BBC Radio 4

More or Less

Tim Harford explains - and sometimes debunks - the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.

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BBC Radio 4

Kategori

Science

Poddens webbplats

www.bbc.co.uk

Senaste avsnittet

30 sep 2026

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Avsnitt

WS More or Less: The Winter Olympics 25.02.2018

What’s the most successful nation? (0’40”) We look at population, GDP per capita and ski areas of the countries with the most medals. How do you judge a country’s ‘best’ performance? (3.45”) What are the chances of dead heat in a race? (6’35”) The two-man bobsleigh event ended in a dead heat with both Canada and Germany achieving a time of three minutes 16.86 seconds. Is this the coldest winter ga...

WS More or Less: Debunking guide – on a postcard 18.02.2018

How to question dubious statistics in just a few short steps.

UN rape claims, Stalin and Mr Darcy 16.02.2018

How many people have UN staff raped? – (0’40’’) It was reported in a number of the newspapers this week that UN staff are responsible for 60,000 rapes in a decade. The wealth of Mr Darcy – (5’10”) The male love interest of ‘Pride and Prejudice’ is supposed to be fabulously wealthy. Is he? How many people did Stalin kill? – (10’00”) Why there are so many different figures reported. Avoid splitting...

WS More or Less: Has Russian Drinking Fallen by 80% in five years? 11.02.2018

Alcohol consumption has fallen sharply according to Russia’s health ministry

The Dow, Tampons, Parkrun part II 09.02.2018

Why the biggest ever fall in the Dow wasn't, and how much do women spend on tampons?

WS More or Less: Is China On Track to End Poverty by 2020? 05.02.2018

A key pledge of the Chinese President Xi Jinping is that China will have eradicated poverty by 2020. It’s an extraordinary claim, but the country does have a good track record in improving the wealth of its citizens; the World Bank says China has contributed more than any other country to global poverty reduction. So how does China measure poverty? And is it possible for them to make sure, over th...

Transgender Numbers, Parkrun and Snooker 02.02.2018

How many transgender people are there in the UK? The UK produces official statistics about all sorts of things – from economic indicators to demographic data. But it turns out there are no official figures for the number of transgender people in the UK. We explore what we do know, and what is harder to measure. Do 4% of the population drink nearly a third of the alcohol? According to recent headli...

Is the US Census Under Threat? 29.01.2018

The survey question that could affect the accuracy of its results. The United States are due to run their next nationwide census in 2020, but already critics are warning that underfunding and proposed question about citizenship could affect the accuracy of its results. We look at the real life consequences if groups choose not to complete the 2020 census, and ask whether the recent politically cha...

A Girl's First Time, Shark's Stomachs, Prime numbers 26.01.2018

First sexual experience - checking the facts A short film for the Draw A Line campaign has made the claim that one in three girls first sexual experience is rape. This seems shockingly high, but what is the evidence? Is it just for the UK or a global figure? We go back to the reports that were used to source the claim, and find the research has been misinterpreted. How long can a shark go for with...

WS More or Less: Real Lives Behind the Numbers 22.01.2018

If you ask an economist to explain what is happening in a country’s economy. They rely on economic data points to describe what is happening – they might talk about the unemployment rate, average wages, and the numbers of people in poverty. They pull together the information available for thousands or millions of people to work out trends. But are we getting the whole picture? We speak to Rachel S...

Gender Pay Gaps and How to Learn a Language 19.01.2018

Gender Pay Gap This week the Office for National Statistics has published analysis trying to find out why it is that on average women are paid less than men in specific industries and occupations. We examine their findings, as well as taking a look at the current discussion about equal pay at the BBC. Alcohol reaction times We take a look at a study that suggests that people's reaction speeds are...

WS More or Less: How Louis Bachelier Scooped Economists by Half a Century 15.01.2018

A forgotten French mathematician is the focus of our programme. He anticipated both Einstein's theories and the application of maths to the stock market. Born in the 1870s, his work was unusual at the time. With the help of Alison Etheridge, Professor of Mathematics at the University of Oxford, we explain how his ideas were rediscovered decades after his death. (Photo: Pocket watch. Credit: Kanyap...

Missed appointments, graduate pay, plus cocaine on bank notes 12.01.2018

Did missed appointments cost the NHS £1 billion last year? New figures published recently suggest that the financial cost to the NHS for missed appointments was £1 billion last year. But our listeners are curious. How has this figure been worked out? And don’t missed appointments actually ease the pressure on an overcrowded system? Graduate pay – is it always higher than non-graduates’ pay? It is...

WS More or Less: Just how rare is a hole-in-one? 07.01.2018

Why it isn’t as simple to work out as you think.

More or Less: Statistics of the Year 2017 31.12.2017

Phones, lawn mowers and how Kim Kardashian helped the public understanding of risk.

WS More or Less: Will Bitcoin use more electricity than the United States? 24.12.2017

Measuring the energy used to keep the cryptocurrency secure.

WS More or Less: Diet Coke Habit; 'Contained' Wildfires 18.12.2017

Could the US President’s Diet Coke habit affect his health? and 'contained' wildfires

Diet Coke Habit 15.12.2017

The State of California has seen 8,871 wild fires this year but what is the difference between a contained fire and a controlled one and how do you know it’s safe to approach an area that has been on fire? Peter Rogers of the Forestry Commission explains. And The New York Times claims that Donald Trump drinks ‘a dozen’ Diet Coke’s a day, at 42mg of caffeine per 330ml what impact, if any, could thi...

WS More or Less: Does Eating Chocolate Make Your Brain Younger? 11.12.2017

Headlines claim that eating chocolate can protect you from developing Alzheimer’s disease. The theory is that bioactives within chocolate called flavanols can help reduce the risk of heart attacks, strokes and even make your brain 30 years younger! But isn’t this all a bit too good to be true? The BBC’s Head of Statistics, Robert Cuffe, investigates whether research findings are misrepresented by...

Does Eating Chocolate Make Your Brain Younger? 10.12.2017

Headlines claim that eating chocolate can protect you from developing Alzheimer’s disease. The theory is that bioactives within chocolate called flavanols can help reduce the risk of heart attacks, strokes and even make your brain 30 years younger! But isn’t this all a bit too good to be true? The BBC’s Head of Statistics, Robert Cuffe, investigates whether research findings are misrepresented by...

WS More or Less: Just how lucky are regular lottery winners? 04.12.2017

Are some people just very lucky? The maths suggest that is unlikely.

Just how lucky are regular lottery winners? 04.12.2017

Over the last decade a number of journalists in the US have been suspicious of the number of people who seem to have won multiple prizes on scratch cards and the lottery. This week we talk to a reporter and statistician who poured over data across a number of states to work out the chances of multiple wins. Are some people just very lucky? The maths suggest that is unlikely. Presenter and Producer...

WS More or Less: How Rich was Jane Austen’s Mr Darcy? 26.11.2017

What the Pride and Prejudice character would have earned in today’s money.

How expensive is Italy's World Cup failure? 17.11.2017

The Italians are calling it the apocalypse. Their team has failed to make it to the World Cup for the first time in 60 years. But it is about more than just national pride - there is a financial cost too. Some have suggested that it will cost FIFA $100m. Is this really true? We speak to sports writer Graham Dunbar who has been counting how much money football's world governing body might lose out...

WS More or Less: Why Albums are Getting Longer 12.11.2017

Chris Brown’s latest album is stuffed with so many songs it runs at a sprawling two hours and twenty minutes. It’s only the latest in a string of lengthy album releases that includes artists like Drake, The Weeknd and Lil B. More or Less speaks to Hugh McIntyre, a music journalist who has found out that a numerical change in the way the album charts are measured is tempting artists into making lon...

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