Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
Top Traders Unplugged
Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think - not just what they trade. Hosted by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, the show goes deep into systematic trend following, global macro, and the principles that drive long-term success. No forecasts. No fads. Just real conversations with hedge fund managers, economists, authors, and allocators - revealing the timeless ideas, mental models, and risk frameworks behind robust performance. If you're building resilient portfolios, allocating capital, or simply looking to cut through the noise - this is your edge. Clear thi...
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Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
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28 жов 2026
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BO16: Crisis Alpha explained 10.04.2019 21:53
Kathryn Kaminski is one of my favorite people to discuss Trend Following with, because she has a great way of simplifying and explaining some of the key concepts of the strategy. Today, we talk about the phrase Crisis Alpha, and how it may be better to think about these strategies as Divergent strategies, because in reality we don’t need a crisis in order for Trend Following to do well. Year...
SI30: Should you adjust your position size based on recent volatility? 07.04.2019 1:34:27
Is it wise to adjust position-size according to recent volatility? Can back-testing a Trend Following strategy end up as just being a form of curve-fitting? We discuss the merits of Long-Term evidence over Recency Bias, the importance of Sharpe Ratios, the significance of price gaps, and whether leverage is a necessity for all CTAs. You will hear our thoughts on the idea of risking 1% per trade an...
BO15: Why Trend Following is Not a Black Box 04.04.2019 14:11
Often, a Trend following strategy is described as being a ‘Black Box’, as if something bad was going on. So it was refreshing to hear Scott Foster talk about Trend Following as being in fact, a ‘White Box’, or a ‘Transparent Box’, in comparison to other algorithmic strategies, which are often embraced by investors to a much larger degree… so I’m delighted to share this blog post with you, fr...
SI29: Can Value Investing be applied to Gold? and Trend Following as a forecasting tool ft. Jesse Felder 30.03.2019 1:17:23
In this episode, we’re joined by special guest, Jesse Felder, from The Felder Report & the SuperInvestor Podcast. Jesse describes his journey into the markets, if he uses Trend Following strategies in his portfolio, why he thinks we’re in a Bear Market, and in the middle of a major ‘topping process’, what he thinks about Passive Investing, his go-to timing tools, and if Value Investing c...
RT23: Populism and Market Risks ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 2of2 27.03.2019 29:26
Today guest host Chris Solarz continues his conversation with Chris Cole , the Founder and CIO of Artemis Capital Management, Matthew Sargaison , co-CEO at AHL at Man Investments, and Dan Stone , co-founder of Ionic Capital. Our guests today go over the changing markets and why despite trend following’s recent underperformance, their clients still look to it as protection for their portfolio. They...
SI28: Investing based on the "Evidence" and what are the Trend Commandments? 24.03.2019 1:22:29
On today’s show, we give our thoughts on ‘Evidence-Based Investing’, David Harding’s latest comments on Trend Following, how much is too much ‘Open Risk’, as well as answering: what are some of the ‘Trend Commandments’? Also, we discuss whether it’s safe or not to buy after a big upside price break or sell after a big gap down, whether Volatility should be ‘targeted’ in your portfolio, and i...
RT22: Volatility Master Class ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 1of2 20.03.2019 30:40
On today’s episode guest host Chris Solarz speaks with Chris Cole , founder and CIO of Artemis Capital Management, Matthew Sargaison , co-CEO at AHL at Man Investments, and Dan Stone , co-founder of Ionic Capital. With these three world class volatility experts on the show, we’ll be going deep into the current state of volatility, the ramifications of United States quantitative easing, as well as...
SI27: Volatility vs Risk...What's the difference? and are CTAs useless? 16.03.2019 1:08:03
Discussion points this week include, Volatility vs Risk, the differences between Trading and Investing, Zero Hedge’s comment about CTAs & Trend Followers being useless, and the NY Times article on high market skepticism while prices continue to go up. Also, should CTAs be used as a tool just for ‘Crisis Alpha’, or something more? Can Trend Following be used as a timing tool? What i...
SI26: Is it more profitable to invest longer-term? and Druckenmiller on being greedy 10.03.2019 1:23:19
Is it more profitable to be longer-term? When is Trend Following the wrong strategy to use? Should you ‘ease’ into a trade, or go all in, and how should you adjust position size? Other talking points include where to trade Single Stock Futures, how to include Options into a Trend Following strategy, as well as recent quotes from Stanley Druckenmiller about being greedy in the mark...
BO14: How ”slow” trading can be Profitable 05.03.2019 13:11
Would you believe somebody if they told you they had been very successful in the investment world, by looking at the just markets once a week? Everything, and everyone, seems to be getting increasingly more short-term in their nature, so it seems counter-intuitive that you can run an actively managed trading strategy by only checking for new signals once a week. Nevertheless, this is exactly what...
SI25: Where to start your Trend Following jouney? 03.03.2019 1:37:57
Discussion points this week include: Where to start if you want to become a Trend Following Trader, whether or not to trade markets differently, Bloomberg’s article on the supposed Failing of Trend Following, how strategies can cope and adapt during drawdowns, how to know when you are truly diversified or not, and a lot more. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR A...
RT21: What's next for Hedge Funds? ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 2of2 01.03.2019 44:00
Today Niels continues his conversation with Jake Barton , the Senior Portfolio Manager at Promus Capital, Trent Webster , Senior Investment Officer of Strategic Investments at Florida State Board of Administration, and Steven Wilson , Senior Portfolio Manager at Teacher Retirement System of Texas. Listen in to learn when our guests use investment theory versus data, new standards for management fe...
SI24: Why Trend Following has "failed" to attract a lot of Assets ft. Meb Faber 24.02.2019 1:33:38
Meb Faber joins the show to discuss his journey into Trend Following, where Trend Following funds have gone wrong in terms of attracting assets & growing AUM, why he started his company Cambria Investments and the difficulties that this involved, the perceived safety of US Treasuries, Mutual Funds vs ETFs, and a lot more. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR A...
RT20: The Looming Pension Crisis ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 1of2 20.02.2019 49:42
On today’s episode Niels Kaastrup-Larsen speaks with Jake Barton , the Senior Portfolio Manager at Promus Capital, Trent Webster , Senior Investment Officer of Strategic Investments at Florida State Board of Administration, and Steven Wilson , Senior Portfolio Manager at Teacher Retirement System of Texas. As managers of the investment of pensions and alternative portfolios, our guests today get i...
SI23: What is the value of the 200-Day Moving Average? 17.02.2019 1:33:48
What is the value of the 200-day Moving Average, the benefit of tried and tested strategies vs new and trendy strategies? Are drawdowns a necessary component of a robust strategy, and what is the optimum startup capital? These, and a lot more we discuss this week. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Tw...
BO13: The History of Trend Following 13.02.2019 10:55
The concept of Trend Following has been around for a long time, but it wasn’t until a few years back, that the Bible on Trend Following was written by Kathryn Kaminski and Alex Greyserman. Today, I am delighted to share some of the interesting lessons, insights, and key things that Kathryn Kaminski took away from the long road to publishing this book. Listen to the full episode here. Pa...
SI22: Can intra-day trading be scaled to a big business? 10.02.2019 1:32:50
Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest...
BO12: Market Psychology & Universal Truths 04.02.2019 11:04
A while back, I had a very enjoyable time speaking to Scott Foster from Dominion Capital Management, who is not your typical Trader. He draws from a wide range of influences such as Aristotle, Magic, and Austrian Economics. I am delighted to share some of these deep insights with you in this short blog post, and I hope you enjoy these unique views and observations from Scott. Listen to the f...
SI21: Why the biggest drawdown is always ahead of you or so they say 04.02.2019 1:13:27
Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest...
BO11: Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication 30.01.2019 16:34
A few years back, I had a great discussion with die-hard Trend Follower, Scot Billington. I would like to share some key moments with you, including how to perceive past track records, and also some of the differences between the long side and the short side. Listen to the full episode here . ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTO...
SI20: Crisis Alpha...To Love or Not To Love 28.01.2019 1:06:36
Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest...
RT19: Who actually learned from the last financial crisis? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 2of2 23.01.2019 41:57
Today Niels Kaastrup-Larsen continues his conversation with Andrew Lo , the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman , the Founder and President of BarclayHedge, Ltd. Listen in to learn the effects of politics in the financial markets and how trend following fits in, the state of cryptocurrency in the current market, and the advice our guests...
SI19: Can you apply Trend Following to Life? 20.01.2019 1:01:55
Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest...
RT18: Are markets really Efficient? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 1of2 16.01.2019 40:52
On today’s episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen speaks with Andrew Lo , the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman , the Founder and President of BarclayHedge, Ltd. Our guests today have many years of experience in the world of investing and have watched the finance industry as it has gone through its many changes. Listen in to learn the his...
SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters 13.01.2019 1:06:14
Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest...
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