The Lance Roberts Show Podcast

The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? A...

 Markets traded very sloppily Tuesday...until the last 15-minutes of the day: Buys rushed into the markets, pushing up to another, new, all-time high. Can markets hold? Will they continue to build on yesterday's breakout? Typically, all time highs generate more all time highs; it's all about momentum. The MACD did not trigger a sell signal, and it's still on a "buy." Relative strength is star...

It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days.  Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks...

Markets closed on Friday at all-time highs, with positive money flows, and a buy signal in place. Markets are up 5% for the year following a sloppy start in January. We have a lot of retail exuberance in the markets, and correlations are starting to all go to One. There is too much money chasing too few assets, and that dynamic is lifting all stocks. Emerging markets and international have perform...

Richard is in rare form for Valentine's Day with his unique analysis of latest economic numbers: Expect revisions to lowe the data points. There's no reason for the Fed to lower rates. How we're dealing with stubborn, sticky inflation; price deflation would be a bigger problem; companies have no pricing power. A discussion of egg alternatives and the sources of inflation; higher credit card balanc...

How did markets respond to a hotter-than-expected CPI print? As predicted, markets did open sharply lower...but, buyers immediately stepped into the markets, pushing prices higher and closing above the 20- and 50-DMA. Markets did not, however, break out of an ever-compressing price range. As investors began to digest the CPI components, it became clear things weren't as bad as first thought. So th...

Today's market activity will hing upon this morning's CPI Print (which showed consumer prices rising higher than expected). WEven more telling will be tomorrow's PPI numbers showing input costs. The question to be answered by investors is what the trend of inflation is, and what the Fed will do next. Will companies be able to pass along higher costs to consumers? What is driving inflation? Oil pri...

Markets will have a big response to today's CPI Print (hotter-than expected 3.0%) because it's all about what the Fed will do next. Markets have been in a "hang out and wait" mode for the past few weeks, working thru a consolidation range. Headlines about DeepSeek or Tariffs really haven't had much effect, although there has been much rotation in and out of sectors within the market. Markets are e...

Markets are coming to grips with that Trump Tariffs really mean, and are adapting through sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the prices of eggs & milk and grocery dates. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” Retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the st...

Markets rallied again on Monday, but the trend is for lower highs and lower lows. While the market, per se, is not "bearish" at this point, this pattern that is developing certainly has some bearish tendencies. This would suggest some exhaustion in the markets, despite positive money flows (which are declining). The last half of February, statistically, is typically fairly weak. So, these developi...

Sunday's Super Bowl LIX delivered a lickin' to Kansas City at the hands of Philadelphia; what does the "Super Bowl Indicator" portend for markets (and does it really matter) Lance Roberts examines the veracity of the Super Bowl Indicator and other Stock market predictions, Financial market trends, Investment strategies, and Economic indicators. We also address the threatened Trump Tariffs next on...

Markets continue pattern of Friday sell-off, setting lower highs and lower lows, creating a declining trendline channel. There are still reasons to be cautious; earnings reporting will lessen this week, as buybacks resume. Market consolidation is healthy, with nothing really negative going on. We are close to triggering a short term MACD sell signal. So long as money flows remain positive, markets...

Markets remain in a bullish trend for the moment, despite disappointing economic news in the Trade Deficit and the ISM Services Index. Improving relative strength is also providing lift for the market. Technically, everything is fine despite disappointing news from AMD, Google, and others. Money flows continue to creep upward with continued buying. Lance and Michael spend the remaining segments of...

Markets are recovering from tariff troubles on Monday; a brief history of Trump's past trade wars & results; Google's earnings miss & correction; earnings have been okay, but expectations are slipping. The China Trade War retaliation begins; it's all about posturing. Markets rally from Monday; if you're worried about the volatility, there's too much risk in your portfolio. Lance razzes Dan...

 Markets enjoyed a nice rally Tuesday after Monday's tariff-inspired action, closing right at the 50-DMA. the 20-DMA is about to bullishly cross above the 50-DMA, suggesting markets are still trending, and money flows are still coming into the markets fairly well. Markets today need to hold support at the 50-DMA so they can push onward and upward. If, however, the market closes lower today, w...

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be...

Money flows continue to be positive, despite all the negative headlines and news over the past couple of weeks. Admittedly, this is part of the overall cycle, with markets over bought and now going through a corrective phase. Halfway through a recovery, we're near the trigger point for a short-term sell signal, with only a little downside pressure. A consolidation is not surprising at this junctur...

Markets have been doing "okay" as of late, in a large trading range for past couple of months. Markets will open today below the 20-DMA in a knee-jerk open in response to President Trump's promise over the weekend to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. We'll be watching for signs of the market processing the news, and see where things stabilize later in the day. This is a day to Do Nothing, a...

Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The FEd's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. Th...

This has been a week full of headlines, between the Fed meeting and the whole DeepSeek story, lots of panic and concerns were generated. Markets really haven't done a whole lot this week. Retail investors bought heavily into Monday's dip. But nobody really buys stocks anymore: Retail investors are piling into options at a pace not seen before. Most of the options are call options; investors are fu...

Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time.  Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021....

When money flows are positive, asset prices are supported; if money flows are negative, support is taken away. Understanding in which direction money flows are going will help you better determine where markets are going next. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's...

The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due...

In the aftermath of the DeepSeek fracas, markets are still on a buy signal, breadth improved as markets came down to kiss the 20-DMA and then rallyed above the 50-DMA, still holding important technical support. Markets were over bought going into yesterday's trading, and the pullback was not unexpected. (This illustrates perfectly the reason for rebalancing risk in portfolios.) Nvidia shouldered m...

The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this Am...