The Joseph Carlson Show

I explain why I'm buying $5,000 of Netflix tomorrow.

00:00 Earnings Season Heats Up & AI Bubble Fears 01:26 Qualtrim Membership 02:24 SpaceX Earnings: Starlink, Space & AI 05:47 SpaceX vs. Amazon: The Valuation Problem 09:24 Netflix Earnings: A Buying Opportunity? 12:16 ASML: When Market Narratives Create Opportunity 14:33 Netflix's Engagement Concerns & Layoffs 18:17 Meta Earnings: Advertising Power & AI Spending 21:08 Tesla Ear...

The new earnings season has started where the majority of growth is coming from a few AI companies.

Michael Burry and Ray Dalio are both warning of an impending AI bubble. In this epiosde we look at their history and what actions investors should take with these type of warnings.

0:00 I Bought 3 Turnaround Stocks 1:31 Netflix — Buying More After the Selloff 6:37 Netflix’s Growth Is Being Misunderstood 10:35 The Netflix “Low-Quality Content” Criticism 17:53 Uber — Buying the 30%+ Drop 21:18 S&P Global — My Third Purchase 24:13 Nike — Why I’m Still Avoiding It 26:03 FICO — Great Business, Major Risk 27:42 Tom Lee Says Investors Are Too Pessimistic 29:12 Fail of the Week:...

0:00 Why Google & Meta Could Win AI 2:08 The AI Race: OpenAI vs. Anthropic 3:33 Meta Goes All-In on AI 5:08 Google's Comeback With Gemini 7:04 Gemini 4 Benchmarks 9:33 Google & Meta's Financial Advantage 12:16 Free AI, Pricing & Monetization 17:26 Trust, Distribution & OpenAI's Super-App Problem 23:05 Netflix Selloff & Ted Sarandos 25:52 FICO's Stock Collapse

I break down my $1.5 million stock portfolio, including what I’m doing with Google after it fell behind in the AI model race, Meta’s recent surge and new enterprise push, and updates on Amazon, Mastercard, ASML, S&P Global, Netflix, Uber, DoorDash, and more. I also look at the growing debate over AI and jobs, contrasting Jensen Huang’s optimistic view with Andrew Yang’s concerns about automati...

Meta stock is surging, Muse is taking off, and now Amazon is fighting back. In this episode, I break down Meta’s massive move higher, why sentiment around the company has shifted so quickly, and why Amazon’s decision to block Muse may be less about “security and privacy” and more about protecting its advertising business and its direct relationship with customers. We’ll look at what happens if AI...

AI agents are moving from simply answering questions to actually doing things for us — shopping, booking hotels, making reservations, comparing prices, managing transactions, and eventually negotiating with other machines on our behalf. That shift could have enormous consequences for some of the world’s biggest companies. In this episode, I look at the rise of agentic commerce and a simple framewo...

0:00 The AI Slowdown Battle 4:05 Why Meta Benefits Most 6:49 How Meta Wins Either Way 12:41 Meta’s New AI Assistant 15:41 Zuckerberg’s Track Record 20:43 Dario’s Real Incentives 29:21 The Problem With “Coordinated Pacing” 31:46 Fail of the Week: Hunter Biden’s Meme Coin

Jacob Coxon viral X post is causing an AI hysteria. We look through the timeline in this episode.

00:00 What's Happneing In The Stock Market 17:31 Microsoft to Reveal Cloud Growth 19:45 S&P Global To Sell Capital IQ 21:52 Google Avoids Breakup 23:00 Fail Of The Week: Teleprompter Operator

Why the biggest bear, Ed Zitron, belives AI is a con.

00:00 Meta Strategic Victory In Lawsuit 18:30 Microsoft Is Hiding From Investors 21:23 Netflix May Offer Peacock Through It's Service 26:15 Win Of The Week: SharkNinja's Innovation

00:00 Buy Prices For Every Stock 26:18 Uber Hit Piece 38:50 Fail Of The Week: Gene Munster

00:00 How To Have An Edge In Investing 15:02 Sharing My Investment Journey 19:15 Top Pick 1: Meta 23:50 Top Pick 2: Uber 25:50 Top Pick 3: S&P Global 27:30 Duolingo DAU Update 29:20 Fail Of The Week: Amazon Drone Delivery 30:45 New Carlson Family Member

00:00 Super Investor Portfolio Update 23:00 Meta Lawsuit Gets Worse

In this episode we review Bill Ackmans new buys.

00:00 Overview 01:24 IMAX 08:33 Reddit 11:39 MELI 13:20 Adobe 16:28 Nike 17:50 Rollins 19:40 Copart 23:04 Nebius 24:58 Cava 26:35 Fail Of The Week: Elisson vs California

00:00 Introduction 01:00 A History Of Picking Stocks 06:30 Uber 11:50 Meta 18:02 Netflix 20:15 Semianalysis Gemini Has Lost 23:48 Fail Of The Week: Keith Rabois

00:00 Intro 02:30 AWS Has Changed The Market 11:26 FICO Earnings 14:24 Uber & DoorDash 19:00 Duolingo 22:00 Texas Roadhouse 23:00 Tom Lee 2027 Prediction

Google, Microsoft, and Amazon have followed a pattern of their CAPEX having initial skepticism eventually followed by acceptance. This will happen with Meta as well. In each case there were 'reasons' that the stock deserved to be down. With Google it was that ChatGPT would disrupt search, Microsoft it was Claude would disrupt the software bundle and the backlog was too concentrated, Amazon...

00:00 Introduction 03:01 PayPal Stock 08:33 S&P Global Earnings 12:36 Visa and Mastercard 17:16 FICO and Robinhood 19:38 Meta and Microsoft Earnings 27:05 The Three Layers of AI 37:05 ASML and China’s Chip Machines 39:11 AI, Hiring, and the Future of Jobs 41:52 Fail Of The Week: Paramount’s Warner Bros. Merger Problem

00:00 Introduction 02:00 ASML Earnings Reaction 10:00 Netflix Earnings Tomorrow 11:50 JP Morgan & The Banks 12:20 Buffett Reveals He Bought Google Fail Of The Week: Kalshi & New York City

00:00 The Growth of Momentum Investing 19:00 How Buffett Comapres To Terry Smith 29:00 Starbucks Is Building Their Own Software 32:00 Fail Of The Week: AI Cheating In School