UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. Recorded on 2 February 2026.

The sharp decline in gold and silver prices has relatively little economic significance. While attempts will be made to spin this as a reaction to fundamental economics, it seems more likely that the “fear of missing out” trade became exhausted. The run-up in prices was over too short a period to have created major wealth effects, so correcting to a price more in line with economic fundamentals wo...

There is widespread speculation that US President Trump will nominate former Fed Governor Warsh as next Fed chair. They need Senate confirmation, which may take time. Warsh’s time as governor was not, perhaps, notable—what policy bias there was tended to the hawkish. Now Warsh seems to believe AI will be disinflationary (technology is often more about relative price changes than inflation or disin...

In the midst of a busy travel week, spanning London, Lisbon, Berlin, Munich and Geneva, Burkhard stops by to share his boots-on-the-ground observations on factors driving economic and market activity. Plus, a look at how these observations rhyme with technology and U.S. exceptionalism (as drivers of the “Roaring Twenties” narrative).

Frank Sileo, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas, rejoins the podcast for a performance update and outlook for the preferred securities sector. We also spend time reviewing positioning considerations within the asset class and provide a “preferred securities investing 101”. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The Federal Reserve obviously left rates unchanged, but the tenor of the meeting seems to have been a little more hawkish. Resilient economic growth has reduced the urgency for a rate cut. A cut is still likely at some point this year, not to act as a stimulus but to ensure against downside risk (were labor market fears to start to weigh on the consumer).

Our first episode of the year features Marc Lipschultz, Co-CEO of Blue Owl Capital, and Jason Draho, UBS CIO Head of Asset Allocation Americas. Marc and Jason exchange thoughts on how AI infrastructure and data center investments are being financed, along with how investors should think about AI-bubble risk. Plus, thoughts on the macroeconomic environment, overall investment risks, and where oppor...

A unanimous 92 out of 92 surveyed economists expect no change in US interest rates today. That many economists could never be wrong. An insurance rate cut may be necessary, to keep fear of unemployment low and allow US consumers to continue cutting savings rates to pay for tariffs. An insurance cut is not urgent, however.

The US dollar has remained weaker, but has not declined significantly further. The dollar is not likely to lose reserve status overnight. However, the decline of the US internationally and international investors’ questions over key issues like rule of law mean it is losing market share. Moreover, as trade stagnates (and may retreat), reserve status becomes less important. International investors...

The 250 years of U.S. innovation publication series highlights examples of how transformational innovation has been an engine of U.S. economic growth since the nation’s founding. Today, we explore the history of the assembly line in the U.S. by referencing the next publication of the series: Made in USA - The assembly line. Featured are Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas, and Sunny Mehra,...

With Davos in the rear-view, the next FOMC meeting just days away, and Q4 earnings underway, Jason drops by to discuss what’s on investors’ minds and what markets are pricing in. Plus, a look at the latest investment outlook and allocation recommendations from CIO, per the February UBS House View. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel...

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. Recorded on 25 January 2026.

The UBS Women and health reports examines the gender health gap - what it is, and how it affects women’s lives and financial wellbeing. We discuss these topics and highlight the rapid growth over the last few years in awareness around women’s health and in the startup scene of companies try¬ing to provide solutions. Featured is Marianna Mamou, Head of Advice Beyond Investing, UBS Chief Investment...

Shane returns to share some reflections on President Trump’s policy remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, this week. This includes a look at where the Trump administration’s pursuit of Greenland stands, and what next-steps could look like in terms of negotiations with Denmark and the broader European Union. Plus, a look at where efforts stand on Capitol Hill to avoid a partial...

The World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland has returned, and Burkhard shares some boots-on-the-ground perspective on a range of developments spanning Greenland to the idea of a virtual “28th state” in the European Union. Plus, thoughts on the upcoming snap-election in Japan, and the Bank of Japan’s potential path forward on rates.

Our conversation spotlights an important retirement savings change taking effect in 2026 as part of the SECURE 2.0 Act. For certain high wage earners, catch-up contributions will be required to be made on a Roth basis, which means they’ll be taxed at the time of contribution rather than at withdrawal. Tune in to learn about what’s changing, why this matters, and what to do about it. Featured are A...

Policy and geopolitics continue to dominate the headlines early in 2026, with the latest development being President Trump’s efforts to gain control of Greenland. Other policy-related stories that also matter for the markets just as much, include questions about Fed leadership, expected policy announcements from President Trump at the World Economic Forum in Davos, and a snap election in Japan. Ja...

Investors and the US administration are likely to keep focus on the US Treasury bond market, which weakened modestly in the wake of US President Trump’s latest tariff threats. The implications of additional tariffs are more US inflation pressures and a further erosion of the USD’s status as a reserve currency. So far, bond investors do not seem to be taking the threats too seriously. Trump also th...

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. Recorded on 19 January 2026.

Events around Greenland have four main areas of market focus. Threatened US tariffs appear more serious than those relating to Iran, and may be overturned by the US Supreme Court. However, they imply US consumer prices of goods from the EU and UK will increase 4% to 10% (within about six months). This may reinforce the narrative of the US affordability crisis.

Steve Chiavarone is Deputy Chief Investment Officer for Equities, Senior Portfolio Manager, and Head of the Multi-Asset Group at Federated Hermes. Steve drops by the 1285 podcast studio in New York to share his thoughts on the current macroeconomic environment, and investment views across asset classes. We also touch on expectations for the Q4 corporate earnings season, monetary policy in 2026, an...

The US has long been the birthplace and powerhouse of private equity, accounting for over half of global fundraising and setting the pace for the industry worldwide. But Europe’s private equity market is developing fast, even as global economic headwinds persist. What’s driving the shift of economic activity away from public markets, and where are the most promising opportunities for investors on...

Taiwan has made an agreement with the US that will see US importers paying a 15% tariff on Taiwanese products. The 15% number might have additional significance—if the US Supreme Court rules some tariffs illegal, one alternative route is for President Trump to impose a universal 15% tariff. Taiwan pledged to increase investment in the US—some of this will be already planned investment, and markets...

Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, provide a comprehensive update on a range of timely topics, spanning how Washington is addressing housing affordability, geopolitical points of interest such as Iran and Venezuela, the upcoming SCOTUS ruling on the Trump administration’s use of IEEPA for tariff policy, the U.S. Department of Justi...

UK monthly GDP data was stronger than expected, and revised stronger for the previous month—but the monthly GDP data is economists’ version of white noise (a background hum to help one sleep). Manufacturing and services data was stronger and generally revised up. Trade data showed a lot more volatility in previous metal trade, and stronger exports (away from the US). European trade data should als...