Colton Thomas
Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia
Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.
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Автор
Colton Thomas
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Останній епізод
3 лис 2026
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Епізоди
ODD Stock: Guide Cut + Americas Slump Q1 FY2026 05.06.2026 9:15
Oddity Tech Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: AVOID (3/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $9.76 - AVOID - BUY below $5.86 with $4.39 stop - AVOID above $10.25 TRIGGER: One full quarter of CPA index back below plus 20 percent year over year OR confirmed resolution of the algorithm dispute with the ad par...
CGNT Stock: 4-for-1 Split + Record ARR Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:04
Cognyte Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $9.06 - BUY - BUY below $8.34 with $7.25 stop - AVOID above $13.14 TRIGGER: Q1 FY27 print at or above $109M revenue mid-point AND additional NATO/EMEA order disclosure on 2026-08-15 budget close WINDOW: 12-18 months -...
HIVE Stock: Revenue +158% FY26 + AI Compute Pivot Q4 FY2026 05.06.2026 9:35
HIVE Digital Technologies Q4 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $3.76 - HOLD - BUY below $2.80 with $2.20 stop - AVOID above $5.00 TRIGGER: BUZZ HPC ARR scales past $75M contracted AND Bitcoin holds above $70K - that combination flips this from BTC proxy to AI...
XE Stock: Revenue BEAT But EPS Guide CUT Q3 FY2026 05.06.2026 10:09
X-Energy Q1 2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $21.42 - HOLD - BUY below $17.50 with $14.00 stop - AVOID above $32.00 TRIGGER: FONSI clearance at Seadrift was achieved; next catalyst is NRC construction permit submission and any Amazon gigawatt-conversion announc...
M Stock: ABM’s EPS Crushed 6.5x - Turnaround Real or Sugar-High? Q1 FY2026 05.06.2026 12:43
ABM Industries Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $42.15 - HOLD - BUY below $38.00 with $32.00 stop - AVOID above $50.00 TRIGGER: Q3 FY26 maintaining Aviation YoY above +20% OR adj op margin above 6.5% confirms ELEVATE 2.0 leverage WINDOW: Through Q4 FY2026...
GIII Stock: GIII Apparel + Tommy Beat Q1 FY2026 05.06.2026 10:41
G-III Apparel Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $34.58 - HOLD - BUY below $28.00 with $22.00 stop - AVOID above $42.00 TRIGGER: Owned brand revenue accelerates above 15% YoY OR FY27 guide raised again at Q2 OR Calvin Klein license extended WINDOW: Through Q...
TTAN Stock: +16% Rev Beat Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:15
ServiceTitan Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $80.51 - BUY - BUY below $74.07 with $64.41 stop - AVOID above $116.74 TRIGGER: Q2 FY27 revenue at or above guided $285M AND GTV growth holding at or above 20% WINDOW: 12-18 months — first-public-year inflection...
DSGX Stock: +16% Rev Beat Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:48
Descartes Systems Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $76.50 - HOLD - BUY below $65.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $105.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of subscription growth above twenty percent OR a transformational acquisition that meaningfully exp...
RBRK Stock: 4-for-1 Split + Record ARR Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:24
Rubrik, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $80.00 - BUY - BUY below $65.00 with $55.00 stop - AVOID above $110.00 TRIGGER: ARR growth 35% next Q + GAAP profitability sustained WINDOW: 2 quarters TRACKER: chargedalpha.com WALL STREET CONSENSUS - Ratings: 12...
DOCU Stock: AI Agreement Pivot Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:43
DocuSign, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $68.50 - HOLD - BUY below $58.00 with $46.00 stop - AVOID above $98.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of NRR back above 103% OR billings growth exceeding twelve percent - both signal IAM upsell is working...
CAL Stock: EPS Beat Revenue Missed Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 11:50
Caleres, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $18.50 - HOLD - BUY below $16.00 with $12.00 stop - AVOID above $26.00 TRIGGER: Famous Footwear comp re-acceleration above +2% for two consecutive quarters; or Brand Portfolio gross margin recovery above 45% W...
GWRE Stock: +16% Rev Beat Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:26
Guidewire Software Q3 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $215.00 - BUY - BUY below $180.00 with $175.00 stop - AVOID above $290.00 TRIGGER: Q4 FY26 ARR ending at $1.22B+ AND FY27 guidance implying ARR acceleration to twenty-plus percent growth WINDOW: 18-24 months...
COO Stock: +10% Revenue Growth but GLP-1 Still Haunts Diabetes Q2 FY2026 05.06.2026 11:06
The Cooper Companies, Inc. Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $62.13 - HOLD - BUY below $52.00 with $48.00 stop - AVOID above $90.00 TRIGGER: A confirmed CooperSurgical divestiture at a clean price is the bull catalyst that could re-rate the stock to the $75...
AGX Stock: Revenue BEAT But EPS Guide CUT Q3 FY2026 05.06.2026 10:33
Argan, Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $175.00 - BUY - BUY below $148.75 with $130.00 stop - AVOID above $253.75 TRIGGER: Record backlog of $2.1B provides 7 quarters of visibility; AI datacenter power demand is a multi-year structural trend; Q2 new cont...
IOT Stock: ARR +30% Q1 FY2027 05.06.2026 10:18
Samsara Inc. Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $35.21 - BUY - BUY below $29.93 with $28.00 stop - AVOID above $51.05 TRIGGER: Q2 ARR crossing $2 billion and sustained GAAP profitability would be the next catalyst to add aggressively WINDOW: 18-24 months - the...
TTC Stock: Revenue +2% Beat Q2 FY2026 05.06.2026 8:51
The Toro Company Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $90.40 - HOLD - BUY below $78.00 with $65.00 stop - AVOID above $105.00 TRIGGER: Residential segment returning to positive YoY growth + dealer inventory normalization confirmed as complete OR a Q3 FY2026 gu...
LULU Stock: Guide Cut + Americas Slump Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026 11:31
Lululemon Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: AVOID (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $274.50 - AVOID - BUY below $210.00 with $185.00 stop - AVOID above $300.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of positive Americas comp sales, OR FY guide raised WINDOW: Minimum through Q3 FY2026 earnings (Novemb...
WOOF Stock: First Positive Comp Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026 10:23
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $2.88 - HOLD - BUY below $2.20 with $1.50 stop - AVOID above $4.50 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of positive comp sales AND positive GAAP EPS, OR a material debt refinancing that...
MDT Stock: +10% Revenue Growth but GLP-1 Still Haunts Diabetes Q2 FY2026 04.06.2026 8:40
Ciena Corporation Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $505.21 - HOLD - BUY below $440.00 with $370.00 stop - AVOID above $620.00 TRIGGER: Webscale bookings hold above $1.5B quarterly; no sequential demand decline WINDOW: 12 months TRACKER: WALL STREET CONSENS...
NTSK Stock: ARR +29% Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026 11:44
Netskope Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $12.40 - HOLD - BUY below $10.50 with $8.50 stop - AVOID above $17.00 TRIGGER: CFO successor named AND Q2 net new ARR $40M would turn this into a BUY WINDOW: 12-18 months - the platform multiple requires net new AR...
PVH Stock: Calvin Klein + Tommy Beat Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026 11:49
PVH Corp Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $98.00 - HOLD - BUY below $85.00 with $72.00 stop - AVOID above $115.00 TRIGGER: Non-GAAP op margin progression toward 8%+ in Q2 OR management raises FY26 guide OR Middle East normalization WINDOW: Through Q3 FY202...
AVGO Stock: AI Semis +143% YoY Q2 FY2026 04.06.2026 11:49
Broadcom Q2 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $479.23 - HOLD - BUY below $400.00 with $320.00 stop - AVOID above $550.00 TRIGGER: Pullback to $380-400 with AI revenue trajectory intact turns this into a strong BUY WINDOW: 12-18 months — the AI XPU ramp compo...
CRWD Stock: 4-for-1 Split + Record ARR Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026 11:14
CrowdStrike Holdings Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $747.61 - HOLD - BUY below $620.00 with $500.00 stop - AVOID above $850.00 TRIGGER: A pullback toward $620 with net new ARR trajectory intact turns this into a BUY - below consensus PT with the outage r...
FIVE Stock: Comp +22.7% Q1 FY2026 04.06.2026 9:51
Five Below, Inc. Q1 FY2026 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: BUY (4/5 conviction, STRONG) - CURRENT @ $222.89 - BUY - BUY below $215.00 with $175.00 stop - AVOID above $270.00 TRIGGER: Q2 FY26 comp sustaining above +10%; tariff sourcing diversification reducing China COGS exposure below 50% WINDOW: Through Q3...
VEEV Stock: +16% Rev Beat Q1 FY2027 04.06.2026 11:56
Veeva Systems Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $178.66 - HOLD - BUY below $155.00 with $135.00 stop - AVOID above $230.00 TRIGGER: Two consecutive quarters of Veeva AI agent contract announcements with material revenue contribution OR net retention rate ac...
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