Middle East Shitshow - MESS

Over Yossi Alpher's desk hangs a parchment the Mossad gave him, quoting Ezekiel: if the watchman sees the sword coming and doesn't blow the trumpet, he answers for the blood. Why do surprise attacks succeed when the warnings are already there? Daniella and Yossi Alpher trace the pattern from Pearl Harbor and 9/11 to October 7 and the flydubai co-pilot who attacked his captain on the way to Tel Avi...

Yossi Alpher is a Mossad veteran, and he doesn't spare Israel. He says the mistake of 1967 was not the conquest but staying, that Jerusalem was never really reunited, and that Netanyahu's government has backed settlers who push Palestinians off their land. He is just as blunt about the Arab rejection of partition in 1947, about Hamas, and about what "from the river to the sea" means when either si...

The Houthis now control Bab al-Mandeb, which means they control whether Saudi oil leaves the Red Sea. Yossi Alpher has stood on that coastline. In 1981 he traveled through Somalia, visited Hargeisa and the port of Berbera, and interviewed President Siad Barre in the courtyard of the presidential villa in Mogadishu, where Siad Barre, freshly abandoned by the Soviet Union, asked him what a country w...

A listener in New York asked how Yossi became a Zionist, and what he makes of the word now. The answer starts in Washington D.C. in the mid-1950s, with a Jewish education in which the Holocaust took up two sentences and Israel meant nothing at all. It was the Eichmann trial in 1961 that changed everything. Daniella and Yossi Alpher trace one man's Zionism from a kibbutz to the Mossad, and ask what...

August is quiet, and Yossi doesn't trust it. He and Daniella map the fronts: Syria's new president signaling accommodation over the Golan Heights, settler violence turning the West Bank into the region's real flashpoint, encouraged by a government that needs those votes before elections, and why Iran, Hezbollah, and the Houthis each have reason to break the calm while Trump keeps Netanyahu on a le...

Gaza is quiet. Lebanon is quiet. Even Iran, from Israel's standpoint, is quiet. So why does the West Bank look like it's being set alight on purpose? Daniella and Yossi examine the fear that Netanyahu wants conflict brewing before the end-of-October elections, violent enough to feed messianic-nationalist fervor, quiet enough to stay off international screens. Plus, the framework agreement with Leb...

Reports that the Mossad explored working with former Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as part of an effort to change Iran’s leadership sound almost too extraordinary to be true. Daniella and Yossi examine the reported plan and ask whether Israel confused its ability to penetrate Iran with an ability to understand and reshape it. Yossi also recalls being asked in 1979 whether the Mossad should...

From Switzerland to southern Lebanon, this episode follows the chain linking the Iran deal, Hezbollah, Trump, Netanyahu, and Israel’s strategic isolation. Daniella and Yossi revisit the history of US-Israel ties, debate whether Iran’s nuclear ambitions remain the central threat, and consider how Israel should think about survival in a less predictable Middle East.

What happens when everyone talks about a conflict, but not with the people at the center of it? Daniella and Yossi Alpher discuss Israel’s exclusion from negotiations over a war it fought, think tanks that debate Israel without Israelis, and an Israeli political system that keeps avoiding both Palestinians and Arab citizens of Israel. The conversation ends with a more practical question: when Neta...

What does it take to lead the Mossad? In this episode, Daniella and Yossi Alpher trace the history of Israel’s intelligence leadership through stories of controversial appointments, unexpected successes, operational failures, and political entanglements. Along the way, they discuss Meir Dagan’s impact on the Mossad, Tzvi Zamir’s role before the 1973 war, the limits of Israeli involvement in Lebano...

This week, Yossi and Daniella assess the real state of Iran's military capabilities after recent strikes, and what Israel's overblown assessments reveal about its chronic inability to define achievable war aims. They also explore the historic depth of Israel-UAE security cooperation, including cutting-edge missile interception technology and boots on the ground in Abu Dhabi, the UAE's departure fr...

In this episode of MESS, Daniella and Yossi Alpher step back from the headlines to examine a deeper problem: the repeated failure of Israeli strategy across multiple fronts. Going back to the idea of “mowing the lawn,” they examine why ceasefires and negotiations on three fronts do not necessarily produce security, why decapitation campaigns and proxy strategies so often fail to deliver lasting re...

Is this ceasefire the end of the war, or just the end of this round? Daniella and Yossi Alpher argue that the campaign against Iran looks less like decisive victory and more like mowing the lawn: inflicting damage, buying a little time, and accepting that the threat will return. They break down the winners and losers so far: Iran, Israel, Trump, Netanyahu, Hezbollah, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon, and...

In this episode, Daniella and Yossi Alpher record remotely in the middle of the war with Iran after Yossi suffers a mild heart attack and undergoes emergency catheterization under missile alerts. From the hospital, the stairwell, and even the side of the road, they reflect on how Israel and Iran went from quiet partners to bitter enemies, the deeper Persian-Arab rivalry shaping the region, and why...

In this episode, Daniella and Yossi look past the daily headlines to examine the deeper strategic patterns shaping the Middle East. They discuss the hidden vulnerability of the Gulf states, the weakness of Lebanon in the shadow of Hezbollah, and the recurring fantasy that war can quickly produce a new Middle East. The conversation also explores political credibility, war fatigue, and the gap betwe...

In this episode, Daniella and Yossi unpack a set of questions that go far beyond the current news cycle: why outside powers so often overestimate what the Kurds can deliver, how proxy relationships break down, what war does to civilian infrastructure and refugee flows, and how Iran uses missiles, drones, and regional pressure to shape the battlefield. They also explore the deeper ideological roots...

Day 4 of the Iran–Israel–US war, and the arena is getting bigger by the hour. Daniella and Yossi break down what’s changed since the opening strikes: Iran’s push to regionalize the conflict across the Arabian Peninsula, Hezbollah fire reaching as far as Cyprus and UK assets, and the growing risk of more states being pulled in, from the Gulf to Europe. They also unpack the confirmed death of Ayatol...

Recorded remotely from Tel Aviv during repeated air-raid sirens, Daniella Alpher and veteran strategist Yossi Alpher unpack the first hours of a direct Israel–U.S. military campaign against Iran and Iran’s immediate missile response across the region. They dig into why diplomacy collapsed, what Washington and Jerusalem appear to be aiming for, and why “regime change” is an appealing slogan but a h...

Discussion focuses on the geopolitical implications of the US military deployment around Iran and the potential timing of a U.S. attack. Yossi recounts his role as Israel's chief intelligence analyst for Iran in the late 1970s, detailing the complexities of understanding the Iranian revolution and the challenges of predicting its outcome. He reflects on a strategic decision not to assassinate Ayat...

The discussion integrates a guest, a conflict resolution expert and visiting family member. He and Yossi discuss the link between intelligence, clandestine operations, and peacebuilding, emphasizing the credibility Yossi's security background lent to his efforts. Yossi illustrates by recounting a pivotal moment in 1977 when he was considered for a role in peacemaking between Israel and Egypt. The...

In this episode of the Middle East Shitshow, Yossi and Daniella move from the recent Iran-US negotiations in Oman to the historical and current geopolitical dynamics in the region. They touch on the Palestinian issue, noting the slow evolution of the Trump administration's Gaza plans. The conversation then moves to the highly fragmented Bab al-Mandeb region: the historical ties between Israel and...

In their second pilot episode, Daniella and Yossi Alpher discuss Iran, Gaza and Syria. They focus on the potential for a U.S. attack on Iran, the impact on Israel, and the regional dynamics involving Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Jordan. They debate the likelihood of regime change in Iran and the preparedness of the Revolutionary Guard. The conversation shifts to the Gaza ceasefire, the role of Trump...