Colton Thomas

Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia

Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.

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Colton Thomas

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Business

A podcast weboldala

chargedalpha.podbean.com

Legutóbbi epizód

2026. okt. 27.

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Epizódok

IOT Stock: Samsara’s Best Profit Quarter Came With a Growth Warning (Q2 FY2027) 04.09.2026

Samsara (IOT) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed up 5.3% to $38.75 the session the print landed. Samsara posted its best quarter of profitability in company history — non-GAAP operating margin jumped from 15% to 21% and GAAP operating income turned positive — then guided Q3 revenue growth down to 24%, six points below the 30% it just reported. THE CALL: BEARISH (2/5, LOW-MODERATE) — base-case value ~$17.90...

SNOW Stock: Every Forecast Went Up Except The One That’s Cash Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026

Snowflake, Inc. (SNOW) Q2 FY2027 — Shares rose 16.6% to $356.47, a new 12-month high, after Snowflake beat on revenue and raised its FY2027 product-revenue and operating-margin guidance for a second consecutive quarter, while leaving the adjusted free-cash-flow-margin guide unchanged at 23.0% for the third straight update. Snowflake has now guided its fiscal 2027 adjusted free cash flow margin at...

AGX Stock: The Billion-Dollar Cash Pile That Is Only Half Real | Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026

Argan, Inc. (AGX) Q2 FY2027 — It is +0.33% since the print - essentially flat - after already being cut roughly in half from its June high. Argan just posted a record quarter and a headline cash balance of $1,028.4M, or $73.30 a share - but $627.0M of that is customer prepayments. Net of those, real liquidity is only $440.4M, or $31.39 a share. Meanwhile the order book has fallen three quarters ru...

CPB Stock: A Billion In Cash Flow, Debt Went Up Anyway Q4 FY2026 04.09.2026

The Campbell's Company (CPB) Q4 FY2026 — Shares fell 6.9% to $22.13 on roughly seven times average volume after Campbell's cut its quarterly dividend 36% and guided fiscal 2027 below where the leverage ratio actually improves. Campbell's generated $1,039 million of operating cash flow in fiscal 2026 and ended the year owing $280 million more in gross borrowings than when it started. This morning i...

FIVE Stock: $3.99 EPS, But Only $1.68 Is Real | Five Below Q2 FY2026 04.09.2026

Five Below (FIVE) Q2 FY2026 — It has gone nowhere since the print, having already run 90% off its October low. Five Below reported diluted EPS of $3.99 - and $2.33 of that was a one-time IEEPA tariff refund booked inside cost of goods sold, which is why COGS FELL 5.2% while net sales rose 22.9%. Strip it out and adjusted EPS was $1.68, still up 107% and still 20% ahead of the Street, on comparable...

WOOF Stock: Petco Q2 FY2026 Earnings - Profit Tripled, Two Thirds From Tax 04.09.2026

Petco (WOOF) Q2 FY2026 — It gapped more than 20% higher on the print and handed the whole move back within the session. Petco reported second-quarter net income of $38.7M against $14.0M a year ago - but $16.5M of that $24.7M increase is the income tax line, which swung from a $0.7M charge to a $15.7M credit. Strip the $6.8M IEEPA tariff refund the company quantifies and operating income actually f...

CHPT Stock: The Interest Bill That Vanished | ChargePoint Q2 FY2027 04.09.2026

ChargePoint (CHPT) Q2 FY2027 — It is up 74% since the print, on the heaviest volume of the year by a distance. ChargePoint carries $236.9M of debt and booked $279 thousand of interest expense for the quarter. That is not an error: November's exchange of $328.6M of convertible notes was accounted for as a troubled debt restructuring, which capitalised the whole future coupon into the balance sheet...

AVGO Stock: The Beat Was Sold Again - Gross Margin Is Why | Broadcom Q3 FY2026 03.09.2026

Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 FY2026 — It is down 5.1% since the print - the second quarter running that a beat has been sold. Broadcom beat on revenue and on earnings, and guided Q4 revenue ABOVE consensus - and the stock still fell. The answer is four lines below the headline: adjusted gross margin went from 78.35% to 74.99%, and the Q4 guide implies about 72.03%. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case...

NTSK Stock: Every Guide Rose Except The One Measured In Cash Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026

Netskope (NTSK) Q2 FY2027 — It opened 12.8% higher, gave the whole gap back, and sits about 3% above the pre-print close. Netskope beat every line it guided to in June and raised the full year - and quietly cut its full-year free cash flow margin guide from "2% to 4%" to "approximately 2%". The first half burned $87.0M. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$15.01 vs ~$14.16 today. KEY...

ADUR Stock: Aduro’s Only Plant Runs at 10 Kilograms an Hour (FY2026 Annual Results) 03.09.2026

Aduro Clean Technologies (ADUR) FY2026 — The shares fell 3.5% the next session, from $13.82 to $13.34. Aduro booked C$167,206 of revenue for the entire fiscal year - thousand, not million - down 27.7%, and nil in the fourth quarter. Interest on its own cash earned C$705,097, more than four times what customers paid. The reported C$26.85m loss is 63.5% non-cash, and the largest piece is a warrant m...

DAKT Stock: Daktronics Booked $192M and Shipped $235M (Q1 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026

Daktronics (DAKT) Q1 FY2027 — The stock opened $21.50 and touched $21.82, then closed at $19.13 - down 1.2% from the $19.36 prior close - on 2.86 million shares against a roughly 470 thousand average. Daktronics posted its highest diluted EPS in twelve quarters, 40 cents against 33, on sales up 7.1% and a 10.6% operating margin. It also booked $191.8m of new orders against $234.6m of sales - a boo...

CXM Stock: Sprinklr Sold More Software and Made Less Gross Profit (Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Sprinklr (CXM) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 8.6% the same session, from $7.60 to $6.95, on 8.2 million shares against a 3.6 million average. Sprinklr grew subscription revenue 3.4% and the cost of delivering that subscription grew 17.8%, so subscription gross profit went BACKWARDS year on year. Operating expense moved 0.27%. The gross line explains 86% of a $6.3m fall in operating income, and 75% of...

BF.B Stock: Profit Grew 4%, But the Guide Says the Year Shrinks (Brown-Forman Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Brown-Forman (BFB) Q1 FY2027 — The stock rose 3.9% the same session, from $26.36 to $27.38, on 4.0 million shares against a 2.9 million average. Brown-Forman grew organic operating income 4% and reaffirmed its full-year outlook - an outlook that calls for organic operating income to FALL 3% to 5%. Q1 is about a quarter of the year's profit, so the remaining nine months have to fall roughly 5% to 8...

DELL Stock: Revenue +58%, But Free Cash Flow Fell 47% (Dell Q2 FY2027 Earnings) 03.09.2026

Dell Technologies (DELL) Q2 FY2027 — The stock rose 15.8% the next session, from $425.00 to $492.20, on 6.2x normal volume. Dell grew revenue 58% to $46.97bn, trebled non-GAAP EPS to $7.04 against a $4.91 Street bar, expanded every margin it reports, and added $25bn to its own full-year guide. Free cash flow still fell 47%, to $986m. The record $8,149m of 'adjusted free cash flow' in the headline...

FuelCell Stock: Backlog Tripled, Margin Collapsed - We Say AVOID (FCEL Q3 FY2026) 03.09.2026

FuelCell Energy (FCEL) Q3 FY2026 — The stock fell 15.7% on the print, from $17.08 to $14.40, on 1.9x average volume. FuelCell Energy tripled its order book to $3.65bn and signed its first data-centre power agreement - and the stock lost about a sixth of its value in a single session. The reason is four lines into the cost statement: product revenue of $18.0m against product cost of revenues of $37...

PANW Stock: Revenue +34%, But Its Own Filing Says 16% - We Say SELL (Q4 FY2026) 03.09.2026

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Q4 FY2026 — The stock fell 9.3% the next session, from $362.09 to $328.48. Palo Alto beat every line of its own guidance, grew revenue 34.5% to $3.41bn, and guided fiscal 2027 above consensus on both revenue and earnings - and the shares still fell 9.3%. The reason sits in a table the company published three months earlier: on a pro forma basis, as though it had always ow...

Credo Stock: It Bought $1.25bn Mid-Quarter, Won’t Say What It Earns (CRDO Q1 FY2027) 03.09.2026

Credo Technology (CRDO) Q1 FY2027 — The stock fell 20.0% the next session, from $206.63 to $165.22. Revenue rose 9.6% sequentially and adjusted earnings beat. But the $1,251m DustPhotonics acquisition closed on 28 May, inside this quarter, and neither the release nor the Form 10-Q filed the next day discloses one dollar of the acquired revenue - Credo judged the acquisitions immaterial to its resu...

GTLB Stock: Shares Rose 10%, Gross Margin Fell A Sixth Time - GitLab Q2 FY2027 03.09.2026

GitLab (GTLB) Q2 FY2027 — Shares closed at $49.59 on September 2, up 9.98% on the print - but they opened at $55.20 and handed back more than half the move before the close, on 28.9M shares against a 5.4M daily norm. GitLab's revenue rose 21.3% to $286.3M and beat its own guide by $13.3M. Gross profit grew only 16.0%. Gross margin fell to 84.1% from 87.9% - the SIXTH consecutive quarterly decline,...

MongoDB Stock: Backlog +91%, But 70% Was Never Invoiced - We Say SELL (MDB Q2 FY2027) 03.09.2026

MongoDB (MDB) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 13.5% the next session, from $434.21 to $375.40. The contracted backlog nearly doubled to $1.52bn and the tape read that as visibility. The 10-Q says 70.5% of it has never been invoiced to anybody and converts at the customers' own discretion - and only 18% of first-half revenue was sitting on the balance sheet when the half began. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODE...

HealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027) 02.09.2026

HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39. Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today. KEY METRICS: - Re...

SAIC Stock: Pretax Profit Up 10%, Net Income Down 20% Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026

Science Applications International (SAIC) Q2 FY2027 — Shares gapped 11.5% on results day and touched a 52-week high of $142.66, then handed the whole move back to close at $128.22, up just 1.79% on 4.6x volume; one session later they sit at $126.78. SAIC's income before income taxes ROSE 10.2% to $119M. Its net income FELL 19.7% to $102M. The entire $36M gap is one line: the base quarter carried a...

Sasol Stock (SSL): HOLD Call - Best Year In Five, Written Down Again FY2026 02.09.2026

Sasol Limited (SSL) FY2026 — SSL closed at $12.45, +3.6% against the $12.02 prior close, on 1.99m shares - about 2.4x the prior session. The ADR has risen 79% in twelve months and is still 12.9% below the $14.29 it reached on 5 May. Secunda - the coal-to-liquids complex behind almost all of Sasol's profit - had its highest annual output in five years and beat guidance. Sasol wrote it down anyway:...

YEXT Stock: HOLD - The Beat Came From The Buyback Q2 FY2027 02.09.2026

Yext (YEXT) Q2 FY2027 — YEXT closed the reaction session at $6.53, -3.5% on 2.90m shares, 2.2x the prior session - a beat, sold. Adjusted diluted EPS went $0.12 to $0.21 against a $0.17 bar. Decomposed, 4.4 cents of the 8.1-cent rise is the smaller share count and only 3.8 cents is higher profit - so 54% of the growth came from the denominator, and the share-count effect is larger than the 4.0-cen...

MiniMed Stock (MMED): HOLD Call - $319M Owed On The Growth Q1 FY2027 02.09.2026

MiniMed Group (MMED) Q1 FY2027 — MMED closed the reaction session at $22.42, +10.7% - the highest close it has ever had, on 6.07m shares, 5.1x the twenty-day median and 21.7% of the entire public float. MiniMed Flex - the insulin pump behind a U.S. growth acceleration to 13.1% and a +10.7% session - was developed on $324m of funding from Blackstone Life Sciences. For the first two years after U.S....

NIO Stock: SELL Call - 24,193 More Cars And A Bigger Loss Q2 2026 02.09.2026

NIO Inc (NIO) Q2 2026 — NIO closed the reaction session at $4.06, -4.0% - the lowest close in twelve months, on 81m shares. It is 49.4% below its $7.89 high of 2 October 2025. NIO delivered 24,193 more vehicles in the June quarter than in the March quarter - a 29.0% jump, and 49.4% more than a year ago. Those extra cars brought RMB1,047m of incremental gross profit and cost RMB1,086m of incrementa...

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