Schwab Network

Jeffrey Cleveland says the bullish shift in GDP projections is his biggest takeaway from today’s FOMC meeting as the Fed left rates unchanged. He thinks they’re “pretty content” with the state of the labor market, and while they’ve upped their inflation expectations for the year, the next two are about the same. He anticipates one cut this year and thinks rates will end the year around 4.8%. =====...

Rebecca Walser tells investors to watch for what dissenters to the FOMC interest rate pause say as macro uncertainties persist. She then turns to the private credit markets and pressures she anticipates lasting in the space. Long-standing "contagions" Rebecca sees for private credit are tied to software. That said, she doesn't believe investors should base the next financial "me...

The FOMC voted to keep interest rates unchanged with just one dissenter, Stephen Miran. "It's not surprising," says Tom White, though a surprise could manifest if there are no cuts for 2026 and even a rate hike in 2027 if inflation pressures worsen. Resolution in the U.S.-Iran War and improving economic conditions in the states are key to reversing that sentiment, Tom adds. ========...

Brian Mulberry thinks the FOMC decision was what the market expected but still leaves the door open to rate moves in the summer. Inflation related to oil prices is the wild card in the mix, and Brian talks about how he thinks the Fed will respond. He sees a “pretty solid backdrop” for the market and thinks the S&P 500 will likely end the year higher, targeting 10%+. He likes energy and industr...

Steven Olenick explains investing opportunities around the NCAA, especially now that student athletes are allowed to cash in. Media streaming rights, ads, sponsorships, and more are in the mix. Young players who find their “Cinderella story” can skyrocket career-wise and financially. Steven looks at the lack of regulation in the college sports industry and how it creates unfairness in the competit...

Micron's (MU) earnings bar is set high amid monumental expectations of revenue growth for the memory chipmaker. With the stock rallying 360% year-over-year and setting new all-time highs, Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola and Tom White offer two different perspectives through their example options trades. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. O...

LikeFolio’s Andy Swan thinks Five Below’s (FIVE) turnaround story is better than Dollar Tree’s (DLTR) after a new CEO took over. However, investor expectations are “very high” going into the report. Andy thinks the company is “doing fantastic,” but it might not be enough for the Street. “We think they’re outperforming peers,” Andy adds, saying they’re finding their “niche” by targeting Gen Z and G...

Micron (MU) faces nothing short of a high bar into earnings, says James Demmert. He argues the company will guide "a heck of a lot higher" than Wall Street expects. James believes Micron will "rely" on commentary given by Nvidia (NVDA) and hyperscalers that AI demand is going nowhere. On the broader AI trade, he sees many value plays in the space. Tom White offers an example op...

Yerbol Orynbayev and Ben Ayers preview the FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference. Yerbol highlights inflation on the rise and a weakening job market and says consensus is they will pause on rate moves. Ben sees conflicting signals in the economy and expects a split consensus among the Fed around a rate move. They discuss Kevin Warsh’s potential takeover of the Fed Chair position and how...

"Oracle (ORCL) is the first canary in the coal mine" to David Trainer's AI bear case, followed by Meta Platforms (META) and other Mag 7 names committing hundreds of billions to CapEx. He adds, "spending isn't going to end any time soon," arguing these companies need to show a stronger road map to profitability. David also points out risks to jobs and rising monopolistic...

Brace for big market moves in off any significant headline, says TheoTrade's Don Kaufman, offering a quick overview on how options activity ahead of triple witching is setting the stage for explosive price action. As for today's Big 3, he sees a "violent" pullback coming for Circle (CRCL), support forming in Home Depot (HD), and Netflix's (NFLX) recent rollover continuing. Do...

Chris Vermeulen believes a greater equity pullback is on the horizon. With the SPX and NDX struggling to break out, paired with macro uncertainties and crude oil volatility, Chris says now is the time for a "healthy" correction to take shape. Chris adds that utilities and other safety plays are gaining traction, though he makes the case holding cash could be a primary investor move for n...

Scott Bauer offers an example options trade on Lululemon (LULU) after its earnings report. He thinks it is rangebound, highlighting resistance on the chart. Sam Vadas walks through the details, including guidance, and a former Levi Strauss (LEVI) CEO joining the board, although no new CEO has been named yet. She also covers analyst moves on the stock post-earnings. ======== Schwab Network ========...

"Stocks got hit with a couple whammies this morning," says Joe Mazzola with Charles Schwab, pointing to recent Israeli airstrikes on Iran's gas infrastructure as the main culprit of Wednesday's pressure. He also calls out a hotter-than-expected February PPI adding weight against the Fed's inflation outlook. Joe talks investors through the main points to watch in Fed Chair Jer...

Kevin Green tackles the inflation picture with the latest economic data in the delayed February PPI print and January factory orders. Also weighing on inflation: crude oil, moving to the upside again after Iran's South Pars gas facilities were target in an Israeli airstrike. KG explains the recent economic and commodity moves and pairs it with how it plays into the FOMC's interest rate dec...

John Kosar shares the latest Asbury 6 metrics, a way of measuring market health. All six metrics turned red as of March 6, and John explains what that could spell for market movements. “The market’s vulnerable to more technical weakness.” He looks at support levels for major indexes and argues that “by early next week,” if the market doesn’t find footing, we’ll have a “tough start to the second qu...

Bill Barhydt, CEO and founder of Abra, a crypto company, explains the business offerings and the state of the overall crypto market. Abra offers financial advice services and manages crypto holdings in “vaults” for various clients, including institutional ones. They are looking to come to the U.S. market via SPAC merger as soon as this summer under the ticker ABRX. He thinks crypto can continue to...

Diane King Hall turns to earnings movers kicking off trading action in the retail space Wednesday morning. She looks into a pair of turnaround stories in Macy's (M) and Lululemon (LULU), with both stocks rallying after the report. It's not the same for SailPoint (SAIL), where Diane notes underwhelming outlook taking the wind out of the company's sails. ======== Schwab Network ========...

Christian Hoffmann says the “flight to safety” trade was broken in March and sees reset opportunities in the current volatility. He thinks we’re in the “second inning” and shares some of his firm’s ETFs he believes investors might be interested in. He points to fixed-income opportunities he sees as “mispriced” and explains how he would play the sector. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering e...

Micron (MU) has muscled outstanding strength as a huge winner in the AI trade, rallying almost 350% over the last year. Rick Ducat shows how old resistance shaped into new support for the memory chipmaker as shares trade at record highs into Wednesday's earnings. He turns to what he calls "pricey" options activity heading into the report. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering e...

Hotter-than-expected PPI and crude oil volatility remain key focuses for Jack Janasiewicz ahead of Wednesday's trading session. He talks about investment strategies to keep in mind with inflation concerns heating up once again. Turning to stocks, Jack says now is the time to turn away from the Mag 7 and look into the broader market. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor an...

"The big action is going to be in the summary of economic projections and, of course, the press conference," says Joe Brusuelas on Wednesday's interest rate decision from the FOMC. He's leaning toward December for the next rate cut due to the committee staying "cautious" until the U.S.-Iran uncertainty subsides. Joe talks about how crude oil prices play a role in the de...

With the FOMC expected to pause interest rate cuts in Wednesday's decision, Kevin Green urges investors to keep an eye on the crude oil trade. He believes the commodity will remain the key driver to market momentum. Staying in the energy space, KG talks nuclear power with Oklo Inc.'s (OKLO) earnings as it races to get reactors online for a revenue stream. He later weighs on Lululemon (LULU...

Starbucks (SBUX) shares recently got a jolt of caffeine after jumping to 52-week highs. Rachel Dashiell with Charles Schwab turns to the short and long-term price action of the coffee giant as it shapes up a rebound story. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download...

Sam Vadas explains why airline stocks like Delta (DAL) and American Airlines (AAL) took off on today's session and previews Wednesday's interest rate decision from the Fed. Sam Vadas explains why airline stocks like Delta (DAL) and American Airlines (AAL) took off on today's session and previews Wednesday's interest rate decision from the Fed. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empow...