Miro Benes

Earnings Unscripted: Stock Earnings Calls & Analysis

Earnings Unscripted delivers short-form earnings call analysis. Each episode breaks down corporate earnings calls, compares management commentary with financial results, and highlights key insights for investors seeking fast earnings analysis.

Bezoek zeker de website van de podcast en steun de maker: redcircle.com

Auteur

Miro Benes

Categorie

Business

Website van de podcast

redcircle.com

Nieuwste aflevering

3 nov. 2026

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Afleveringen

Daily Earnings: Firms Dodge Cloud AI Costs | AAPL, PLTR, RYAAY | Nov 2 03.11.2026

Runaway prices for memory chips and jet fuel are forcing consumer price hikes at Apple (AAPL) and Ryanair (RYAAY), while cloud compute bills push Apple and Palantir (PLTR) buyers toward small local AI models and metered usage caps. - Apple raised iPhone, iPad, and Mac prices while locking in $33B of extra memory commitments. - Ryanair cut passenger growth targets, rejected fuel-heavy Starlink Wi-F...

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Closing AI Deals from the Breakdown Lane [Q3 2026] 03.11.2026

In Q3 2026, Palantir Technologies Inc.’s U.S. commercial revenue officially surpassed its U.S. government business for the first time, yet remaining performance obligations stayed completely flat sequentially. In ~10 minutes: - U.S. commercial jumps 148% YoY to $984M, beating the Pentagon 📈 - Why 8-figure Sovereign AI deals bypassed RPO ($4.9B, flat QoQ) - L3Harris cutting AI model costs by 95% i...

Apple (AAPL): Bidding Wars for RAM and Metering Siri AI [Q4 2026] 03.11.2026

Apple delivered a record $114.5B Q4 2026 on foldable iPhones and touchscreen Macs, yet guided holiday gross margins down as memory inflation and Siri AI cloud bills collide. In ~10 minutes: - Why "unprecedented" RAM pricing forced a $33B jump in purchase commitments 💾 - How Siri AI deferrals cut upfront hardware revenue while hitting Services COGS - Plans to meter server-side Siri AI and...

Ryanair (RYAAY): Rejecting Starlink over €2B Fuel Hike [Q2 2027] 02.11.2026

Ryanair’s Q2 2027 net profit slipped 6% to €1.61B on rising oil costs and Mount Etna delays, yet management is actively using the €2B fuel bill hike coming next year to squeeze unions, airports, and weaker rivals. In ~10 minutes: - Why CEO Michael O'Leary rejected free Starlink Wi-Fi hardware over a 1.5% fuel drag ✈️ - Quietly drawing €400M on a credit line right after declaring the balance sh...

DoorDash (DASH): Swallowing Instacart to Win the Warehouse [Q3 2026] 01.11.2026

While Silicon Valley frets over AI chatbots, DoorDash used its Q3 2026 report to drop $17 billion on Instacart and double down on physical grocery warehouses. In ~10 minutes: - Why Instacart's shopper volume fixes DashMart's fixed-cost warehouse math 🛒 - Third-party AI agents generating just "several hundred orders" in total - How falling legal reserves and Q2 vesting spikes doubl...

ExxonMobil (XOM): When Refining Beats Drilling [Q3 2026] 30.10.2026

ExxonMobil’s Q3 2026 saw its refining division overtake Upstream oil production as global supply disruptions turned Gulf Coast refineries into a $9B profit engine. In ~10 minutes: - Energy Products adjusted profit more than doubled QoQ to $9.05B ⛽ - Why moving to Texas wiped $258B in treasury stock off the balance sheet - A $5B derivative timing swing masking operational cash flow - How Brussels...

Reddit (RDDT): Locking the Front Door on Google Search [Q3 2026] 30.10.2026

Reddit’s Q3 2026 revenue surged 53% to $895M, yet shares plunged 18% after-hours as Google’s AI search changes starved top-of-funnel traffic and prompted management to test international login walls. In ~10 minutes: - Google AI Overviews cut search referrals by >1M/week in October 📉 - Testing international login walls in Q4 to block data scrapers - Reversing a filing change to prove core logge...

Daily Earnings: AI Data Centers Starve Consumer PCs | AMZN, INTC, LLY, SNDK | Oct 29 30.10.2026

Today’s earnings showed the AI data center buildout physically cannibalizing consumer PCs and forcing tech giants into debt and dilution, while Eli Lilly used overseas price cuts to self-fund domestic factories. - Intel is converting Oregon PC chip lines into server lines as memory costs crush computer sales. - Amazon borrowed $48B in Q3 while pouring $64B into private AI labs backing its cloud ba...

Sandisk (SNDK): Rationing Silicon at 85% Gross Margins [Q1 2027] 30.10.2026

Sandisk posted $11B in Q1 2027 revenue and software-like 85% gross margins, yet the stock still dropped ~9% after hours when management reminded Wall Street about 120-day wafer physics and Q3 seasonality. In ~10 minutes: - Datacenter revenue surges 61% in 90 days, crowding out retail consumers 💾 - Why hyperscalers are testing SLC flash to replace DRAM at 20x-40x lower cost - The 3:1 to 4:1 bit ca...

Intel (INTC): Ripping Out 18A Tools to Feed the Server Boom [Q3 2026] 30.10.2026

Intel’s Q3 2026 results show an AI hardware boom splitting the company in two: server CPU revenue surged 78% YoY while the PC market froze up from high memory prices. In ~10 minutes: - Why Intel is ripping out 18A laptop tools in Oregon for Intel 3 servers 🛠️ - Raising $23B in equity ahead of a 2027 free cash flow "knothole" - How CHIPS Act escrowed shares created a $1B paper GAAP gain - S...

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN): Debt-Funded AI & $75.9B Quarterly CapEx [Q3 2026] 30.10.2026

Amazon delivered a record 13.9% operating margin in Q3 2026, yet the stock fell over 11% after hours as massive AI spending pushed trailing free cash flow $42.4B into the red. In ~10 minutes: - Plugging in a new AI accelerator every 14 seconds ($75.9B Q3 cash capex) ⚡ - Borrowing $48.1B in long-term debt while funding OpenAI and Anthropic - Why AWS plans to sell custom Trainium chips externally b...

Eli Lilly (LLY): Secret Biotech Deals & Bootleg Peptides [Q3 2026] 30.10.2026

Eli Lilly generated over $16B in Q3 2026 incretin sales, yet management says they are only reaching 10% of eligible U.S. patients and 2% abroad. In ~10 minutes: - Why $4.2B in acquired R&D knocked $4.57 off quarterly EPS 💊 - Medicare's Bridge Program: 80% new patients, 75% picking injections - Mounjaro crossing $1B in China after steep NRDL price cuts - A $2B one-time milestone and rebate...

Daily Earnings: Enterprises Curb AI Token Bills | GOOG, MSFT, NOW | Oct 28 29.10.2026

Today's earnings from Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and ServiceNow (NOW) revealed a sharp divide in the AI economy: hyperscalers are taking on over $1.6 trillion in combined off-balance-sheet compute commitments just as enterprise buyers rebel against wasteful "tokenmaxxing" and force software vendors to embed human engineers and hardware kill switches to manage rogue agents. - Mi...

ServiceNow (NOW): Bundling Free Humans Into Autonomous AI [Q3 2026] 29.10.2026

ServiceNow raised its full-year AI target to $1.7B+ in Q3 2026, yet shares dropped 20% after hours as bundling free human deployment engineers into AI deals carved basis points right off subscription revenue growth. In ~10 minutes: - Subscription revenue rose 21% YoY to nearly $4B 📈 - Bundled deployment engineers creating a 50 bps Q4 subscription drag - Automating 100 internal sales ops roles whi...

Microsoft (MSFT): Unmasking the $33.2B Azure Engine [Q1 2027] 29.10.2026

Microsoft blew up its legacy reporting structure in Q1 FY2027 to finally reveal standalone Azure revenue at $33.2B (+48% YoY), even as third-party GPU deliveries slipped into the back half of the year. In ~10 minutes: - How weekly fleet software optimizations beat cloud estimates despite delayed GPU racks. - OpenAI crossing the 10% customer threshold, driving 11% (~$10.2B) of total revenue. - Bill...

Alphabet (GOOG): Selling TPU Boxes while Burning $9B in Cash [Q3 2026] 29.10.2026

Alphabet just crossed a $1 trillion balance sheet in Q3 2026, yet burned $9.1 billion in quarterly free cash flow to feed its massive AI buildout. In ~10 minutes: - Why a SpaceX stock drop knocked $0.55 off Alphabet's diluted EPS 🚀 - How selling physical TPU boxes bloated inventory to $13.3B - Issuing $12.4B in ATM equity—more than double RSU tax needs - Search query growth at a 5-year high v...

Daily Earnings: Factory Bottlenecks Test Huge Backlogs | STX, BA, KO | Oct 27 28.10.2026

Today’s earnings showed that decade-long order backlogs and global brand power only convert into cash when companies engineer around physical factory bottlenecks, supply-chain stalls, and a stretched restaurant consumer. - Seagate (STX) pushed operating margins past 50% using lasers to pack more data onto fewer disks. - Boeing (BA) cleared FAA 737 testing but stalled on wing assembly, delaying $10...

Seagate (STX): Spinning Metal Platters at 50% Software Margins [Q1 2027] 28.10.2026

Seagate Technology (STX) just crossed a 50.7% non-GAAP operating margin in Q1 2027, proving that factory-heavy hard drive makers can post software-level profitability when cloud supply is sold out through 2028. In ~10 minutes: - Why cloud giants are locking in hard drive supply through 2030 ☁️ - Refusing to pass 10 platters: nanophotonic lasers vs. factory CapEx - Passing component inflation and M...

The Coca-Cola Company (KO): Hoarding Cash for a $20B IRS Ruling [Q3 2026] 27.10.2026

The Coca-Cola Company delivered a textbook Q3 2026 beat-and-raise with $13,380M in revenue—matching Q2 to the exact million—yet the stock faded as investors misread a temporary mix shift and overlooked a massive impending tax ruling. In ~10 minutes: - Why +1% price/mix hides 4 points of underlying pricing power. - Hoarding cash at 1.3x leverage ahead of a $20B IRS ruling. - Plasma-coated bottles i...

The Boeing Company (BA): Wing Shop Bottlenecks vs. Fighter Jet Wins [Q3 2026] 27.10.2026

Boeing’s Q3 2026 proved that locking up a monopoly on next-gen US fighter jets and hitting a record $745B backlog still can’t save the stock when internal wing-shop bottlenecks delay 737 delivery targets. ✈️ In ~10 minutes: - Why wing-shop "flow enablers" failed, pushing Rate 52 to late 2027. - Winning the Navy's F/A-XX fighter without toxic fixed-price contract terms. - How a $252M HR...

Cadence (CDNS): 25 Chips in a Robot Hand & an $8.2B Backlog [Q3 2026] 27.10.2026

Cadence Design Systems turned a supposed cyclical renewal trough in Q3 2026 into an all-time record $8.2B backlog, even as a quiet $42.2M restructuring charge weighed on GAAP margins. In ~10 minutes: - Why 25 chips inside a single humanoid robot hand matter 🤖 - How the new Maestro AI router cuts token costs 5x - Unpacking the $42.2M restructuring charge and Hexagon's zero-profit drag - Why a...

Verizon (VZ): Ditching Free Phones for Record Margins [Q3 2026] 27.10.2026

Verizon’s Q3 2026 proved a telecom carrier can stop giving away free phones and still add 406,000 subscribers, even as Wall Street sold the stock down 3.2% on broadband slowdowns and balance sheet fine print. In ~10 minutes: - Subsidy-free "Simplicity" plan cuts promo costs 41%, lifting EBITDA margin to 40.2% 📱 - Why management intentionally turned away 300-megabit home internet buyers -...

Daily Earnings: Physical AI Bills Tank Hardware | WDC, BE, SPOT, NEM | Oct 22 23.10.2026

Today’s earnings exposed a sharp split between physical AI infrastructure and software: power and storage suppliers locked in customer demand through 2031, but the physical cost of scaling factories and working capital triggered double-digit stock drops while software and automation froze headcount. - Western Digital (WDC) and Bloom Energy (BE) fell over 12% as cleanroom bottlenecks and unbilled m...

Spotify (SPOT): Selling Its Own AI Tools as OpEx Peaks [Q3 2026] 23.10.2026

Spotify Technology S.A. grew Q3 2026 R&D expenses by 35% YoY while shrinking headcount, declaring the official peak of its AI investment cycle as the stock surged over 10%. In ~10 minutes: - Why a 24% YoY drop in diluted EPS to €2.48 hid a strong €672M operating income beat. - How stock appreciation triggered €13M in unforecasted "Social Charges" payroll taxes. - Selling internal AI de...

Bloom Energy (BE): Unbilled AI Servers & $181M Cash Burn [Q3 2026] 23.10.2026

Bloom Energy generated more non-GAAP operating profit in Q3 2026 alone than in all of 2025 combined, yet the stock fell 15% as working capital burned $181M in free cash flow. In ~10 minutes: - Product sales top $1B at 38.4% non-GAAP gross margin ⚡ - Unbilled contract assets double QoQ to $793M, stalling cash collection - Why a $218M vendor advance spike followed a July short report - Zero amortiz...

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