’s decision. The Bank of England cuts, but looser British fiscal policy may slow more cuts. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Economist Vicky Xiao Zhou explains how well China is prepared for Trump tariffs 2.0. Before accessing this podcast, please read the...

US stocks surge more than 2% to fresh record highs as stock investors celebrate Donald Trump’s re-election. But bond holders aren’t so sure. US Treasury yields jumped 18 basis points to a six-month high as traders bet on tax cuts, higher borrowing and growth. Meanwhile New Zealand’s jobless rate rises less than expected, and Malaysia holds rates. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Re...

US stocks and Treasury yields are up on election day as data suggests whoever wins is going to inherit a growing US economy. Meanwhile, the RBA holds and stays mildly hawkish, and New Zealand’s unemployment rate is expected to tick up today. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner reviews the recent leap in ANZ’s Business Outlook survey and looks ahead to t...

The US dollar and Treasury yields fell overnight as opinion polls pointed to a narrow Kamala Harris victory; In Australia today the RBA is expected to hold rates but shift to a more neutral tone, and Australia’s jobs market shows more signs of strength. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung looks at how a Trump Presidency might affect trade in Asia,...

US jobs growth was much weaker than expected in October, but the Fed is still on track to cut rates 25 basis points later this week. December is not as certain for another cut though. And watch out this week for more stimulus news from China. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin teases out how the Fed, financial markets and bond investors view a Harris win, or a...

The Bank of Japan holds rates, but signals more still on the cards; UK rate cut bets retreat after new Government’s first budget, Australian retail sales jump and China’s manufacturing sector expands ahead of further stimulus expected next week. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Economist Vicky Xiao Zhou (Showe Jo) looks at the rise …and the rise of China’s electric vehicle industry. Before ac...

US GDP is boosted by strong consumer spending while European growth beats expectations. Australian inflation falls - but rate cuts still aren’t on the cards for this year. And the Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates today against a backdrop of political uncertainty. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, as Indonesia’s new President is finally sworn in following February’s election, ANZ Economist K...

US consumer confidence lifts, ahead of stronger GDP figures expected today, although weaker jobs data shows signs of a cooling labour market; And Australian consumer confidence stays strong ahead of data today expected to show headline inflation fall to within the RBA’s target band. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman analyses the potential impact today’s infl...