The Weekly Trend

In this week’s episode, David and Ian cover the dramatic sell-off we saw to end the week in stocks, the differences between the March and June rallies, and what areas showed relative strength/weakness over the last few weeks. David gives his thoughts on the fixed income space. Ian shares some insight into breadth and the surprising weakness from Europe.

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the falling US Dollar and whether it could be a tailwind for stocks here domestically and around the world.  They also dive into the potential for a countertrend rally, what role politics plays in portfolio management, and the lack of movement from cryptos. Dave covers the data behind the most recent downtrend. Ian gives his thoughts on social media&apo...

In this week’s episode, David and Dan dissect many of the market nuances we have seen over the past couple weeks, as well as further implications for the broad market if we do not see stabilization soon. 20% drop in the S&P 500 and does it matter? Mega cap stocks continue to slide and some larger retail names like Walmart, Costco, and Target join in on the downside. Is the healthcare sector ne...

In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the wild intraday swings we have seen over the last week, the VIX, failures amongst defensive areas, and the fallout in crypto. Will be see a bounce in the coming days/weeks? David covers the differences between cyclical and secular bear markets, as well as Dow Theory. Ian gives his insights on where we stand in regards to long-term trends.

In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the recent daily swings within the market and how Energy and Commodities continue to be the only areas holding up. They also discuss the US Dollar, market breadth readings, sentiment, what makes bear market tops so difficult, and the long upper shadows on weekly charts. 

In this week's episode, David, Ian and Dan review some of the broader topics from their presentation to clients this week, the persistent relative strength from defensives, and the negative breadth thrusts we saw to end the week. Dan covers key inflection points for Commodities. Ian gives his thoughts on the weakness from leaders like Metals and Energy. David gives insight into the island con...

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss how commodities and energy stocks are turning up again after some consolidation. They also discuss metals and mining, consumer staples, if there is a forced liquidation in bonds, and if we are entering a "bond pickers market"?

In this week's episode, Dave, Pratty, and Kevin discuss the continued strength in energy, mining, and materials, as well as the continued weakness in growth sectors like software.  They also discuss the emergence of "safety trade" areas like food and beverage, discount and large retailers, and other consumer staples. The relationship between commodities and the dollar was also discu...

On this week's episode, Ian and Dan discuss the wild month of March and a rollercoaster Q1 in general. While breadth has improved, lack of strength from areas like Semiconductors and Banks are somewhat concerning. Bitcoin is holding above 43,000. Dan gives his thoughts on the strong performance we saw from Commodities over the last few months, and Ian dives into Utilities. We also saw lots of...

In this week's episode, Pratty joins Dave and they discuss SPX vs TLT, the concept of relative strength during a correction, taking long and short positions in this market, mega cap growth vs small cap growth (MGK/IWO), semiconductors (NVDA/AMD), and software (PSJ/SPX).

In this week's episode, the team covers the continued breakdown in treasuries, along with a potential breakdown between Junk Bond and Short Term Treasuries (JNK/IEF). They also discussed recent Counter trend moves, bounces, and  breadth expansion. Along with growth versus value, institutional cash levels, retail stock allocation levels, and if we just witnessed capitulation. 

In this week's episode, the team covers the lackluster performance that continues to be seen from stocks, comparisons to 2000 for Tech, and the massive China headwind for EM indices. Dave gives some thoughts on compression around major levels on indices, Dan dives in on the Dollar, and Ian answers the question: Does the current VIX environment resemble anything from history?

In this week’s episode, Dave, Ian, and Dan discuss important levels on the major indices that continue to show resistance, the continued sure in Commodities and metals, and whether or not investor surveys are a true indicator of sentiment. Ian gives his thoughts on the Copper/Gold ratio. Dan shares some insight on the Industrials space. And David helps shine some light on monthly candles from Febr...

In this week’s episode, Dave, Ian, and Dan discuss the large volatility we saw on Wednesday and Thursday, a look at the “Death Cross”, and an update on what seasonality says may be in store. Ian covers the areas that did not make new lows. Dan gives his thoughts on foreign stocks. And Dave dives into Weekly candles.

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss how the COVID leaders are the laggards, the methodical nature of selling, liquidity, commodities and industrials, and some of the more interesting weekly candles, like EEM and TLT.

In this week’s episode, Dave and Ian discuss fundamental data versus price data, inflation "protection" gold and silver, how not all bonds are the same, seasonality, current areas that have shown strength, and whether the weaker areas of the past twelve months are bottoming or just consolidating. 

In this week’s episode, Dave and Ian cover the continued volatility we have seen in both equity and fixed income markets. Earnings season is upon us and there have been some wild moves in both directions as the market continues to send mixed signals. Pratty discusses the Google split and what it may or may not mean for the stock going forward.  

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian (along with special guest Dan Gorghuber) discuss the continued rocky start to the year that we have seen in stocks and many other asset classes. Energy stocks continue to hold up well, along with Commodities, Crude, and Natural Gas. Ian discusses the strength in the US Dollar and the correlating weakness with mining stocks. Dan talks about interest rates a...

 In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss important levels being broken in stocks, bonds, commodities, and crypto. They also discuss the most recent Lunch and Learn presentation and how it was the most bearish they have ever been while presenting. They touch on the fact that price is greater than surveys and they review the big boys MSFT, AAPL, and AMZN. 

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss the weakness in Mega and Large Cap Growth names, the Santa Claus rally, and other early-year seasonality barometers. Banks and Energy are off to a strong start in 2022, but are they enough to carry the market? Bonds and cryptos look weak across the board. And major levels in the indices. 

In this week's episode. David and Ian discuss the recent buying in stocks, failed breakdowns, and what it would take to consider the market "fixed". We hope you have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss the wild volatility we saw this week, underperformance in Large Cap Growth stocks, and the continued strength from Defensive areas of the market. They also discuss Ari Wald’s posed question: “What is a stock picker’s market?” 

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the unfortunate look of November monthly candles, the failed breakout in the Russell 2000, and the overall bearish weight of evidence that has come over the market in the last couple of weeks.

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the confirming strength in Large Cap Growth stocks, the strong US Dollar, and the "million dollar" question: Will the retest hold for the Russell 2000? Also, Crude is revisiting an important level. Where can we look outside of Tech? All these topics and more on this week's episode!