Telltales

SHOWNOTES Episode Overview In this special edition of the Cash Flow Memo , hosts Mike, Jason, and Hunt look back on their “12 Surprises” from last year—unconventional predictions with high potential impact—and discuss which came true and which missed the mark. Then they unveil fresh predictions for 2025, ranging from nuclear fusion milestones and AI-driven health breakthroughs to geopolitical even...

Welcome to our 2024 Cashflow Pick'em Results Epsode, where Hunt, Mike, and Jason recap the cashflow growth in each company in the memo. Download the memo at Telltales.us and check out episode 2401 where we made our initial picks, here: 2024 Cashflow Pick'em Today we will explore who came out on top in free cash flow growth and examine the forces shaping energy, technology, and healthcare in 2024....

REQUEST!! This week on the Oakcliff segment, Dawn discussed the awesome accomplishments of Oakcliff Sailing this year. She suggests 3 ways you can support Oakcliff in 2025, they are… Join and/or host the Oakcliff Winter Tour - This is a two session event gathering our graduates and collaborators to entertain and educate in an effort to set up American Sailing for success into 2028 and beyond. Clic...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the implications of Elon Musk's massive AI training cluster on the semiconductor industry, the future of self-driving cars, and the shifting landscape of chip manufacturing. They also explore the potential impact of Trump's FDA pick on healthcare costs and the U.S. budget. [00:06:27] Limits to GPU Scaling (Page 1) Jason and Mike discuss the l...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the challenges surrounding AI hallucination, the potential for healthcare reform under a new administration, and the outlook for the energy sector. They explore the legal and ethical implications of generative AI models, examine potential solutions to tackle healthcare costs, and analyze the effects of geopolitics and policy changes on oil an...

Download the memo at www.telltales.us SHOWNOTES Join Mike Nicoletti, Jason Wallace, and Hunt Lawrence on Telltales as they delve into the latest financial insights across the energy, technology, and healthcare sectors. This episode covers topics from global oil supply dynamics to the AI strategies of tech giants like NVIDIA and Apple. [00:00:34] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND (Exhibit C) Hun...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team continues last week’s discussion on the potential impact of Donald Trump's election victory on pages 1-7 of the memo. They also delve into company-specific news and developments, such as Netflix's live streaming challenges and the future of the semiconductor industry. [00:00:49] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND Hunt discusses the potential impact o...

In this episode, Mike Nicoletti, Jason Wallace, and Hunt Lawrence analyze market impacts of the developing Trump administration across various sectors. ⏱️ Timestamps:00:00:00 - Introduction00:00:30 - Intro00:00:44 - World Oil Supply/Demand Analysis03:42 - US Gas Demand/Supply Overview04:40 - US Government Revenues and Expenses05:30 - UBER/DASH/ABNB/FIVE/HROW Analysis06:33 - Healthcare Sector (UNH/...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the implications of Donald Trump's 2024 election victory on healthcare, energy, and technology. They analyze key exhibits and dive into company-specific news and developments. [00:00:57] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND (Page 1) Hunt expects a Trump administration deal with China to tighten the oil market surplus in 2025 by phasing out Ir...

SHOWNOTES [00:00:00] Introduction [00:00:57] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply/Demand Hunt discusses Israel's recent actions and their impact on oil facilities. Analysis of OPEC's plan to increase oil supply by one million barrels per day starting December. Suggestion to monitor oil company stocks for potential investment opportunities. [00:02:47] Exhibit B: U.S. Gas Demand/Supply Examination of gas dem...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team dives into the latest developments in AI, analyzing the competitive landscape and opportunities for major tech companies. They also discuss Spotify's business model and moat, and examine the unsustainable U.S. deficit and its potential economic ramifications. [00:34] WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND (Exhibit C) Hunt provides an update on the oil market, notin...

Show Notes In this episode of Telltales , hosts Mike Nicoletti , Jason Wallace , and Hunt Lawrence delve into the latest developments in energy, technology, and healthcare. Join them as they discuss the implications of Tesla's recent announcements, the groundbreaking Nobel Prize win by Google's DeepMind team, and the current state of global oil and gas markets. [00:52] WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND (E...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, the Telltales team dives deep into analyzing Microsoft's competitive position and cash flow drivers as the computing world stands on the cusp of an artificial intelligence revolution. Will Microsoft's key profit engines in Office and Windows withstand the AI wave or will the tech giant face disruption? [00:01] Energy & Macro Overview (Exhibits A, B, C) Hunt notes the red...

In this episode, the Telltales team dives into the risks facing Meta (formerly Facebook, META 0.00%↑ ) as it navigates a shifting social media landscape and invests heavily in AI and the metaverse. They also discuss the latest healthcare news, including breakthroughs in treating diabetes and sickle cell disease. For earlier episodes in this series, check out: Apple's Underwhelming Reveal: A Sign o...

Shownotes In this episode of Telltales Podcast, Mike Nicoletti, Jason Wallace, and Hunt Lawrence explore the cash flow characteristics of companies across sectors like energy, technology, and healthcare. They also provide insights into US government finances, natural gas, and oil markets. Here’s a breakdown of the main topics discussed. [00:32] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply and Demand The hosts disc...

In this episode, the Telltales team dives deep into the risks and uncertainties facing Google and its parent company Alphabet as AI technologies like ChatGPT threaten to disrupt its long-standing search business model. Jason shares his concerns that Google could become the next Kodak if it fails to adapt to the AI-powered future of search. [00:08:17] Google's AI Search Dilemma (Page 1) Jason warns...

In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the latest developments in the energy sector, Apple's lackluster iPhone 16 launch event, and exciting updates from biotech companies Vertex, BioNTech, and Harrow Health. [00:01:05] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply/Demand Hunt notes that oil is in decline, with China's demand forecast to be flat. Surplus capacity remains at 4M barrels, mostly controlled by t...

In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the macro environment, including government finances and energy markets, and debates the investment merits of big tech stocks trading at 30-50x free cash flow. They also dive deep into NVIDIA's leading position in accelerated computing and the potential threats to its dominance. [00:00] Oil & Gas (Exhibits B & C): Hunt opens the discussion by examining...

In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the latest developments in energy markets, semiconductor stocks, and biotech. Key topics include Intel's decline due to strategic missteps, NVIDIA's AI leadership and competitive risks, and updates on oil, natural gas, and the U.S. deficit. [00:59] WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND (Exhibit C) Hunt notes 4 million barrels per day of spare production capacity,...

Shownotes In this episode, the Telltales Podcast team explores recent developments in healthcare, the importance of founder stories in investing, and potential economic risks on the horizon. [00:00:54] World Oil Supply/Demand (Exhibit C) The Iranian response to recent events in Tehran has been delayed indefinitely, potentially impacting oil prices. The team discusses the ongoing situation between...

SHOWNOTES In this episode, we dive into the latest developments in technology, pharmaceuticals, and global markets, exploring the strategies of industry leaders and emerging trends. [00:01:18] World Oil Supply and Demand (Exhibit C) Oil consumption forecasts have been reduced due to slowdowns in China's economy, particularly in construction and infrastructure. The oil price remains stable due to g...

Shownotes In this episode of the Telltales Podcast, hosts Mike Nicoletti, Jason Wallace, and Hunt Lawrence explore recent market events, discuss key companies across various sectors, and analyze their cash flow characteristics. [00:00:00] Introduction and Recent News (Exhibit C) Hunt discusses the recent antitrust judgment against Google and its potential impact on Apple. The hosts briefly touch o...

Shownotes 00:00:00 - Introduction 00:00:56 - Market Update: Oil and Natural Gas • Oil pricing weakening; 4.4 million barrels of excess production capacity not being produced • Saudi Arabia and UAE may increase production in fall, causing near-month prices to drop • Natural gas trading very low due to oversupply; prices expected to improve in winter 00:03:10 - U.S. Political Landscape and Budget •...

Shownotes 00:00 - Introduction 00:46 - Oil Market Update Discussion of 2025 oil supply and demand projections Estimated 104.5 million barrels per day of supply and demand Breakdown of crude oil vs other liquids in production figures Saudi Arabia and UAE holding back 3.5 million barrels of surplus production Caution advised on investing in oil producers currently 03:00 - Natural Gas Market Current...

Shownotes 00:00 - Introduction 02:24 - Natural Gas Market Update Too much gas in storage causing low near-month prices Warm weather across US impacting demand Power prices held down by cheap gas prices Chicago City Gate price unusually close to Henry Hub 04:01 - US Government Finances Review of Congressional Budget Office (CBO) forecasts/estimates Discussion of accuracy issues with CBO numbers Goa...