Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

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Szerző

Colton Thomas

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Business

A podcast weboldala

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Legutóbbi epizód

2026. okt. 27.

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Epizódok

SBSW Stock: BUY Call - All 4 Mines Dug Less And Sibanye Still Posted A Record H1 2026 02.09.2026

Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW) H1 2026 — SBSW went in at $11.85 and closed the reaction session at $11.66 (-1.6%) - a record half-year, and the tape shrugged. It is 44.8% below its January close of $21.12 and 45.8% above its July low of $8.00. Every one of Sibanye-Stillwater's four producing operations mined LESS metal in the six months to 30 June 2026 - SA PGM 4E -1.8%, SA gold -2.2%, US PGM 2E -2.3%,...

MDT Stock: Half of Medtronic’s 13.7% Growth Was an Extra Week | Q1 FY2027 01.09.2026

Medtronic plc (MDT) Q1 FY2027 — Shares closed $92.04, up 1.5%, after opening at $94.00 and giving most of the pop back. Fiscal 2027 is a 53-week year and the extra week landed in Q1. Medtronic's own footnote puts it at $570m - 49% of the entire organic revenue increase. Strip it out and organic growth is 7.0%, not 13.7%, which is below the bottom of the 7.25-7.75% full-year guide the company raise...

NCNO Stock: SELL Call - $176M Of Buybacks On $115M Of Cash Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026

nCino (NCNO) Q2 FY2027 — NCNO went into the print at $20.81, closed the reaction session at $21.51 (+3.4%) and $22.99 two sessions later - 10.5% up on the print, and 64% above its March low of $14.01. nCino grew revenue 8.2% to $161.0m and swung GAAP operating income to +$13.6m from -$9.3m. But in the same six months it spent $175.7m retiring its own stock against $114.8m of free cash flow - and t...

CMBT Stock: SELL Call - Record $364M Quarter, But The Net Debt Equals The Market Cap 31.08.2026

CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Q2 2026 — The stock rose 3.6% on the print and closed the week at $18.35, a twelve-month high. CMB.TECH earned $364.4m in the June quarter - $1.26 a share against $0.04 a year earlier - on revenue of $703.9m, up 81.5%. We tested the obvious objection (that the profit was really vessel sales) and rejected it: disposals were 35% of profit, not the whole of it. Our problem is the p...

HEI Stock: SELL Call - Two Tickers, One Company, 35% Apart Q3 FY2026 31.08.2026

HEICO Corporation (HEI) Q3 FY2026 — HEI went into the print at $351.05 and closed at $336.53 three sessions later, -4.1%, having set a 12-month closing high of $374.67 on August 14. The non-voting Class A (HEI.A) closed at $250.06, -2.7% over the same three sessions. HEICO reported record net sales of $1,413.1m (+23.1%), record operating income of $355.2m (+34.0%) and record net income attributabl...

BOX Stock: HOLD Call - Revenue Guide Up, EPS Guide Down Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026

Box Inc (BOX) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed the reaction session at $33.39, +1.2%, then ran to $34.98 by Friday - a 12-month closing high, and +63.7% off the April low of $21.37. Box raised full-year revenue guidance to $1.290bn and CUT full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.54 - below the $1.55 it started the year with. The entire cut is the share count, guided from 139m in May back up to 141m in Augu...

BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 31.08.2026

Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...

XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 31.08.2026

XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...

NTNX Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Up 8x On A Tax Entry, FY27 Guide Flat Q4 FY2026 31.08.2026

Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.9% ABOVE the prior close on the reaction session, reached +13.8% intraday, then closed 6.2% under their own session high at $69.84, +6.81% on the day - and one session later they sit at $69.16, +5.77% against the pre-print close. Nutanix reported GAAP diluted EPS of $5.17 for fiscal 2026 against $0.65 a year ago. Approximately $1,208M of that - $4.14 per...

NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 31.08.2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...

BILI Stock: HOLD Call - Server Book Tripled, Margin +10bp Q2 2026 30.08.2026

Bilibili (BILI) Q2 2026 — Shares rose +3.84% on the print to $16.77, on 3.0x the thirty session median volume - the 26th best session of the twelve months, not the first. One session later they sit at $16.60, +2.79% against the pre-print close, with 27% of the move handed back. The shares are -29% on the year and 54% under the January high. Bilibili reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB7.94B, +8% year o...

NVDA Stock: HOLD Call - Record Quarter, $105B Guarantee Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 6.3% ABOVE the prior close and closed 1.1% under their own session high at $227.98, +8.74% on the day - the best session of the twelve months on 2.6x the thirty session median volume. One session later they sit at $217.55, +3.76% against the pre-print close, with 57% of the move handed back. NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96.2B, +106% year on year, at...

KSS Stock: HOLD Call - The Beat And The Raise Were Both A Tariff Refund Q2 FY2026 30.08.2026

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q2 FY2026 — Shares gapped 5.8% lower at the open on the print, were marked 9.4% down intraday, then turned and closed +1.47% at $17.94 - and three sessions later they sit at $17.50, -1.02% against the pre-print close. Kohl's raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by $0.80 at BOTH ends of the range, restarted its buyback, and reported a 303 bp gross margin expansion. Ap...

MRVL Stock: The 59 Million Shares Marvell Gave Google - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

Marvell Technology (MRVL) Q2 FY2027 — Shares fell 10.3% to $216.62 the next session, gapping down 6.7% at the open and never trading back - the session high was still 5.2% below Thursday, and it closed within half a per cent of its own low. Revenue grew 36.5% to a record $2.739bn and the adjusted gross margin FELL, to 58.9% from 59.4%. Marvell guides it lower again next quarter. Twelve days after...

XPEV Stock: SELL Call - Half The Gross Profit Was Not From Cars Q2 2026 30.08.2026

XPeng (XPEV) Q2 2026 — Shares gapped 3.0% BELOW the prior close, never traded back to it, and closed 7.1% under their own session high at $11.15, -8.53% on the day - a twelve month closing low on 4.1x the thirty session median volume. Four sessions later they sit at $11.53, -5.41% against the pre-print close. XPeng reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2,910M, +8.0% year on year, at a gross margin of 20.7%...

NTNX Stock: HOLD Call - EPS Up 8x On A Tax Entry, FY27 Guide Flat Q4 FY2026 30.08.2026

Nutanix (NTNX) Q4 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.9% ABOVE the prior close on the reaction session, reached +13.8% intraday, then closed 6.2% under their own session high at $69.84, +6.81% on the day - and one session later they sit at $69.16, +5.77% against the pre-print close. Nutanix reported GAAP diluted EPS of $5.17 for fiscal 2026 against $0.65 a year ago. Approximately $1,208M of that - $4.14 per...

KSS Stock: HOLD Call - The Beat And The Raise Were Both A Tariff Refund Q2 FY2026 30.08.2026

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q2 FY2026 — Shares gapped 5.8% lower at the open on the print, were marked 9.4% down intraday, then turned and closed +1.47% at $17.94 - and three sessions later they sit at $17.50, -1.02% against the pre-print close. Kohl's raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance by $0.80 at BOTH ends of the range, restarted its buyback, and reported a 303 bp gross margin expansion. Ap...

HPQ Stock: HOLD Call - $1.8B More Revenue, $4M Less Profit Q3 FY2026 30.08.2026

HP Inc. (HPQ) Q3 FY2026 — Shares gapped 8.7% lower on the reaction session and were marked 12.4% down intraday, then closed -2.9% at $29.63 - and the next session took all of it back to $30.52, which is exactly where they closed before the release. HP added $1,836M of revenue to Personal Systems, up 18.5%, and the division earned $4M LESS than a year ago - an incremental margin of -0.22%. HP files...

HRL Stock: HOLD Call - Dividend Now Tops Its Own EPS Guide Q3 FY2026 30.08.2026

Hormel Foods (HRL) Q3 FY2026 — Shares fell 10.2% to $21.28 on the print - the worst session of the whole twelve-month tape - gapping 3.0% lower and then losing another 7.5% through the day, before taking back 1.4% on Friday to close at $21.57. Hormel cut its reported EPS guidance to $1.06-$1.12 while raising the adjusted range to $1.45-$1.51. The cut put the $1.17 annual dividend above the top of...

CRM Stock: HOLD Call - $2.7B of the Profit Was a Private Markup Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

Salesforce (CRM) Q2 FY2027 — Shares rose 22.6% to $252.05 the next session - the best day of the whole twelve-month tape - opening 11.9% higher on an opening print that was also the session low, then added another 1.6% on Friday to close at $256.00. Reported earnings per share grew 119% and GAAP operating profit grew nothing: $2,331M against $2,332M a year earlier, on revenue up 10.8%. The differe...

MRVL Stock: The 59 Million Shares Marvell Gave Google - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

Marvell Technology (MRVL) Q2 FY2027 — Shares fell 10.3% to $216.62 the next session, gapping down 6.7% at the open and never trading back - the session high was still 5.2% below Thursday, and it closed within half a per cent of its own low. Revenue grew 36.5% to a record $2.739bn and the adjusted gross margin FELL, to 58.9% from 59.4%. Marvell guides it lower again next quarter. Twelve days after...

SNPS Stock: The 19% Segment That Turned - Q3 FY2026 Earnings 30.08.2026

Synopsys (SNPS) Q3 FY2026 — Shares rose 13.4% to $464.89 the next session, the best day of the year, then handed 41% of it back to close at $442.61. Design IP - 19% of revenue, and the segment the 10-Q names as the one China export controls hurt - went -6.5%, -5.8%, then +10.8% year on year, with its margin off a 16.3% trough to 26.5%. THE CALL: BEARISH (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$373 vs ~...

CRWD Stock: CrowdStrike Q2 FY2027 Earnings - A Flawless Quarter At 37x Revenue 30.08.2026

CrowdStrike (CRWD) Q2 FY2027 — Shares jumped 20.5% to $227.96 the next session - their best day of the year - then eased to $218.40. Revenue grew 26%, calculated billings 29%, the contracted book 49%. Every test of earnings quality came back clean, and the shares still trade at 37x this year's guided revenue. THE CALL: AVOID (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$107 vs ~$218 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...

WDAY Stock: Workday’s AI Sells, But The Order Book Grew 8% - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

Workday (WDAY) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped down, reversed, and closed up 5.8% at $204.72 the next session. AI drove more than 25% of new ACV. Total subscription backlog grew 8.0%, slower than the 13.9% subscription revenue it feeds. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$191 vs ~$205 today. KEY METRICS: - Revenue $2,649M, +12.8% YoY; subscription revenue $2,471M, +13.9% - Total subscript...

OKTA Stock: Operating Profit Doubled, Margin Didn’t Move - Q2 FY2027 30.08.2026

Okta (OKTA) Q2 FY2027 — Shares jumped 28.6% to $172.91 the next session, then eased to $166.23. Reported operating income more than doubled to $107M - but 64% of that gain is stock compensation and purchase amortisation shrinking, and the adjusted operating margin did not move. THE CALL: AVOID (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$135 vs ~$166 today. KEY METRICS: - Revenue $805M, +10.6% YoY; subscri...

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