What Goes Up

Based in Sydney, Australia, David Adams, the chief investment officer at Reminiscent Capital, picked up on funding market stress early on. That helped his firm’s Asia-focused macro strategy implement a multi-step trade that delivered a 16.5% return in the first quarter of 2020. He joins the latest “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss how it worked, and what markets are signaling now. Mentioned in thi...

The furious rebound in the U.S. equity market over the last few months runs the risk of turning into a "melt-up," according to Wells Fargo strategist Anna Han. She explains what’s driving the surge and why it’s worrying. Mentioned in this podcast: Bleak Message of Economic Pain Underlies Tech’s Market Dominance Tesla Short Shorts See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The U.S. stock market headed into the Fourth of July holiday with a full head of steam after the best quarterly advance since 1998. Yet risks lie ahead this summer. Chief among them is the possibility that Congress will fail to deliver additional fiscal support for the economy as the coronavirus continues to spread, according to Jack Janasiewicz, strategist and portfolio manager at Natixis Investm...

It’s a perennial debate among market wonks: when will growth stocks finally stop outperforming value stocks for more than a short period? And what has driven the outperformance? Daniel Davidowitz, co-head of the large-company growth team at Polen Capital Management, offers his take. First, he says, you have to deconstruct the meanings of “growth” and “value.” Mentioned in this podcast: Is Value De...

This year’s volatility in markets has highlighted how investors can protect their portfolios with tail-risk hedging strategies. Meb Faber, co-founder and chief investment officer of Cambria Investment Management, joins this week to discuss the thinking behind his firm’s tail-risk ETF (ticker: TAIL), and offer his thoughts on the state of markets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information...

Stocks crashed back to Earth this week after a breathtakingly fast rebound from the bear market of February and March. What caused the plunge? And is the rally over? Medley Global Advisors macro strategist Ben Emons and Bloomberg’s Cameron Crise discuss the drivers of the wild week in markets and the hoards of newly minted day-traders who took advantage of the rebound on the latest episode of the...

As lockdowns are eased across the country, Americans are slowly but surely getting out of their homes and engaging with the world outside again. That provides some opportunities for investors to benefit from the next group of stocks that will perform well, according to Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup’s Personal Wealth Management unit. Still, some shares that did well during...

Investors across Wall Street are beginning to wonder if the risk rebound has further room to run. Fed policy is extremely stimulative, economies are reopening, and slices of the market hit hard by Covid-19 are joining in on the rally. But GMO, the famous money manager founded by Jeremy Grantham, isn’t buying it. Mentioned in this podcast:  Investors Pile Into Stocks That Win in a Full Economic Rec...

What explains the resiliency of the U.S. stock market, despite the worst economic data in most of our lifetimes? Susan Schmidt, head of U.S. equities at Aviva Investors in Chicago, says the market is already looking ahead to next year. That doesn’t mean there won’t be some more volatility in the near term. Mentioned in this podcast: U.S. Equity Markets Stubbornly Ignore the Doom Everywhere Extreme...

It was 10 years ago this month that the S&P 500 dropped 5% in four minutes. Now, the infamous day is known as the Flash Crash of May 6, 2010, and a decade later global markets are again facing extreme volatility – albeit in a different way. Joining the “What Goes Up” podcast this week is Liam Vaughan, the author of a new book, “Flash Crash: A Trading Savant, a Global Manhunt, and the Most Myst...

This is a year when unthinkable events have become commonplace. That has some investors wondering if the Federal Reserve could end up making what was previously an unthinkable move: purchasing stocks. Vincent Deluard, global macro strategist for brokerage INTL FCStone, discusses. Mentioned in this podcast: With Stocks Buybacks Halted, We’ll See How Much They Matter Stock Fear Gauge Falls to Nine-W...

The U.S. Treasury is auctioning a dizzying amount of bonds to pay for the government’s economic relief efforts. Will the market be able to digest this mountain of supply? Wells Fargo Securities macro strategist Zachary Griffiths discusses. Mentioned in this podcast: Bond Traders Signal the Path to Reopening Will Be Long and Bumpy ​​​​​​​Kudlow Says China Will Be ‘Held Accountable’ for Coronavirus...

As several states take tentative steps to reopen their economies following lockdowns to slow the spread of Covid-19, the big question for investors is whether a V-shaped recovery is in store. Baird strategist Michael Antonelli discusses why he believes the economic re-openings won’t be greeted with a rally in stocks.   Mentioned in this podcast: Bad Data Is a Given for Wall Street Gaming Out Lockd...

They say every crisis is also an opportunity, and some trend-following investment strategies are proving that true by reaping strong returns amid the chaos in markets triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic. AlphaSimplex Group’s Managed Futures Strategy Fund is up more than 7% in 2020, reaping what the firm’s chief research strategist Kathryn Kaminski refers to as “crisis alpha.” Kaminski discusses how...

The Covid-19 virus is messing with all our heads, and that can cause investors to make some classic mistakes. Meanwhile, government stimulus efforts could lead to some skewed incentives for consumers and businesses. Edward Jones investment strategist Nela Richardson, who holds a doctorate in economics, gives her diagnosis of the role behavioral economics plays in the pandemic. Mentioned in this po...

While the world agonizes over grim statistics showing the growing number of victims of the novel coronavirus, professional money managers are forced to make important decisions on behalf of clients without much hard data on the economic damage being done. Diane Jaffee, senior portfolio manager at TCW Group Inc., discusses how the upcoming earnings season will help provide some much-needed informat...

Quick to fall, quick to rise -- such has been the story of the stock market. After tumbling more than 30%, this week was met with the fastest period of gains since the 1930s. But will the fierce rally last? Dan Chung, the chief executive officer of Alger, shares his thoughts and explain where the fund firm is looking for investment opportunities. Mentioned in this podcast: False Bottom or Start of...

Harnessing Bloomberg's reporting from every continent, Bloomberg's daily Prognosis podcast brings the news, data and analysis you need for living in the time of Covid-19. In around ten minutes, we will explain the latest developments in health and science, the impact on individuals, industries and governments and the adaptions they are making in the face of the global pandemic. Come back every wee...

While the bear market in stocks has been alarming, dislocations in the corporate credit markets are arguably more dangerous for the stability of the financial system and the economy. Winifred Cisar, head of credit strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, gives her thoughts on the situation. Mentioned in this podcast: Global Credit Market Turmoil Rips From Australia to U.S. Munis Fed Feels Heat to Pump...

As if the last few weeks weren’t volatile enough, this one was even worse. Swings were so wild that exchange-rules forced trading halts – multiple times. Thursday saw the worst day for the S&P 500 since 1987’s Black Monday crash, and the record long bull market came to a close. Cracks are forming in the credit markets, and classic hedges aren’t working the way they should. Lauren Goodwin, an e...

Spasms of volatility continued to shake financial markets this week as the novel coronavirus spread in the U.S. and Europe. When will it all end and when will it be safe to buy this epic dip in the stock market? No one knows for sure. However, Naufal Sanaullah, chief macro strategist at hedge fund EIA All Weather Alpha Partners, explains what he’s looking for as a signal the tide is turning. Also...

Financial markets around the world have been roiled by the spread of the novel coronavirus, and it’s unclear what if anything the Federal Reserve and other central banks can do to stop the bleeding. Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at Charles Schwab Corp., joins this week’s “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss the limited impact the Fed may have. Bloomberg’s Chris Nagi also joins the discus...

Flows into ProShares exchange-traded funds this year show investor appetite for investments that benefit from a declining stock market as the coronavirus threatens economic growth and investor confidence. Simeon Hyman, head of investment strategy at ProShares, and Bloomberg’s Rachel Evans explain how investors are positioning themselves amid the uncertainty.  Mentioned in this podcast: Riskiest ET...

With passive and factor investing dominating the strategies of more and more investors, one would be forgiven for thinking that traditional bottoms-up stock picking is a dying art. But they’d be wrong. This week features Glenn Gawronski, who led the JPMorgan Small Cap Equity Fund to a top 1% performance in its Morningstar category before leaving to start his own investing firm called Byron Place C...

China’s intense effort to contain the deadly new coronavirus is causing major damage to the nation’s economy and sending ripples through global financial markets. But it hasn’t shaken the conviction of Barry Gill, head of investments at UBS Asset Management, who is bullish on China’s long-term prospects as the nation continues to shift to a consumer-oriented economy. Bloomberg consumer-team editor...