Real v Feel: Netball numbers that matter

Aaron and Erin break down the Adelaide Thunderbirds’ premiership-winning equation, the role the super shots (didn’t) play in the grand final and look at the true ‘teams of 10’ in the league.

Aaron and Erin try to work out how the Swifts got over the top of the Fever in the Super Netball preliminary final, do a deep dive into how big of an influence the super shot is actually having on results and select some of the best grand final performances of all-time.

Ahead of the Super Netball grand final, we have a whole episode dedicated to 'Fox Answers the Fans' questions. From digging into Super Netball scoring & margins stats to using data to find future Diamonds, Dr Fox does it all.

Aaron and Erin look at perfect power 5 shooting, analyse Courtney Bruce’s last-quarter “keeper rewards” against the Vixens and name the best finals performers over time. And Aaron gives us all the stats that matter ahead of the preliminary final between the Swifts and Fever.

Aaron confirms Erin’s “feel” that Thunderbird Latanya Wilson had her best game of Super Netball ever, we explore the “dead rubber” effect and analyse the statistical anomaly that helped the Giants beat the finals-bound Vixens.

After Courtney Bruce and Sunday Aryang’s stunning effort against the Giants, Erin & Aaron dig into the best joint defensive efforts of all-time. We also look at Helen Housby’s career-best form and Aaron delivers a mega Shot in the Dark for the last home and away round.

Erin & Aaron take a look at obstruction penalties, calculate teams’ round-to-round scoring variability and explain how Donnell Wallam has overtaken Jhaniele Fowler. And Aaron gets a Shot in the Dark correct … at last!

Erin & Aaron dig into Fever’s one-goal problem, check where Donnell Wallam’s 24-goal quarter ranks & take a look at the most penalised teams.

Erin & Aaron put alllll of Rd10's records into context, explain Amy Parmenter’s statistical edge over Ash Brazill and assess “amazing Mannix”. And Aaron looks at the correlation between midcourt turnovers and winning games.

With Rd9 run and won, Erin & Aaron look at perfect feeding, scoring highs and lows, the closeness of the season and the “Maddy effect”. Aaron also devises a new shooting metric for Super Netball, dubbed “effective shooting percentage”.

Erin & Aaron dig into the ‘spooky’ possession & gain stats in that Vixens/Fever clash, rate Kiera Austin’s game & look at how often the more-penalised side wins. And Aaron uses the “Monte Carlo” method to work out the bottom four sides’ chances of playing finals.

Erin & Aaron break down a round of records; from Shamera Sterling’s ‘zero contact game’, a match with 100% gain-to-goal conversion & Fever’s historic 91% centre pass success rate against the Lightning. Plus Parmy v Braz, by the stats.

Using ecological science and species diversity (yes really!), Erin & Aaron analyse which sides “spread the gains”. We also name an all-time Net Points Super Team and do a deep dive into intra-quarter scoring.

Erin & Aaron analyse just how well Shamera Sterling is travelling in 2023, compare the ‘feel’ versus ‘real’ of a rare bad game from superstar Liz Watson and look at who is the best ‘clutch’ shooter in the league.

Erin & Aaron analyse the red-hot Fever, the link between Steph Wood & Lightning’s fortunes, centre pass perfection, the unsung heroes of netball (WDs!) & what Darth Vader has to do with Courtney Bruce.

Erin & Aaron look at the "super influence" of the super shot, marvel at Swift Maddy Proud’s round 3 performance, and work out exactly how much time is wasted per game with “returning the ball, ladies”.

Erin & Aaron dissect the drama, then crunch the data from a controversial second round of Super Netball, looking at who would have won Thunderbirds v Swifts, Jhaniele Fowler’s spotless 2023 record and more.

Erin & Aaron assess the statistical narratives that emerged from the opening round of Super Netball; dynamic defenders, perfect shooters and the best “turnarounds” in the league’s history.

Erin & Aaron run the statistical ruler over the upcoming Super Netball season. We ask if the Adelaide Thunderbirds are "a go" in 2023, take a look at the vital "gains to goals" metric and re-visit "The PG rating".