The ELEVEN: US Markets

THE ELEVEN: US Markets EPISODE 23  | THE 7,800 BREAKOUT - Big Banks Roar & The AI Agent Race! Week 41 | October 5 – October 11, 2026 🔑 Key Themes & Analysis - Week 41 • The 7,800 All-Time High Paradox:  The S&P 500 crossed 7,800 and the Nasdaq eclipsed 27,000 as blowout bank earnings (JPMorgan, Wells Fargo) confirmed corporate earnings strength. Yet Jamie Dimon's explicit warnings...

THE ELEVEN : US MARKETS THE POWER BOTTLENECK - Nuclear AI, Autumn Frontlines & The Jobs Calm EPISODE 22 | Week 40 | September 28 – October 4, 2026  Key Themes & Analysis - Week 40 • The Labor Market Calmer:  September Nonfarm Payrolls (+142,000, 4.2% unemployment) provided the ideal 'Goldilocks' moderation. It relieved Wall Street of immediate recession fears while curbing the FOMC...

THE ELEVEN : US MARKETS DIPLOMACY UNDER FIRE - The UNGA Reset & The Arctic Frontier! Episode 21 | Week 39 | September 21 – September 27, 2026  Key Themes & Analysis - Week 39 The Core PCE Sigh of Relief:  Friday's 3.2% Core PCE print prevented the 4-vote Fed hawk dissent from turning into an immediate consensus for a November rate hike. Treasury yields pulled back (2Y below 5%), giving...

The ELEVEN: US Markets Fed's Decisive Move!! Episode 20 | Week 38 | September 14 – 20, 2026  Key Themes & Analysis — Week 38 1. The Hawkish Pause & The 4-Vote Fracture:  The Federal Reserve's September 16 decision held rates at 3.50%–3.75%, but the explosive 8-4 split, with Hammack, Kashkari, Logan, and Musalem dissenting for an immediate hike, signals that the committee is deeply...

The ELEVEN: US Markets COIN-FLIP FED - Wall Street Holds Its Breath.. Episode 19 | Week 37 | September 7 – 13, 2026  Key Themes & Analysis — Week 37 The Coin-Flip Fed: A hot August jobs report (+162,000, unemployment steady at 4.1%) has pushed prediction markets to price a near-even chance of a rate hike at this week's FOMC meeting, a sharp shift from a year ago, and the first real test of...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets Episode 18 | Week 36 | August 31 – September 5, 2026 SIX MONTHS IN..Wall Street Shrugs!! Key Themes & Analysis - Week 36 War Fatigue vs. Fed Fear : Six months into the Iran conflict, markets have grown desensitized to tanker strikes and geopolitical headlines, while the Federal Reserve's rate path has become the dominant source of anxiety. The Jackson Hole Pivot: Cha...

THE ELEVEN - US Markets : The HAWK at Jackson Hole! Episode 17 | Week 35 | August 24 - 30, 2026 Key Themes & Analysis - Week 35 The Warsh Pivot: New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole address flipped market expectations from possible cuts to real hike risk in under a week; a sharp signal that the inflation fight isn't over. AI Demand vs. AI Anxiety: Nvidia's blowout quarter...

The ELEVEN: US Markets - Oil, AI & the Cost of Waiting! Episode 16 | Week 34 | August 17th to 23rd, 2026 Key Themes & Analysis — Week 34 The Iran Variable, Reloaded:  Six months in, the US-Iran conflict has shifted from a shooting war over the Strait to an economic one. Trump's "Economic D-Day" sanctions campaign is the most aggressive escalation yet, and the UAE's decisi...

THE ELEVEN: US MARKETS Episode 15: RECORD HIGH, RUNNING ON EMPTY, Week 33 Key Themes & Analysis — Week 33 The Wall Street / Main Street Divide:  The S&P 500 hit a fresh all-time high this week even as July retail sales posted their worst drop in over a year and consumer sentiment cratered to its lowest reading since June. Record index levels and a nervous household sector are now the defin...

THE ELEVEN: US MARKET BAD NEWS RALLY - Wall Street's Favorite Paradox Episode 14: Week 32: August 3 - 9, 2026 Key Themes & Analysis — Week 32 ●      The Paradox Rally: A shockingly weak jobs report pushed the S&P 500 to a record close, as traders bet a struggling labor market keeps the Fed on hold. Good news for portfolios, more complicated for the real economy. ●      AI Earnings Dive...

The Eleven: US Markets SPLIT DECISION - Wall Street Picks Its AI Winners! Episode 13, Week 31, July 25 - August 02, 2026 The Ceasefire Whiplash:  A signed US-Iran memorandum, a lifted naval blockade, and a brief Hormuz reopening were followed within days by a fresh Iranian closure over continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The pattern from Episode 11, hope outrunning verification, has repeated alm...

Episode 12: The Strait that won't stay Open!: WEEK 25 | June 15–21, 2026 Key Themes & Analysis : Week 25 The Ceasefire Whiplash: A signed US-Iran memorandum, a lifted naval blockade, and a brief Hormuz reopening were followed within days by a fresh Iranian closure over continuedIsraeli strikes in Lebanon. The pattern from Episode 11; hope outrunning verification, has repeated almost exactl...

EPISODE 11 - MOONSHOTS, OIL DROPS & THE CEASEFIRE CLOCK!! WEEK 24 | June 8-14, 2026 Key Takeaways - US stocks rebounded after last week's chip-led selloff. Friday closes: S&P 500 7,431; Dow 51,202; Nasdaq 25,889. SpaceX's historic IPO raised about $75 billion and closed roughly 19 percent above its offer price, showing risk appetite is still alive. May CPI hit 4.2 percent year over...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets, Episode 10 - June 2 to June 6, 2026 🔑 Key Themes & Analysis The AI Repricing: Broadcom beat earnings but held guidance flat, and the market took a trillion dollars off chips in two days. The AI trade isn’t over, but the ‘buy everything with silicon’ era is. Quality AI revenue generators will be rewarded. Narrative-driven names will be punished. Jobs Beat = Rate Hike Ri...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets - Episode 9 | Week 22 | 26-30 May2026 | 'DEAL OR NO DEAL'  The S&P 500 extended its winning streak to nine consecutive weeks, closing May at a record 7,580 while the Dow Jones crossed 51,000 for the first time. The Nasdaq surged 8% in May alone, driven by one of the most consequential AI earnings weeks of 2026.  This episode covers: Dell Technologies' record...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets | Episode 8 : "DEAL OR NO DEAL - The Market Holds Its Breath"  Key Themes - THE DEAL THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING: Trump announced Saturday that a US-Iran peace deal is 'largely negotiated.' If signed and if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, oil prices fall, inflation pressure eases, the Fed gets breathing room, and equities could rally hard. But key sticking points...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets: Week 20, May 12-17, 2026 The Warsh Factor : A new Fed chair inheriting 3.8% inflationand an energy shock. Hawkish by instinct but open to cuts if inflation falls. With CPI this hot, that flexibility is theoretical. Watch his first public comments closely. AI Boom vs. Energy Shock : The Cerebras IPO illustrates thebifurcation , AI infrastructure is real and growing fast. But...

Episode 6 | Week 19 | May 4 – May 8, 2026  The Teflon Market: Six straight weekly gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, the longest streak since 2024, driven entirely by strong corporate earnings. The market is choosing profits over geopolitics, at least for now. The Iran Halfway Point: Operation Epic Fury is officially concluded, a deal framework is emerging : 12-15 yearnuclear enrichment morator...

Episode 5 | Week 18 | April 28 – May 2, 2026  This week Wall Street hit record highs: S&P 500 and Nasdaq both at all-time closes, even as oil spiked toward multi-year records and the Strait of Hormuz remained 90% shut. The Engine : a blowout Magnificent Seven earnings week. Meta revenue +33%, Apple posted its best March quarter ever and a $100 billion buyback, AWS grew 28%, Alphabet's Sear...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets | Ep. 4| "ALL-TIME HIGH, ALL-TIME ANXIETY" Week 17| April 21–25, 2026 Records on Wall Street. Dread on Main Street. This week the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hit all-time highs — and yet consumer confidence just hit its lowest level in history. Johan and Tyla break down the paradox, the earnings fireworks, and the most consequential data week of 2026 that starts ri...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets | Ep. 3| "OPEN FOR BUSINESS — The Week Wall Street Rewrote Its Record Book" Week 16| April 14–18, 2026 One of the most dramatic and consequential weeks of the year. The S&P 500 surged 4.5% to close above 7,100 for the first time in history, the Nasdaq posted an 11-day winning streak unseen since 1992, and the Dow recouped all its Iran war losses in a single wee...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets | Ep. 2 | "The Deal That Wasn't" Week 15 | April 7–11, 2026 The market got its ceasefire, then got blindsided. This week on THE ELEVEN, Johan Durden and Tyla Didirikson breakdown one of the most volatile weeks of 2026: the Dow's best single session in a year, WTI oil's biggest daily crash since 2020, and a March CPI print hitting a two-year high of 3.3%. Then, Sunday night,...

THE ELEVEN: US Markets | Ep. 1 — "First Blood: The Bull Blinks Back" Week 14 | March 30 – April 4, 2026 The bulls finally showed up — but is it a recovery or just a bounce? In our debut episode, Johan Durden and Tyla Didrikson break down the week Wall Street snapped a six-week losing streak, with the S&P 500 posting its best weekly gain in four months. But don't pop the champagne...