Capital Creek Partners - 3in10

In this special edition episode of 3in10, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, sits down with Tim Sloan, Vice Chairman and Global Head of Real Estate at Fortress and former CEO of Wells Fargo, to discuss today's credit and commercial real estate landscape. Scott and Tim begin with the U.S. credit environment, where Tim flags recent frauds, software exposure, a...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses the Trump-Xi summit, noting that beyond the pageantry, Trump avoided trading geopolitical ground for commercial gain. He then explains why 10-year TIPS yields near 3%, a generational high, offer a real alternative to equities. Lastly, Scott analyz...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses six converging headwinds, from an AI slowdown to a global tightening cycle, behind his tactically cautious view on equities. He then highlights August retail sales, noting the strongest control-group reading in nearly two years and a resilient hig...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses the hotter core CPI print, arguing the Fed's hike next week will not be one and done. He then recounts Oracle's earnings, noting tighter credit spreads offer relief as investors fixate on the balance sheet. Lastly, Scott highlights mountin...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. He recounts Dell's blowout earnings and record AI backlog, noting that AI shortages are now raising technology costs rather than lowering them. He then assesses Governor Waller's dovish speech and its pushback against a locked-in September hike. Lastly,...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, departs from the usual three-theme format to focus on one key topic: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. He analyzes Warsh's seven principles, highlighting the "no excuses" commitment to 2% headline PCE, the return of monetarism, and a quieter Fed less reliant on forward guidance....

In this special edition 3in10, Scott Slayton is joined by Lu Zhang, founder of Fusion Fund, days after Time named the firm one of America's top 100 VC funds. Capital Creek is an LP in Fusion Fund IV. Lu explains why the AI buildout is still early, the shift from language models to physical AI and agents, open source versus closed models, the emerging multi trillion dollar space economy built aroun...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with the global Treasury bear market, where softer data hasn't stopped yields from rising and September rate cut odds have fallen to 28%. Additionally, he highlights CoreWeave's smaller-than-expected loss and raised CapEx guidance, which sen...

In this special edition of 3in10, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, sits down with Rich Hall, President, CEO, and CIO of UTIMCO, marking his three years leading one of the nation's largest endowments. Rich explains why UTIMCO's biggest challenge is scale, not staffing, and how its Permian Basin land gives it a cash flow edge that lets it take less risk than pee...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with a defense of Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, expecting the Fed to resume tightening in September and December. Additionally, he explains Capital Creek's tactically cautious stance on risk assets, citing weakening liquidity, toppy mega-cap tech, a...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with rising real interest rates, driven by sticky inflation and AI-capex demand, and the higher cost of capital it implies for markets. Additionally, he previews the July 29th Fed decision, expecting Warsh to hold off until September despite having...

In this special edition episode of 3in10, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, welcomes back Doug Terreson, former head of global energy at Morgan Stanley and Evercore, for a return conversation on how the US-Iran conflict is reshaping oil markets. Scott and Doug begin with the Strait of Hormuz and the broken ceasefire, as Doug explains why collapsing inventories...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. He assesses the collapsed US-Iran ceasefire and the market's striking calm, especially oil's failure to rally. He then analyzes the hawkish June FOMC minutes, noting inflation risks skewed to the upside and calls for rate hikes. Lastly, Scott recounts Pe...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with June's soft jobs headline, masking a still-solid labor market that argues against a July Fed hike. Additionally, he notes real rates fell to -50 basis points, the lowest since 2023, giving the Fed room to hike. Lastly, Scott delves into the...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with May core PCE, which printed in line at 3.41% but masks a troubling trend higher, as services and accelerating supercore inflation point to a likely Fed hike and reinforce CCP's underweight on U.S. fixed income. Additionally, he analyzes Mic...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott opens with the 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the US-Iran war, signed Wednesday. He walks through the points that matter most for markets, including the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, $300 billion in reconstruction fund...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott recounts the Morgan Stanley Financial Services Conference, highlighting a spending super cycle and dismissing fears over private credit. He then assesses Lennar's earnings, noting a depressed housing consumer but contrarian signals near cyclical lows....

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott opens with a contrarian case for Fed tightening, arguing that a rate hiking cycle beginning later this year is more likely than markets are pricing. He points to a two-year Treasury yield sitting roughly 60 basis points above the fed funds rate, a confirme...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott digs into first quarter 2026 earnings, which posted a headline growth rate of 28.4% year over year but were flattered by over $50 billion in AI-related investment gains from Google and Amazon, making the adjusted growth rate closer to high teens which is s...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott explains why natural gas is one of only two commodities down in 2026 despite a roaring commodity bull market, pointing to surging shale production that continues to outpace export capacity while noting that the massive US-Europe price arbitrage and summer...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott delves into the April Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey, highlighting tighter standards on business and private credit lending that should weigh on growth later in 2026. He then assesses the April employment report, explaining why the 48,000 three-month avera...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down two key market themes for the week. Scott connects the dots across ECRI's future inflation gauge, March core PCE, and ISM prices paid, arguing a cyclical upturn in inflation was in place well before the Iran war and that the Fed has quietly moved to neutrality for 2026. He then walks through Exx...

In this special edition episode of 3in10, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, sits down with Britt Harris, former CIO of UTIMCO and founder of Titans of Investing, to discuss the seven storms reshaping the investment landscape. Scott and Britt begin by framing why the post-2020 era breaks from the four-decade regime that preceded it. Britt then walks through the...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott recounts the Washington consensus from the IMF/World Bank Meetings, highlighting stagflation fears, a broken transatlantic alliance, an ascendant China, and near-universal belief that the dollar is a short. He then summarizes the conference's favorite...

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses the equity market's sharp relief rally on Iran deescalation, noting that while he remains tactically cautious from his March 4th "As Long As It Takes" call, this week's price action held in a way that demands attention ahead of S...