Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
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Forfatter
Colton Thomas
Kategori
Podcastens hjemmeside
Seneste episode
20. okt. 2026
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Episoder
EFX Stock: Earnings Jumped, But Cash Fell — Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:06
Equifax Inc. (EFX) Q3 2026 — The saved October 20 quote was $175.17, up 10.47% in early trading; this was not a completed-session return. Equifax delivered strong revenue growth, but the earnings headline runs ahead of underlying profit. Buybacks and easier comparisons support per-share results while nine-month cash flow after gross capex declined. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value...
RTX Stock: Earnings Surged — How Much Can Repeat? | Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:30
RTX Corporation (RTX) Q3 2026 — The $192.11 October 19 regular-session close precedes these results; no post-release stock reaction is claimed. RTX raised its outlook after strong aerospace and defense growth. The valuation test separates a $0.25 adjusted-EPS recovery benefit from durable earnings, while examining customer exposure and the cash needed to justify the price. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MOD...
HAL Stock: Better Margins, But Where Is the Cash? | Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:32
Halliburton Company (HAL) Q3 2026 — The $32.98 October 19 regular-session close precedes these results; no completed post-release regular-session reaction is claimed. Halliburton improved adjusted operating profit sequentially, but operating cash flow less capex was only $102 million. The valuation depends on making the margin recovery cash-generative. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case va...
NOC Stock: Earnings Beat, But Is the Cash Repeatable? | Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:20
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Q3 2026 — The $510.65 October 19 regular-session close precedes these results; no post-release stock reaction is claimed. Northrop Grumman grew sales and beat the provider EPS estimate. The valuation test is whether stronger earnings become repeatable cash, after separating $371 million of equipment sale proceeds. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — Analyst central...
STLD Stock: Earnings Surged — Is the Steel Cycle Already Priced In? | Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:06
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Q3 2026 — The $245.17 regular-session close precedes the 15:30 CDT release; the post-print reaction is pending. Steel Dynamics delivered stronger steel margins and cash flow. The harder question is how much of that strength is already priced into the shares. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — Analyst central fair value ~$190 vs ~$245.17 Oct 19 pre-release close. KEY METRI...
AGNC Stock: The Dividend Held — Why Did Capital Shrink? | Q3 2026 20.10.2026 14:15
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Q3 2026 — The $8.44 reference quote precedes the SEC earnings filing; it is not a verified post-release reaction. The dividend remained covered by the carry measure, but tangible book fell sharply. We examine what shareholders earned after joining income with the change in capital. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MODERATE) — Analyst central fair value ~$7.5 vs ~$8.44 Oct 19 dated...
CLF Stock: Profit Is Back — Can the Recovery Pay Down Debt? | Q3 2026 19.10.2026 14:35
Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Q3 2026 — The reference quote is $13.80 at 10:04:59 a.m. CDT on October 19; this is an intraday observation, not the closing price. Cleveland-Cliffs returned to GAAP profitability, but $612M adjusted EBITDA produced $72M free cash flow after capital spending. We test the pricing recovery against $7.568B simple net debt and a conditional 2027 outlook. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MOD...
ADUR Stock: A Profit Without Sales — Q1 FY2027 16.10.2026 15:00
Aduro Clean Technologies (ADUR) Q1 FY2027 — Reference US$10.10 at 11:18:52 am CDT October 16; exact earnings distribution clock/session unconfirmed. Aduro reported a profit with no quarterly sales. A noncash warrant gain explains the result; equity financing explains the stronger cash balance. THE CALL: SELL (2/5, LOW) — base-case value ~$6 vs ~$10.1 today. KEY METRICS: - C$1.202M net income inclu...
LADR Stock: Earnings Jumped. How Much Can Repeat? — Q3 FY2026 16.10.2026 14:46
Ladder Capital (LADR) Q3 FY2026 — Reference price $8.82 is the October 15 close, before the release; exact release clock and session unconfirmed. Ladder Capital reported $0.35 in distributable earnings per share against a $0.23 dividend. But $30.691 million of property-sale gain remains inside those earnings, while a changed interest presentation complicates the comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LO...
FAST Stock: Profit Jumped. Why Did Cash Lag? — Q3 2026 16.10.2026 14:27
Fastenal (FAST) Q3 2026 — FAST closed at $50.38 on October 15, down 3.1% from the prior close; release clock unconfirmed. Fastenal grew quarterly profit 19.7%, but cash after gross capital spending grew only 6.4%. Customer collections and investment decide how much growth reaches owners. THE CALL: SELL (3/5, MEDIUM) — Rounded cash-led base DCF ~$26 vs ~$50.38 October 15 closing common share price....
WIT Stock: EPS Rose. Did the Business? — Wipro Q2 FY2027 16.10.2026 14:40
Wipro Limited (WIT) Q2 FY2027 — WIT closed at $1.87 on October 15, approximately 3.9% above the preceding stored daily close. Exact release clock and session are unconfirmed; this is not causal attribution. Wipro converted profit into cash, but weaker bookings and a lower share count complicate the earnings-per-share improvement. We separate cash generation, capital returns and demand, then test t...
MKC Stock: Sales Jumped. What Reaches Each Share? — Q3 FY2026 16.10.2026 14:29
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) Q3 FY2026 — MKC closed at $44.14 on the October 1 release date, down 4.87% from the previous close. Reference quote $45.71 on October 15 at 20:00 UTC. Exact release clock unconfirmed; daily return is not causal attribution. McCormick grew sales and adjusted operating profit, but acquisition accounting, financing and outside ownership complicate per-share...
ERIC Stock: Profit Fell, But the Comparison Is the Trap — Q3 2026 15.10.2026 15:03
Ericsson (ERIC) Q3 2026 — ERIC rose 11.8% from the prior close to the October 15 close of $10.71. Ericsson’s profit fell against last year’s disposal gain while underlying operations improved. Inventory and licensing timing decide how much of the progress becomes durable cash. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MEDIUM) — Three-route fair-value anchor ~$9.7 vs ~$10.71 October 15 closing ADS price. KEY METRICS: -...
PLD Stock: Rents Rose. How Much Becomes Shareholder Cash? — Q3 2026 15.10.2026 14:17
Prologis, Inc. (PLD) Q3 2026 — PLD reference quote was $126.94 on October 15 at 20:02 UTC, down 2.70% versus the prior $130.46 close. The saved provider daily bar agrees; this is not a certified exchange closing-auction price. Prologis grew Core FFO and reset rents higher, but leasing costs, development funding and a pending acquisition complicate the cash return. We trace the bridge to AFFO and t...
JNJ Stock: Sales Grew, So Why Did Earnings Fall? — Q3 2026 15.10.2026 14:05
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 2026 — JNJ fell 5.73% on October 13, from the prior close to the release-day close. The separate October 15 intraday reference is $253.62. Johnson & Johnson grew sales while adjusted earnings fell. The litigation charge dominates GAAP profit, but the cash and portfolio questions reach beyond that one adjustment. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MEDIUM) — Three-route fair-val...
UNH Stock: The Recovery Is Real. Is It Already Priced In? — Q3 2026 15.10.2026 14:35
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) Q3 2026 — UNH traded at $410.12 on October 15 at 17:56 UTC, up 3.67% versus the prior $395.62 close; this is a frozen intraday snapshot, not the earnings-day closing return. UnitedHealth reported higher profit on slightly lower revenue and raised its annual earnings floor. We separate medical reserve development and portfolio benefits from recurring operating...
TSM Stock: Stronger Cash, But Is the Price Fair? — Q3 2026 15.10.2026 14:16
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Q3 2026 — At 8:35 a.m. CDT on October 15, TSM traded at $411.27, down 4.36% from the previous close. This is an intraday snapshot, not the final session return. TSMC delivered strong growth and cash conversion. A prior-quarter investment gain complicates the earnings comparison, while cash-flow and earnings valuations give very different ans...
CMC Stock: Stronger Steel, But Can the New Portfolio Pay? — Q4 FY2026 15.10.2026 14:15
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) Q4 FY2026 — CMC traded near $67.93 in early trading, up 4.04% versus the prior close; this is a frozen intraday snapshot, not a closing return. Steel margins expanded and annual cash generation improved. Yet precast missed expectations, taxes flattered EPS growth, and acquisition debt still matters. We test what the bigger portfolio must earn to justify the price. T...
GLDG Stock: Working Capital Is Not Spendable Cash — Q3 FY2026 14.10.2026 14:49
GoldMining Inc. (GLDG) Q3 FY2026 — Reference price $0.821 is the October 14 close. No isolated earnings-day reaction is asserted; issuer release time is unconfirmed. GoldMining reports substantial working capital, but locked holdings and subsidiary cash complicate the funding picture. We separate spendable cash, quoted stakes and preliminary project value. THE CALL: HOLD (2/5, LOW) — Three-route f...
ASML Stock: Cash Surged, But How Much Can Repeat? — Q3 2026 14.10.2026 14:05
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Q3 2026 — Reference price $1,717.76 is the October 13 pre-release Nasdaq close; no current earnings-day reaction is asserted. ASML delivered a stronger operating quarter, but the surging cash inflow includes a large working-capital contribution and net income includes an investment gain. We separate recurring earnings from timing and show what the share price already assum...
ACI Stock: The Cheap Multiple Lost Its Forecast — Q2 FY2026 13.10.2026 14:13
Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Q2 FY2026 — No verified post-release price reaction. Albertsons withdrew its FY2026 outlook after a prior cut. Identical sales declined, margins weakened and cash distributions exceeded interim free cash flow. We test the apparent discount against earnings power, debt and a recovery that remains unproven. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, High uncertainty) — Base-case value (sc...
PEP Stock: The Refund Behind the Profit Growth — Q3 2026 08.10.2026 14:31
PepsiCo (PEP) Q3 2026 — The retained intraday quote was $126.43; the earnings-day close was not yet available. A $178 million tariff refund exceeded the $140 million increase in core operating profit, while PepsiCo reduced its core earnings outlook. International strength and the dividend help, but domestic profit conversion remains the test. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — Fair value ~$135 vs ~$...
APLD Stock: The Rent Is Real. The Equity Math Is Harder — Q1 FY2027 08.10.2026 14:28
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Q1 FY2027 — Shares rose about 4.24% since the print to $24.82 in the retained after-hours snapshot; this is not a completed next-day reaction. Applied Digital is collecting meaningful HPC base rent, but tenant fit-out makes up much of the revenue headline. We separate property economics from construction funding, preferred claims and dilution to see what can reac...
PENG Stock: The AI Growth Test Is Now Cash — Q4 FY2026 06.10.2026 14:35
Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) Q4 FY2026 — The reference close is $64.21; exact release timing is unconfirmed, so this is not labeled a post-earnings reaction. Penguin Solutions beat expectations and raised its fiscal 2027 outlook. Memory supplied most of the sales increase while working capital absorbed cash. We examine the operating bridge, financing dilution and cash assumptions behind common-s...
STZ Stock: More Beer Shipped, But Who Is Buying? — Q2 FY2027 06.10.2026 14:17
Constellation Brands (STZ) Q2 FY2027 — Reference price $115.91 is the October 6 pre-release quote at 3:59:59 p.m. Eastern; no completed post-print session is asserted. Beer shipments rose 5.5% while depletions fell 0.6%. Comparable profit dollars were flat, even as a smaller share count lifted EPS. We test whether the sales rebound can become a durable demand recovery. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERAT...
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