Trend Line

With the federal election around the corner, pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle give you everything you need to know before you speak with your friends, relatives and neighbours this weekend. Nik and Michael talk about the important difference between the popular vote and seat distribution, key battlegrounds to watch and the vulnerabilities faced by frontrunners Mark Carney and Pierre Poi...

With just under four weeks left in the federal election campaign, Nanos Research ballot numbers have the Liberals leading in every region except the Prairies, where the Conservatives continue to dominate. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle get into what regions are driving the Liberal surge -- at the expense of not just the Conservatives, but the NDP and the Greens. They also discuss what...

The campaign hasn't even started but the gloves are off with Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney hurling attack ads at each other, with the ballot question being who can best protect Canada against Donald Trump. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle look at the ballot numbers which have become so close it's a "toss up"; and they take a deeper look into the regions which show Liberals making som...

New Nanos numbers show the federal Liberals enjoying a rebound in popular support at the expense of the Conservatives and NDP, amid simmering tensions with the U.S. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also discuss how concern over Trump has jumped to the top issue of national concern, and what this reversal of fortunes between the Liberals and Conservatives says about the leadership of Pie...

The federal Conservatives have enjoyed a double-digit lead for around a year, but the latest ballot tracking from Nanos Research shows people have been shifting their support to the Liberals after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he's stepping down. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle look at how Trudeau's resignation, the Liberal leadership race and U.S. President Donald Trump push...

A majority of Canadians think their country's reputation on the international stage has tanked, and in fact the numbers are the worst they've ever been in Nanos Research tracking.  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also discuss the latest ballot numbers, and why the Liberals might have seen a slight bump in the past four weeks. HOST: Michael Stittle GUEST: Nik Nanos PRODUCER: Phil H...

Pierre Poilievre has been heavily criticizing the Liberals on cost-of-living issues, and the latest Nanos numbers show his Conservatives are still in strong majority territory. Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss how Conservatives are making significant gains across the country, including in traditional Liberal strongholds in the Greater Toronto Area and British Columbia, according...

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government rolls out a plan for tax relief and rebate cheques, but Nik Nanos calls it a ‘well-intentioned, epic failure.’ The exclusion of non-working seniors has prompted a swift backlash. The NDP tries to gain from the Liberals’ messy roll-out, as ballot tracking shows them close behind. Michael and Nik also discuss the latest provincial election result as...

What did Trump's win say about what voters were looking for, and what can Canadian politicians learn from the U.S. election? Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle talk about the issues we have in common with our American neighbours, and who's better positioned between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre as we head closer to our own election in 2025? HOST:  Mi...

Welcome back to our first episode since we broke for the summer. We open the show with the latest Nanos ballot tracking in which the Conservatives have not only widened their lead, but something significant has happened between the Liberals and NDP. CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss what this could mean for the governing minority Liberals and the timing for the next election...

After a stunning Toronto byelection victory by the Conservatives, pollster Nik Nanos looks at what other ridings across the country -- currently in Liberal hands -- might be taken away by Pierre Poiliever's party if an election were held today. Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are feeling right now about their economic future, and should things turn brighter before the next...

With a big test for the Liberals coming up later this month in a federal byelection, host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos talk about what the results need to be to ramp up -- or tamp down -- the conservation over Justin Trudeau's leadership. Nik and Michael also discuss a recent survey about how Canadians feel about who should lead the Liberals in the next election.  And finally, will the L...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest tracking data from Nanos Research that shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives continue to hold a double-digit lead over Justin Trudeau's Liberals. But a different Nanos survey that looks into the leaders' credibility in Canadians' eyes is hardly flattering for either. In fact, Nik says the results are quite 'brutal' for both Tr...

When it comes to Canadians' pocketbooks, pollster Nik Nanos says he hasn't seen this much pessimism in a very long time. Nik and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are divided over the capital gains tax and its effect on investments, as well as how delaying the tax until end of June could result in a short-term windfall for the federal Liberals. Also, what do the Liberals h...

Pessimism and anger towards the federal government is at an all-time high, according to Nanos tracking. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the challenge this poses for the Liberals in the lead-up to an election.  Also, what are the major issues Canadians are worried about, and did the federal budget address them? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hah...

After months of the Conservatives enjoying a clear advantage in popular support over the Liberals, the latest Nanos ballot tracking shows Pierre Poilievre's party went from a 20-point lead to a 12-point lead.   Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss possible reasons behind the Conservative drop, and what might Quebec have to do with it?   Nik and Michael also discuss Prime...

Will a soft NDP vote benefit the Liberals in the next federal election?  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss what the NDP is doing to differentiate itself from the Liberals, after two years of propping them up in Parliament. Also, why Liberal support might actually be higher than the national numbers indicate, and what the 'true' Conservative advantage is over the Liberals.   And a...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos look at new numbers showing the federal Conservatives have opened up a 20-point lead over the Liberals – will it hold up? Then, there was a federal byelection in Durham, Ont. Nik says the CPC victory was never in doubt, but we did learn something else that should be interesting to the Liberals.  Also, there’s a federal budget on the horizon – Nik sa...

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives increasing their support as the party Canadians would vote for, while the Liberals are in a statistical tie with the New Democrats. Poilievre's personal numbers continue to trend sharply upwards while his party saw a 17-point advantage over the federal Liberals in the new Nanos tracking. CREDITS: Host: Michael Sti...

Whether it's the ballot number or seat projections, latest Nanos Research data shows the Conservatives would easily win a "clear majority" if an election were held today. Pollster Nik Nanos and Michael Stittle take a look at the growing gap between the federal Conservatives and Liberals, and the narrowing one between the Liberals and NDP.  In a 'what's that about?' segment, Nik analyzes the Libera...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down new data on how Canadians feel about the country's housing crisis – the Bank of Canada indicated on Wednesday that interest rate cuts are coming, but what else do Canadians want decision-makers to do? Then, Michael and Nik take a look at the latest ballot tracking and new numbers for preferred prime minister. What to know? Nik says you sh...

Trend Line is back after a holiday break, and in this week's episode, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest the ballot numbers for the main federal parties – where do we stand at the start of the new year? Then, Nanos Research has been tracking the ‘Mood of Canada’ for nearly two decades. Nik shares the latest data on how Canadians feel about their government and c...

It's time to look at Nanos Research's monthly seat projections. Once again, it's bad news for the federal Liberals if an election were held today, with Conservatives either projected to win or to put up a fight in key ridings that were Liberal wins in the 2021 election. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle do a region-by-region breakdown of these projections in our end-of-year episode. Then...

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss ballot numbers we haven't seen for a long time -- we're talking since Michael Ignatieff was Liberal leader. What does this mean moving forward for the federal parties? For the Conservatives, is there a price to be paid for doing this well in public opinion, with an election still more than a year (maybe) down the line? And as the fortunes of the...

It's been months of headlines touting tanking polling numbers for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and climbing support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. But what does a long-term look at party standings show? And, is it too late for the trend lines to turn around?  In the latest episode of CTV's Trend Line, Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle dig in to the "Nanos Party...