Marist Poll
Poll Hub
Each week, Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what survey really show, and what the numbers actually mean. Poll Hub is produced by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent university public opinion poll, the Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of MIPO), Barbara Carvalho (Director of the Marist Poll), Jay DeDapper (Director of Strategy + Innovation), Mary Griffith (Associate Director), and frequent expert guests, dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ou...
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Campaigning on Crime 07.10.2022 24:16
Our latest national poll with NPR has good news for Democrats...and Republicans with roughly four weeks to the midterms. For instance, Joe Biden's approval rating keeps trending up but Republicans are more enthusiastic to vote. And then there's this: We asked if people thought their favored candidate should concede if he/she/they lost the election. We dig into all the results. Next, crime has been...
Election Forecasts Are NOT Polls But Are Valuable 30.09.2022 29:55
Our battleground state polling continues, as we take a look at Arizona and Pennsylvania. In one way, little has changed in Arizona since the nail-biting 2020 results, as the Governor's race is nearly dead even. But what is different is what appears to be ticket splitters giving the Senate contest a very different look. Pennsylvania, on the other hand, is looking pretty solidly blue, as Democratic...
Georgia + Ohio Battleground Polls 23.09.2022 29:39
Our first election season polls of battleground states start in Georgia and Ohio where marquee Senate races are very close but the contests for governor in both states are less so. We look deep into the numbers to explain what's going on and what to watch for in the final seven weeks of the campaign. Next, American families are cutting back on spending...and commitment. Our latest poll with NPR an...
The Second Civil War? 16.09.2022 25:50
Does history repeat or just echo? Plenty of smart people have begun looking at the state of our hyper-partisan and hyper-fractured political landscape in America and fearing we're headed for a new civil war. One of them joins us to discuss why the idea isn't so outlandish to those who look at what has precipitated civil wars in recent decades. Stephen Marche, author of The Next Civil War: Dispatch...
Trump's Taken Documents & COVID’s Impact on Kids 09.09.2022 23:22
The FBI's investigation into the removal of documents from the White House by former President Donald Trump is stirring the pot amongst voters. Did he do something illegal, unethical, both, or neither? And, how does this affect his Republican base? We discuss this and more as we look toward the 2022 midterm elections. Next, the everlasting effect of the COVID pandemic on school kids' education. We...
America's Bummer Summer 02.09.2022 26:38
The Poll's America Now Index has been reporting on the mood of the nation for several years and has never been quite like this . There's no getting around that America's mood is dreary and inflation is not the only (or maybe even main) reason. The funk is widespread as all four categories we track fell and several specific areas hit historic rock bottom. Some reasons may be obvious but looking dee...
Bellwether New York & A Thing Called "Singleism" 26.08.2022 28:39
The conventional wisdom in politics all year has been Republicans will win back the House and maybe the Senate on the wings of Joe Biden's low approval ratings and the economy's high inflation rate. But, ever since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade , that narrative has been suffering. On Tuesday, New York voters chipped away further. We look deep into contests right in Marist's backyard to...
Republican Turmoil & Childcare Costs 19.08.2022 21:52
The GOP is churning. The FBI raid of Trump's Mar-a-Lago sent some Republicans into an anti-government, "defund the FBI" tizzy, while others pushed back on jumping to conclusions. But, there's no denying Trump is still popular among Republican voters and most of the candidates he has endorsed this year call the 2020 election fraudulent or stolen…and have kept winning. Then, a lack of child care im...
Biden's Best Week & Distrust in the Media 12.08.2022 22:19
Over the last ten days, President Biden has been busy signing huge bills, killing terrorists, and getting some good economic news. Great, right? But, with approval rating still in the dumps and prices still running high, is it too little, too late to help Democrats in November? Next, Americans just don't like or trust the "media." But, as our guest Marist College journalism professor and author of...
Kansas Abortion Stunner + Housing Cost Crisis 05.08.2022 24:46
In the first post-Roe chance for voters to weigh in on abortion rights, reliably red Kansas surprised the nation. Kansas voters turned back a proposed amendment to the state constitution to remove protections for abortion rights. Next, between massive floods, fires, and pervasive heat waves, climate change has become impossible to deny. It appears Americans are becoming believers in climate change...
Young Dems & Biden: Where’s the Love? 29.07.2022 21:35
Joe Biden's approval rating is bad — in our most recent NPR/PBS NewsHour he hit his lowest number to date — but it’s especially bad among the youngest voters. Why are young Democrats so meh about the President? And, will it matter much in the midterms, especially since young people are the least likely to vote? We discuss that with The Economist data journalist Elliott Morris before turning to his...
Jan. 6 Hearings Fallout & Inflation Woes 22.07.2022 22:28
Americans have shifting opinions about the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Our latest poll with NPR and PBS NewsHour looks at how the Jan. 6 hearings may be changing public opinion about the attack, Trump's role in it, and what should happen as a result. We're looking deep into the data to find some surprises. Next, we look at America’s top-of-mind issue: inflation. Americans are stressed...
Healthcare Debt & American Funk 15.07.2022 20:13
If you thought America's health care problems ended with the passage of Obamacare, think again. We're looking at data from a recent NPR and Kaiser Family Foundation poll on healthcare debt in the U.S. Noam Levey, a Senior Correspondent for Kaiser Health News, joins to help us understand the newest health care crisis. Next, we look at pride in America. According to a recent Gallup Poll, Americans a...
Now What? The End of Roe v. Wade 08.07.2022 24:51
With the Supreme Court’s June 24th decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, we take a deep dive into our post-ruling poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour. @DaraPurvis, Associate Dean for Research and Partnerships and Professor of Law at Penn State University, helps us understand the disconnect between the Court and the majority of Americans. What does it say about America, the Court, and what happens post-...
Gun Deal & Jan. 6 Hearings: What the Polls Say 15.06.2022 31:09
With the possibility of a bi-partisan deal in the Senate to pass the first new gun legislation in a quarter century, we ask special guest Ron Brownstein, why now? As Senior Editor at The Atlantic and Senior Political Analyst at CNN, Brownstein has a special knack for looking at polling data and finding things other reporters miss. In this episode, he explains what he's found and how it is, at leas...
Leadership Lessons From an Expert 10.06.2022 35:26
Dr. Stanley Harris, author of The People Value Proposition: See one, Do one, Teach one... LEAD, A Physician's Journey to Leadership , is a medical doctor and an experienced executive. Diversity, inclusion, and the role of leadership are on the agenda. Learn the key to inclusion and how organizations can work to be more diverse and more effective. Plus, how Dr. Harris thinks we can foster leadershi...
Jobs vs. Inflation & Title IX at 50 03.06.2022 23:15
For Poll Hub's 250th episode, we’re talking jobs and inflation – how come Americans seem to care only about the one that’s bad right now? Then, we dig into results from our brand-new poll in conjunction with the Center for Sports Communication here at Marist College as we approach the 50th anniversary of Title IX. What do Americans think now about the impact of that landmark legislation that, amo...
Census Miscounts & Trump's Bad Primary Night 27.05.2022 25:39
Every ten years, the U.S. Census aims to make a count of every American, but in 2020, that job was harder than ever, only partly because of the pandemic. Earlier this year, the Bureau announced it had likely undercounted the number of non-whites across the country. Now, it says it also undercounted and overcounted people in 14 states -- in some cases by seemingly large amounts. How will this impac...
Mainstreaming Racism & Abortion Ruling Fallout 20.05.2022 27:05
As with most American mass shootings, there's been a lot of talk about America's obsession with guns following the killing of 10 people at a supermarket in Buffalo. But, in this case, the alleged shooter left a racist manifesto that repeatedly referenced themes of something called the Great Replacement Theory. That theory posits government leaders and elites are purposely encouraging immigration a...
Elon's Twitter and Graduation Debts 13.05.2022 32:49
Elon Musk wants Twitter and, should the deal to sell it to him for $44 billion close, he's going to get it. But, then what? He says he wants more free speech on Twitter and recently said Donald Trump's lifetime ban should be lifted. Would Marjorie Taylor Greene or Steve Bannon be next? And does Musk's free speech mean propaganda and lies or harassment and threats? Then, it's college graduation sea...
Abortion Rights After Roe 06.05.2022 23:06
Earlier this week, a draft opinion overturning the Supreme Court's landmark Roe vs Wade ruling leaked. While only a draft, it was reported a majority of justices have signed on to overturn Roe and allow the states to make their own laws about abortion -- including banning or criminalizing it. At least 20 states are ready to severely restrict or ban abortion immediately or soon after any ruling. Bu...
2022 Midterm Landscape & Legal Weed 29.04.2022 24:50
Our brand-new NPR/PBS NewsHour Poll asked Americans to rate Republicans and Democrats on a wide array of key issues. The results provide deeper insight into how voters may choose their local candidates in November's midterm elections. Pluralities view the GOP as more equipped to deal with big issues such as the economy and crime while Democrats are favored on issues like climate change and abortio...
Earth Day Special: Evangelicalism & Environmentalism 22.04.2022 26:51
Happy Earth Day! In honor of today, we're looking at climate change from two perspectives. First, going carbon neutral. According to a recent Pew survey, Americans largely favor taking steps towards becoming carbon neutral. Other polls show a majority of Americans -- in some cases majorities of Democrats and Republicans -- are willing to make sacrifices to address global warming, but a majority al...
Crime Concerns & Baseball Bummers 14.04.2022 22:43
A new Gallup poll shows that for the first time since 2016, Americans are worried "a great deal" about crime. Republicans say crime is flourishing in Democrat-led cities, but the stats say otherwise: The states with the highest murder rates voted for Donald Trump in 2020. Still, crime overall is still on the rise and Democrats recognize the political peril it provides. What do polls say about how...
Does "Don't Say Gay" Threaten LGBTQ Gains? 08.04.2022 30:31
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis recently signed into law the so-called "Don't Say Gay" bill which bans some classroom discussion of sexual orientation or gender identity. But, is this what Americans want? Harvard University professor Michael Bronski (@MichaelBronski) joins us to discuss the new law, recent polls, and to give his perspective about what may really be going on with this law and others...
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