We Are Not Saved

In 1519 Cortés began his invasion of the Aztec empire. By 1520 Montezuma would be dead, and by 1521 the empire would have fallen. Within the next half dozen decades 95% of the Aztecs would be dead of disease. But Montezuma and the Aztecs had almost no warning of the cataclysm that was about to befall them. Is there some cataclysm waiting in our future which we will similarly be completely ignorant...

My annual episode where I look back on predictions I've made in the past (particularly my 100 year predictions) and make some predictions for the upcoming year. As you might imagine there would be no point of making 2020 predictions if I didn't cover the upcoming presidential election. I think there's a lot going on there, and while Bloomberg hasn't made a big impact he might still do that. Also B...

Only the Dead: The Persistence of War in the Modern Age   By: Bear F. Braumoeller Tower Lord (Raven's Shadow #2)  By: Anthony Ryan Oath of Swords (War God #1)  By: David Weber The War God's Own (War God #2)  By: David Weber Aeschylus II: The Oresteia- Agamemnon, The Libation Bearers, The Eumenides, Proteus (Fragments)  By:  Aeschylus The New Testament: A New Translation for Latter-day Saints (Reli...

A recent debate on the dangers of pornography, and whether government should restrict things more or whether people just need to "parent better" plus an article about "total sexual freedom" causing the collapse of a nation within three generations are all tied together into a discussion of how to deal with more subtle eschatological concerns.

The title pretty much says it all, but in case you don't know what an Eschatologist is, an eschatologist is someone who studies eschatology. And eschatology is " a part of theology concerned with the final events of history , or the ultimate destiny of humanity. This concept is commonly referred to as the ' end of the world' or ' end times' . In my discussion of eschatology I intend to broaden the...

My book reviews for November: The Unthinkable: Who Survives When Disaster Strikes – and Why  By: Amanda Ripley The Mapping of Love and Death (Maisie Dobbs, #7)  By: Jacqueline Winspear The Origins of Political Order: From Prehuman Times to the French Revolution  By: Francis Fukuyama The Odyssey  By: Homer Incidents in the Life of a Slave Girl  By: Harriet Ann Jacobs You Are a Badass: How to Stop D...

In 1985 Neil Postman published the book "Amusing Ourselves to Death". The central claim of the book was that TV had replaced the superior epistemology of the printed word with an inferior version focused entirely on entertainment. Now TV itself has been replaced as the dominant medium by the internet and social media. What epistemology has it brought with it, and is it better than TV or far, far w...

After getting significant pushback I revisit my evaluation of Bryan Caplan's argument for open borders. I continue to maintain that if the average GDP of the US drops by half that some low-skilled workers will be caught in that. Even if many people end up benefiting. I bring in Garett Jones' argument against Caplan along with Caplan's response.

In the book War! What is it Good For? by Ian Morris, he speculates that the world has been built on the back of productive war. But what happens when empire building is out of fashion and nukes make war impossible even if it wasn't. Is it possible that after using war to achieve unity over the course of thousands of years, that it will stop working just at the moment it seemed possible we might un...

The Technology Trap: Capital, Labor, and Power in the Age of Automation By: Carl Benedikt Frey Gandhi & Churchill: The Epic Rivalry that Destroyed an Empire and Forged Our Age By: Arthur Herman All Creatures Great and Small By: James Herriot To America: Personal Reflections of an Historian By: Stephen E. Ambrose War! What Is It Good For?: Conflict and the Progress of Civilization from Primates to...

A collection of ways in which atheists misunderstand the strength of their position (or rather the lack their of).  The difference between gathering evidence on the existence of something like Bigfoot as opposed to gathering evidence on the existence of God. Their ability to imagine things which in all respects meet the definition for the existence of God. They just don't like the God proposed by...

Nietzsche said that God is Dead, and that people had not reckoned with with the consequences of that. Additionally he and other's predicted that people could not be good in the absence of religion. This has proved to be incorrect, there are plenty of atheists who are good people. But how has civilization fared. Is it possible that Nietzsche and the rest were just premature in their pessimism? That...

Moderation is an underrated value. To achieve it we need to not merely push for moderation, we need to push back against whichever side which has become too extreme. This is the pendulum, and it swings back and forth. If we value moderation we seek to keep it as close to the center as possible, while also avoiding violent swings from side to side. Doing so requires arguing for both sides of an iss...

It's my monthly review of the books I read. In this episode I cover: Savage Worlds: Adventure Edition By: Shane Lacy Hensle y Adrift: Seventy-Six Days Lost at Sea   By: Steven Callahan Novacene: The Coming Age of Hyperintelligence   By: James Lovelock Bronze Age Mindset By: Bronze Age Pervert Why Are The Prices So Damn High?   By: Eric Helland , Alex Tabarrok An Introduction to the Book of Abraham...

I have heard some people, even in the comments of my this podcast, claim that we shouldn't worry about the current level of political unrest because there's nowhere for the violence to start. That we don't see the sort of large scale violence we once saw in the past. I think they're wrong I think there will be bloodshed, and the question this episode looks to answer is where does it start?

I recently read American Carnage, the story of the development of the Republican Civil War and the events which led to the current political crisis. While reading it I was struck by a question, not why is this happening now, but rather why isn't it always this way? I think I have the answer to that question and it involves nationalism, wars, immigration and most of all the sayings of the Pashtun. 

From the perspective of our system of government there are a lot of deviations currently going on. Many of them are being normalized. In the based we could correct deviations by means of amending the Constitution, but that no longer seems possible. Meaning we have largely decided to normalize them and hope that they're improvements, or at least not the kind of thing that is going to make the entir...

This is the monthly episode where I review all the books I read over the past month. This time I'm mixing it up by doing very short reviews of some while doing longer reviews of the others. Here's a list of the books I mention: Extremes by Various The Lazy Dungeon Master by Michael Shea Blood Song by Anthony Ryan The Last American Man by Elizabeth Gilbert Return of the Lazy Dungeon Master by Micha...

All more enlightened forms of government require certain institutions and customs in order to function. Democratic capitalism doesn't work without strong contract enforcement and low corruption for example. Is it possible that there are institutions and customs yet (or about) to be discovered and implemented which would make communism work. If so would that be enough to "save" humanity? Perhaps, b...

I recently read an article titled  How I Almost Destroyed a £50 million War Plane and The Normalisation of Deviance . In this post I examine the idea of deviance and what it means to normalize it. The article most examined it from the perspective of smaller systems, but I'm interested in what it looks like if we take the concept and apply it to society as a whole.

Following up on a previous post I discuss the possible rise of a new civic religion, starting with some stories about how what people feel comfortable signaling support for has changed. Historically replacing one religion with another civic or otherwise has been accompanied by bloodshed and no small amount of violence. Will this time be similar?

My book reviews for the month of July (along with one podcast). The Blade Itself (1 of 3 First Law Trilogy) Hate Crime Hoax: How the Left is Selling a Fake Race War The Dictator's Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics Fall of Civilizations (Podcast) The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up: The Japanese Art of Decluttering and Organizing Wild at Heart Revised and Updated: Discover...

Like many people the 50th anniversary of the first man on the moon is an opportunity for retrospection, and the thing that jumps out to me and to everyone is the fact that after Apollo was over we haven't been back. What does that mean for the future of space exploration, and particularly colonization, given that if colonization isn't in our future then we're going to go extinct sooner or later an...

In a continued attempt to drill down into cultural evolution, I examine whether, in addition to cultural evolution, if there's a separate phenomenon which deserves the label memetic evolution. I conclude there is a phenomenon, but that a better label for it is "memetic accumulation" and that there are some worrying things happening with the speed and diversity of this accumulation.  

I recently read the book Alone, by Michael Korda. It was about the opening months of World War II, and he said that at the time the French had the reputation as the world's preeminent military power. This obviously turned out to not be the case, but in the past they had been. Is there anything where we're overemphasizing our view of the past, and overlooking that what might happen in the future wi...